比特幣BTC/USD達到86,909.48美元，加密貨幣市場對不斷變化的美聯儲政策期望做出回應，獲得了1.03％

週一，比特幣BTC/USD達到86,909.48美元，在24小時內獲得1.03％的股份，因為加密貨幣市場繼續響應轉移美聯儲貨幣政策的預期。

portion of the article is a transcription of a post made by Hayes on X.

本文的一部分是Hayes在X上發表的帖子的轉錄。

What Happened: BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes predicted on Sunday that Bitcoin will hit $110,000 before retesting the $76,500 level.

發生的事情：Bitmex聯合創始人Arthur Hayes在周日預測，比特幣將在重新測試76,500美元之前達到110,000美元。

"I bet BTC hits $110k before it retests $76.5k," Hayes wrote.

海斯寫道：“我敢打賭，BTC在重新測試$ 76.5k之前達到了11萬美元。”

He attributed this to the Federal Reserve shifting from quantitative tightening to quantitative easing for treasuries, and tariffs not mattering due to "transitory inflation."

他將其歸因於美聯儲從定量收緊到國庫的定量寬鬆，而關稅無關緊要，這是由於“暫時通貨膨脹”。

"The Fed is going from QT to QE for treasuries. And tariffs don't matter cause 'transitory inflation.' JAYPOW told me so. I'll expound on that in my next essay, that's the TLDR for your TikTok peanut brain," he said.

“美聯儲從QT到量化寬鬆的國債。傑普（Jaypow）告訴我。

The central bank kept interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% last Wednesday, with Chairman Jerome Powell bringing back the controversial term "transitory" to describe potential inflationary effects from new tariffs.

中央銀行上週三將利率穩定在4.25％-4.50％，主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）帶回了有爭議的術語“暫時性”，以描述新關稅的潛在通貨膨脹效應。

The Fed also announced plans to slow its quantitative tightening program beginning in April, cutting Treasury securities redemption limits from $25 billion to $5 billion monthly. This policy shift comes amid rising stagflation concerns.

美聯儲還宣布了計劃從4月開始減慢其定量收緊計劃的計劃，將國庫券的贖回限制從250億美元降低到每月50億美元。在滯水問題不斷增加的情況下，這種政策轉變是出現的。

The latest projections from the Fed show Gross Domestic Product growth slowing to 1.7% by 2025, compared to December's estimate of 2.1%, while core PCE inflation expectations rose from 2.5% to 2.8%.

美聯儲的最新預測顯示，到2025年，國內生產總值的總增長速度降至1.7％，而12月的估計值為2.1％，而核心PCE通貨膨脹預期從2.5％上升到2.8％。

"It’s simply too early to say with any degree of confidence that the inflationary effects will be transitory," criticized Allianz chief economic adviser Mohamed El-Erian, referring back to the Fed's 2022 blunder where they initially disregarded persistent inflation.

批評安聯的首席經濟顧問穆罕默德·埃里安（Mohamed El-Erian）批評說，現在有任何信心對通貨膨脹的影響將是暫時的，還為時過早，這回到了美聯儲的2022年失誤，最初無視持久通貨膨脹。

However, economists warned that despite President Biden's administration announcing new tariffs on Sunday on Chinese goods, economists believe they will have a minimal impact on inflation.

但是，經濟學家警告說，儘管拜登總統政府週日宣布了新的關稅，但經濟學家認為，他們對通貨膨脹的影響最小。

"The S&P 500 index, tracked by SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY), closed 0.08% higher on Friday after Jerome Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve, said at the Economic Club of New York that the U.S. could enter a recession this year despite a strong jobs market, as the central bank attempts to cool inflation with higher interest rates," reported Benzinga.

“ SPDR S＆P 500（紐約證券交易所：間諜）追踪的標準普爾500指數在周五收盤上漲0.08％，此前美聯儲董事長杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）在紐約的經濟俱樂部表示，儘管中央銀行試圖與更高的利率降低利率，但美國儘管有強大的就業機會市場可能會進入紐約的經濟俱樂部，但今年，儘管有一個強大的就業機會市場，但貝恩茲·貝恩茲（Benzinga）都報導了。”

The S&P 500 index, tracked by SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY), closed 0.08% higher on Friday after Jerome Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve, said at the Economic Club of New York that the U.S. could enter a recession this year despite a strong jobs market, as the central bank attempts to cool inflation with higher interest rates.

SPDR S＆P 500（NYSE：SPY）追踪的標準普爾500指數在周五收盤上漲0.08％，此前美聯儲董事長杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）在紐約的經濟俱樂部表示，儘管中央銀行試圖降低利率降低利率，但美國仍可以在今年進入衰退，儘管這是一個強大的就業市場。

After reaching a 22-month low last week, Bitcoin surged past $85,000. Meanwhile, gold extended its record highs and remained stable at $3,020 per ounce.

上周達到22個月的低點後，比特幣飆升了85,000美元。同時，黃金延長了創紀錄的高點，並保持穩定，每盎司3,020美元。