比特幣（BTC）鯨魚又回到了市場，6月可以標誌著壯觀的上升

比特幣市場中熟悉的模式的回歸很有趣。與2020年一樣，鯨魚（那些擁有1,000至10,000 BTC之間的實體）開始大量積累

The return of familiar patterns in the Bitcoin market is intriguing. Like in 2020, the whales – those entities holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC – are starting to accumulate massively again, despite the surrounding volatility. If history repeats itself, June could well mark the beginning of a spectacular rise… ATH in the process of being downloaded?

比特幣市場中熟悉的模式的回歸很有趣。像2020年一樣，儘管周圍的波動性發生了，但鯨魚（那些擁有1,000至10,000 BTC的實體都開始大量積累。如果歷史重演，六月很可能會在下載過程中標誌著壯觀的崛起……ATH？

2020 vs 2025: Bitcoin whales replicate their winning strategy

2020 vs 2025：比特幣鯨複製他們的獲勝策略

In March 2020, while the market was collapsing due to the pandemic shock, the whales took advantage of the panic to strengthen their positions. A few months later, the price of Bitcoin embarked on one of the most powerful rallies in its history. Five years later, the scenario seems to be repeating. After a brutal correction to $81,222 and a dominance that collapsed to 58.8%, the same wallets are reinforcing their holdings, indicating a discreet yet methodical accumulation strategy.

2020年3月，由於大流行沖擊，市場崩潰了，鯨魚利用了恐慌來加強其立場。幾個月後，比特幣的價格開始了其歷史上最強大的集會之一。五年後，這種情況似乎正在重複。在殘酷的校正至81,222美元，占主導地位倒塌至58.8％之後，同一錢包正在加強其持有量，表明謹慎而有條不紊的積累策略。

According to CryptoQuant, this behavior is typical of the early phases of a bullish cycle. These so-called “market-leading” wallets act as catalysts. Their resilience contrasts with the visible nervousness among retail investors. This psychological gap between large and small market players has historically preceded strong bullish movements.

根據加密素養的說法，這種行為是看漲週期早期階段的典型代表。這些所謂的“市場領先”錢包充當催化劑。他們的韌性與散戶投資者之間的神經緊張形成鮮明對比。大型和小型市場參與者之間的心理鴻溝歷史上是在強烈的看漲運動之前。

From a technical standpoint, the threshold of $84,000 stands out as a major pivot. A sustained break of this level could propel Bitcoin towards $88,000. However, the macroeconomic environment remains uncertain. Between speeches from Jerome Powell, employment announcements, and tariff tensions, the slightest exogenous signal could slow down – or catalyze – this momentum.

從技術角度來看，84,000美元的門檻是一個主要的樞紐。該水平的持續中斷可能會使比特幣轉移到88,000美元。但是，宏觀經濟環境仍然不確定。在杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）的演講，就業公告和關稅緊張局勢之間，最小的外源信號可能會減慢或催化這種勢頭。

BTC: a cycle that rhymes with ascent?

BTC：押韻上升的循環？

The parallel with 2020 does not stop at behavioral analysis. It fits into a cycle logic, where each phase of consolidation precedes an expansion. The whales seem to know this. They are not looking to beat the market, but to anticipate it. Five years ago, Bitcoin reached its ATH (all-time high) in 2020, surpassing $20,000 on December 16th, initiating a rise that would peak at nearly $64,000 in April 2021.

與2020年相似的行為分析不會停止。它適合一個循環邏輯，其中鞏固的每個階段都在擴展之前。鯨魚似乎知道這一點。他們不希望擊敗市場，而是要預測市場。五年前，比特幣在2020年達到其ATH（歷史最高水平），在12月16日超過20,000美元，在2021年4月的上升幅度將達到近64,000美元。

If we apply a similar cyclical logic, crossing a new ATH in 2025 could happen as early as June, with a gradual ramp-up until autumn. The signals of whale accumulation and the current institutional pressure suggest a bullish scenario that could catapult Bitcoin well beyond $150,000.

如果我們採用類似的周期性邏輯，那麼2025年越過新的ATH可能早在6月就會發生，直到秋天逐漸增加。鯨魚積累和當前機構壓力的信號表明，看漲的情況可能會超過150,000美元。

The movements of the whales remind us that Bitcoin cycles often obey a repetitive logic. Their strategic accumulation sends a strong signal: the market could be on the brink of a new bullish phase. For investors, ignoring these signals would be akin to turning their backs on history. In the meantime, BTC is on a tightrope this week and could well drop to $72,000.

鯨魚的動作提醒我們，比特幣循環經常遵守重複的邏輯。他們的戰略積累發出了強烈的信號：市場可能處於新看漲階段的邊緣。對於投資者而言，忽略這些信號將類似於轉向歷史。同時，BTC本周處於繩索狀態，很可能會降至72,000美元。

Maximize your Cointribune experience with our "Read to Earn" program! For every article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning benefits.

通過我們的“閱讀賺取”計劃最大化您的共同成員體驗！對於您閱讀的每篇文章，請賺取積分並獲得獨家獎勵。立即註冊並開始賺取福利。