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加密貨幣新聞文章

在全球不確定性中,比特幣(BTC)鯨魚鉛積累

2025/04/19 16:00

隨著全球緊張局勢和經濟不穩定繼續推動整個市場的波動,比特幣處於關鍵時刻。

在全球不確定性中,比特幣(BTC)鯨魚鉛積累

Bitcoin is currently consolidating after enduring several weeks of selling pressure and heightened volatility. Despite struggling to break above the $90K level, BTC continues to hold strong above the $80K–$81K zone—a crucial support range that has kept the broader market from slipping into deeper losses. However, macroeconomic tensions persist, with the ongoing trade conflict between the United States and China fueling global uncertainty. The threat of further tariffs and an impending recession continues to weigh on risk-on assets like Bitcoin.

比特幣持續了數週的銷售壓力和增強的波動性,目前正在整合。儘管努力超越了9萬美元的水平,但BTC仍在超過8萬美元 - $ 8.1千的區域,這是一個關鍵的支持系列,它使更廣泛的市場無法陷入更深的損失。但是,宏觀經濟緊張局勢持續存在,美國與中國之間的貿易衝突促進了全球不確定性。進一步關稅和即將衰退的威脅繼續在比特幣等風險資產上權衡。

Still, on-chain metrics suggest that larger players are remaining confident. According to data from Glassnode, wallets holding more than 10,000 BTC continue to accumulate, with their trend score hovering around 0.7—suggesting sustained bullish activity from long-term holders. Meanwhile, smaller cohorts—ranging from less than 1 BTC to 100 BTC—have started easing their distribution, with the 10–100 BTC group now approaching a 0.5 trend score.

儘管如此,鏈的指標表明,較大的玩家仍然有信心。根據GlassNode的數據,持有10,000多個BTC的錢包繼續積累,其趨勢得分徘徊在0.7左右,這是長期持有人的持續看漲活動。同時,較小的隊列(從少於1 BTC到100 BTC)開始緩解它們的分佈,而10-100 BTC組現在接近0.5趨勢得分。

With whales leading the charge and smaller holders beginning to follow, Bitcoin’s consolidation may be setting the stage for the next major move once macro conditions stabilize.

隨著鯨魚領導電荷,較小的持有人開始遵循,一旦宏觀條件穩定,比特幣的合併可能正在為下一個重大移動奠定基礎。

Bitcoin Whales Lead Accumulation Amid Global Uncertainty

在全球不確定性中,比特幣鯨魚鉛積累

Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment as global tensions and economic instability continue to drive volatility across markets. The escalating trade war between the United States and China has triggered waves of investor uncertainty, especially after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause for all countries except China. As trade relations between the world’s largest economies hang in the balance, market participants are maintaining a cautious approach, and Bitcoin—often viewed as a high-risk asset—continues to trade below key moving averages.

隨著全球緊張局勢和經濟不穩定繼續推動整個市場的波動,比特幣處於關鍵時刻。美國與中國之間的貿易戰不斷提高引發了投資者的不確定性浪潮,尤其是在美國總統唐納德·特朗普宣布除中國以外的所有國家 /地區宣布了90天的關稅停頓。隨著世界上最大的經濟體之間的貿易關係,市場參與者正在保持謹慎的態度,而比特幣(通常被視為高風險資產)持有貿易,可在關鍵移動平均水平下進行交易。

Despite the bearish overhang, on-chain data from Glassnode provides a more nuanced perspective. Wallets holding over 10,000 BTC maintain a strong accumulation trend, with the trend score remaining around 0.7. This sustained activity suggests that long-term, deep-pocketed investors are undeterred by short-term price swings and continue to build positions.

儘管看跌了懸垂,但玻璃節的鏈上數據提供了更細微的觀點。持有超過10,000 BTC的錢包保持了強勁的積累趨勢,趨勢得分仍保持在0.7左右。這項持續的活動表明,長期,雄厚的投資者並沒有被短期價格波動所避免,並繼續建立職位。

More notably, smaller investor groups—from wallets holding less than 1 BTC to those holding up to 100 BTC—are easing off their distribution. In particular, the 10–100 BTC group now hovers near a 0.5 trend score, a sign that this mid-sized cohort could be pivoting from selling to accumulating.

更值得注意的是,較小的投資者團體(從持有少於1 BTC的錢包到持有100 BTC的錢包)正在減輕分配。特別是,現在10-100個BTC組徘徊在0.5趨勢得分附近,這表明這種中型隊列可以從銷售到累積的趨勢。

This potential shift in sentiment among smaller holders could mark a turning point for the market. If macroeconomic conditions begin to stabilize and momentum follows, Bitcoin’s next breakout could be shaped by this growing alignment between whales and mid-sized investors.

較小持有人之間情緒的潛在轉變可能標誌著市場的轉折點。如果宏觀經濟狀況開始穩定並隨之而來,那麼比特幣的下一個突破可能會因鯨魚和中型投資者之間日益排列而影響。

BTC Price Tests Liquidity Bands As Bulls Eye $90K Breakout

BTC價格測試流動性樂隊隨著公牛眼的$ 90K突破

Bitcoin is currently trading around critical liquidity levels, caught in a tight range as the market lacks clear direction. After several weeks of heightened volatility, BTC has entered a consolidation phase, where both buyers and sellers are struggling to gain the upper hand. The key challenge for bulls is to reclaim the $90K mark, which would set the stage for a recovery rally and potentially open the door for a breakout above $95K—a crucial threshold for establishing a strong bullish structure.

比特幣目前正在圍繞關鍵的流動性水平進行交易,由於市場缺乏明確的方向,範圍很差。經過幾週的波動性,BTC進入了一個合併階段,在那裡買賣雙方都在努力獲得優勢。公牛隊的主要挑戰是收回$ 90K的大關,這將為恢復集會奠定基礎,並有可能打開以高於$ 95K的突破,這是建立強大的看漲結構的關鍵門檻。

However, before bulls can think about $90K, they must first overcome two important moving averages. The 200-day EMA, located around $85K, and the 200-day MA, near $88K, are acting as firm resistance levels. These technical indicators have historically played a key role in determining trend direction and sentiment. A sustained move above both would confirm strength and increase the likelihood of further upside.

但是,在公牛隊考慮到約9萬美元之前,他們必須首先克服兩個重要的移動平均值。 200天的EMA位於約8.5萬美元和200天的MA,接近8.8萬美元,正充當公司的阻力水平。這些技術指標歷史上一直在確定趨勢方向和情感方面發揮了關鍵作用。超越兩者的持續移動將確認力量並增加進一步上升的可能性。

On the flip side, failure to reclaim these levels could expose BTC to renewed selling pressure. A breakdown below the $82K support zone could trigger a deeper retracement, possibly dragging price back toward the $75K region. For now, Bitcoin remains in limbo, awaiting a decisive move that will determine the next leg of the market.

另一方面,未能收回這些水平可能會使BTC面臨新的銷售壓力。低於$ 82K的支撐區的故障可能會引發更深層次的回溯,可能會將價格拖回75,000美元的地區。目前,比特幣仍處於困境,等待決定性的行動,這將決定下一個市場。

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