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市場情報公司GlassNode的聯合創始人說,基於關鍵指標,比特幣(BTC)突然看起來不那麼看跌。
The co-founders of market intelligence firm Glassnode are keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) price action, and according to them, a key metric is suddenly looking less bearish.
市場情報公司GlassNode的聯合創始人正在密切關注比特幣(BTC)的價格行動,據他們說,關鍵指標突然看起來不那麼看跌。
In a new thread on the social media platform X, Jan Happel and Yann Alleman - who go by the handle Negentropic - shared an updated Bitcoin Risk Signal chart, showing that the metric has dropped below 25.
在社交媒體平台X上的一個新線程中,Jan Happel和Yann Alleman(通過handle negentropic乘坐的Yann Alleman)分享了一個更新的比特幣風險信號圖表,表明該指標已降至25處。
The Bitcoin Risk Signal, according to Alleman, is based on a “set of proprietary indicators, including Bitcoin price data, on-chain data and a selection of other trading metrics.” The indicator gauges whether BTC is at risk of a major drawdown in price.
根據ALLEMAN的說法,比特幣風險信號基於“一組專有指標,包括比特幣價格數據,鏈上數據和其他交易指標的選擇”。該指標衡量了BTC是否有大量價格降低的風險。
The lower the value of the Bitcoin Risk Signal, the less likely BTC is to experience a significant price drop, and vice versa. As such, values below 25 on the indicator are generally considered bullish.
比特幣風險信號的價值越低,BTC的價格下降的可能性就越小,反之亦然。因此,指標上低於25的值通常被認為是看漲的。
“Good news and bad news – which one do you want first?” the analysts wrote, kicking off their analysis.
“好消息和壞消息 - 您首先想要哪一個?”分析師寫道,開始了他們的分析。
“Good: the Risk Index has dropped below 25, meaning bearish pressure has significantly eased.”
“好:風險指數已下降到25台以下,這意味著看跌壓力已大大緩解。”
However, before a bullish trend reversal can be confirmed, the analysts said that Bitcoin needs to flip the $100,000 level into support.
但是,在證實看漲趨勢逆轉之前,分析師說,比特幣需要將100,000美元的水平翻轉為支持。
“Bad (or maybe not so bad): the BTC futures-to-spot ratio shows a higher increase in futures than spot, indicating this recovery is futures-driven. Meanwhile, shorts are piling up above $99,000-$100,000, which could fuel a squeeze.”
“不好(或可能還不錯):BTC期貨與點的比率比現場的增長更高,這表明這種恢復是由期貨驅動的。同時,短褲堆積在99,000-100,000美元以上,這可能會擠壓。”
The analysts also noted that Bitcoin needs spot trading volume to increase in order to hold higher price levels as support.
分析師還指出,比特幣需要斑點交易量以增加,以便將更高的價格水平作為支持。
“Each rebound is weaker, signaling a lack of spot volume for a stronger move…” they wrote.
他們寫道:“每個反彈都較弱,這表明缺乏更強大的舉動……”
“Until $97,000-$98,500 is recovered, $92,000 remains the key downside level to watch.”
“直到收回$ 97,000- $ 98,500之前,$ 92,000仍然是要觀看的關鍵缺票。”
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading hands for $98,336, having remained largely flat over the past 24 hours.
在撰寫本文時,比特幣以98,336美元的價格交易,在過去的24小時內仍然很平坦。
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