隨著普埃爾倍數逼近罕見的金十字，比特幣多頭準備迎接潛在的 90% 價格飆升

隨著關鍵比特幣價格指標普埃爾倍數接近罕見的黃金十字，比特幣多頭正在為潛在的 90% 價格飆升做好準備。

Bitcoin price could surge 90% as key metric nears ‘golden cross’

隨著關鍵指標接近“黃金十字”，比特幣價格可能飆升 90%

Bitcoin bulls are bracing for a potential 90% price surge as a key metric approaches a rare "golden cross" scenario.

隨著一項關鍵指標接近罕見的「金十字」情景，比特幣多頭正準備迎接潛在的 90% 價格飆升。

According to data from on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, the Puell Multiple has crossed its 365-day moving average only three times in the past five years, and each occurrence has coincided with a substantial increase in Bitcoin's price.

根據鏈上分析平台 CryptoQuant 的數據，過去 5 年中，Puell Multiple 只跨越 365 天移動平均線 3 次，而且每次發生都與比特幣價格大幅上漲同時發生。

The Puell Multiple measures the daily value of mined Bitcoin against its 365-day moving average, providing insight into miner stability and market cycles from a mining perspective.

Puell Multiple 衡量開採的比特幣的每日價值及其 365 天移動平均線，從挖礦的角度深入了解礦工的穩定性和市場週期。

Historical Precedents and Market Sentiment

歷史先例和市場情緒

Past instances of the Puell Multiple golden cross have indeed been followed by significant Bitcoin rallies, as noted by CryptoQuant's analysis.

正如 CryptoQuant 的分析所指出的，過去的 Puell Multiple 黃金交叉執行個體確實伴隨著比特幣的大幅上漲。

In March 2019, a Puell golden cross preceded an 83% increase in Bitcoin's price. Another occurrence in January 2020 was followed by a 113% surge, and the most recent cross, observed in January 2024, marked the beginning of a 76% gain.

2019 年 3 月，普埃爾黃金交叉導致比特幣價格上漲 83%。 2020 年 1 月的另一次交叉出現之後，股價飆升了 113%，而最近一次交叉出現在 2024 年 1 月，標誌著 76% 漲幅的開始。

Now, if the Puell Multiple sustains above its 365-day moving average, on-chain data suggests that we could see an average increase of around 90% in Bitcoin's price.

現在，如果 Puell 倍數維持在 365 天移動平均線之上，鏈上數據表明我們可能會看到比特幣價格平均上漲 90% 左右。

Favorable Macroeconomic Conditions

有利的宏觀經濟條件

The current macroeconomic environment also aligns with the scenario of a strong bull rally. As highlighted by analysts at CryptoQuant, favorable conditions are boosting the likelihood of an inevitable price breakout.

目前的宏觀經濟環境也符合牛市強勁反彈的情景。正如 CryptoQuant 分析師所強調的那樣，有利的條件正在增加不可避免的價格突破的可能性。

These conditions include increased institutional adoption, positive regulatory developments, and a fear of missing out among retail investors. Bitcoin's price has already gained over 40% in Q4 2024, and the market's parabolic phase appears to have begun.

這些條件包括機構採用的增加、積極的監管發展以及散戶投資者對錯失良機的擔憂。 2024 年第四季度，比特幣的價格已經上漲了 40% 以上，市場的拋物線階段似乎已經開始。

This phase could potentially last for around 300 days before a new macro top is established.

在新的宏觀頂部建立之前，此階段可能會持續約 300 天。

RSI and Market Dynamics

RSI 和市場動態

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), another key technical indicator, signals that Bitcoin's bull market is just getting started. During Bitcoin bull runs, the RSI tends to stay above its overbought level of 70.

另一個關鍵技術指標相對強弱指數（RSI）顯示比特幣的多頭市場才剛開始。在比特幣牛市期間，RSI 往往保持在 70 的超買水平之上。

As of 18th November, 2024, the monthly RSI stood at 74.4, indicating intense buying pressure, which further supports the bullish outlook for Bitcoin.

截至2024年11月18日，月度RSI為74.4，顯示購買壓力巨大，這進一步支撐了比特幣的看漲前景。

Future Prospects for Bitcoin Bulls

比特幣牛市的未來前景

As Bitcoin approaches the $100,000 mark, market sentiment remains optimistic. Analysts are predicting that the most intense upside for Bitcoin is still to come, with expectations of reaching six figures for the first time in the history of the cryptocurrency.

隨著比特幣逼近10萬美元大關，市場情緒依然樂觀。分析師預測，比特幣最強勁的上漲勢頭尚未到來，預計其價格將在加密貨幣歷史上首次達到六位數。

However, there are concerns about retail FOMO and potential corrections along the way.

然而，人們對零售業的 FOMO 和潛在的調整感到擔憂。