比特幣 (BTC) 難以重返 10 萬美元，川普就職前可能跌至 7 萬美元

在大規模清算迫使比特幣 (BTC) 從歷史最高價格水準 10.8 萬美元暴跌至 9.19 萬美元之後，比特幣 (BTC) 一直難以重返 10 萬美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) price has failed to return to the $100k level after a massive wave of liquidation caused a nosedive from an all-time-high price level of $108k to $91.9k. According to analyst Ali Martinez, the asset currently relies on a crucial support range of $97,041 and $93,806. A fall below this level could send Bitcoin to $70k before the inauguration of Donald Trump.

在大規模清算浪潮導致比特幣 (BTC) 價格從歷史最高價格水準 10.8 萬美元暴跌至 9.19 萬美元之後，比特幣 (BTC) 價格未能回到 10 萬美元水平。分析師 Ali Martinez 表示，該資產目前依賴 97,041 美元和 93,806 美元的關鍵支撐區間。在唐納德·川普就職之前，跌破這一水平可能會使比特幣跌至 7 萬美元。

Supporting this bearish thesis, Martinez highlighted the unexpected surge of Bitcoin exchange reserves. According to him, more than 33k Bitcoin ($3.23 billion) has been transferred to various centralized exchanges, hinting at a possible selling pressure. Meanwhile, profit booking is reported to have contributed to the current position of $95k.

馬丁內斯支持這一看跌論點，強調了比特幣外匯儲備的意外激增。據他稱，超過 33,000 個比特幣（32.3 億美元）已轉移到各個中心化交易所，這暗示可能存在拋售壓力。同時，據報道，利潤預訂為當前頭寸貢獻了 95,000 美元。

Based on data, investors collectively realized more than $7.17 billion in profits on December 23. Fascinatingly, traders have also reduced their expectation of a near-term rally as the percentage of those holding long positions of the asset on Binance has declined from 66.73% to 53.60%.

數據顯示，投資者在12 月23 日總共實現了超過71.7 億美元的利潤。 % 下降至53.60%。

Currently, Bitcoin has lost 0.17% of its value on the 24-hour price chart, falling below a crucial support level of $97k, where 1.51 million wallets made a collective purchase of around 1.49 million BTC.

目前，比特幣在 24 小時價格圖表上已下跌 0.17%，跌破 9.7 萬美元的關鍵支撐位，該支撐位有 151 萬個錢包集體購買了約 149 萬個 BTC。

More Bearish Predictions by Analysts

分析師做出更多悲觀預測

According to Ali Martinez, this bearish trend could be overturned once the asset reclaims its support zone and makes a significant advancement toward $100k. Using the Mayer Multiple, Martinez believes that BTC could rise as high as $168k if it manages to secure and sustain its level above the $100k mark, as we earlier reported.

Ali Martinez 表示，一旦該資產收復支撐區域並大幅上漲至 10 萬美元，這種看跌趨勢可能會被扭轉。正如我們之前報導的那樣，利用梅耶倍數，馬丁內斯認為，如果 BTC 能夠確保並維持在 10 萬美元大關之上，其價格可能會上漲至 16.8 萬美元。

In agreement with Martinez’s position, crypto analyst Tone Vays has disclosed that BTC could likely decline to $73,000 once it plunges below the $95k mark. According to veteran trader Peter Brandt, the asset could be breaking down from a broadening triangle pattern. Per his thesis, this could drag BTC to the $70k zone.

與 Martinez 的立場一致，加密貨幣分析師 Tone Vays 透露，一旦 BTC 跌破 95,000 美元大關，它可能會跌至 73,000 美元。資深交易員彼得·布蘭特表示，該資產可能會從不斷擴大的三角形格局中崩潰。根據他的論文，這可能會將 BTC 拖至 7 萬美元區域。

For Benjamin Cowen, there is a possibility of Bitcoin crashing down to $60k around the inauguration of Trump. Meanwhile, Fundstrat anticipates a run to $250k in 2025.

對 Benjamin Cowen 來說，川普就職前後比特幣有可能跌至 6 萬美元。同時，Fundstrat 預計 2025 年將達到 25 萬美元。

Joining the discussion, Chartered Market Technician Aksel Kibar hinted that the asset could be declining to the mid $60k. His prediction stems from the analysis of a head-and-shoulders pattern, which usually indicates an uptrend breakdown.

特許市場技術員 Aksel Kibar 也加入了討論，暗示該資產可能會跌至 6 萬美元左右。他的預測源自於對頭肩形態的分析，頭肩形態通常顯示上升趨勢的崩潰。

Amid the backdrop of this bearish trend, Santiment data suggests that whales are increasing buying the dip. According to the report, a significant amount of stablecoin has been moved to exchanges after post-Christmas.

在這種看跌趨勢的背景下，Santiment 數據顯示鯨魚正在增加逢低買入。該報告稱，聖誕節後，大量穩定幣已轉移至交易所。