比特幣 (BTC) 看起來有望達到 10 萬美元，但需要突破 6.8 萬美元阻力位

比特幣 (BTC) 在 2024 年初創下 73,000 美元以上的歷史新高後，大多數投資者將下一個目標定為 10 萬美元大關。

Bitcoin (BTC) has been showing signs of strength in recent weeks, and as the asset builds on the current bullish momentum, most investors have set their target on the $100,000 mark as the next record valuation for the maiden cryptocurrency.

比特幣(BTC) 最近幾週一直顯示出走強的跡象，隨著該資產在當前看漲勢頭的基礎上不斷發展，大多數投資者已將目標定為10 萬美元大關，作為這種首次加密貨幣的下一個創紀錄估值。

Now, a trading expert has offered a blueprint to push Bitcoin toward this milestone.

現在，一位交易專家提供了推動比特幣邁向這一里程碑的藍圖。

In particular, the expert, Peter DiCarlo, noted that Bitcoin looks solid to reach $100,000 but needs to breach the $68,000 resistance level to confirm the path to a new record high, he said in an X post on September 28.

特別是，專家 Peter DiCarlo 在 9 月 28 日的 X 貼文中表示，比特幣看起來有望達到 10 萬美元，但需要突破 68,000 美元的阻力位才能確認通往新紀錄高點的道路。

DiCarlo observed that Bitcoin is currently in a bull flag formation, a classic indicator of bullish momentum, but warned that this pattern has “faked a lot of traders out” in recent months.

迪卡洛觀察到，比特幣目前處於牛市旗形，這是看漲勢頭的經典指標，但他警告說，這種模式在近幾個月「欺騙了很多交易者」。

He noted that the key to breaking through lies in the “bx” indicator, representing a bullish accumulation zone. This bx zone below $68,000 suggests that institutional investors have steadily accumulated Bitcoin. DiCarlo believes Bitcoin is primed for a breakout as long as this bullish accumulation continues.

他指出，突破的關鍵在於「bx」指標，代表看漲累積區域。低於 68,000 美元的 bx 區域表明機構投資者正在穩步累積比特幣。迪卡洛認為，只要這種看漲累積持續下去，比特幣就準備好要突破。

“BTCUSD looking solid for a run up to $100k in the coming months. That said, we need to clear $68K before we confirm! This bull flag has faked a LOT of traders out over the past couple of months,” he said.

「BTCUSD 在未來幾個月內預計將上漲至 10 萬美元。也就是說，我們需要先清算 68K 美元才能確認！在過去的幾個月裡，這面牛市旗幟欺騙了許多交易者，」他說。

Bitcoin’s key fundamentals

比特幣的關鍵基本面

Moreover, the analysis highlighted an accumulation zone around $52,000, where institutional buying has been particularly strong. This accumulation provides a solid foundation for Bitcoin’s potential to move higher.

此外，分析還強調了 52,000 美元左右的積累區域，該區域機構買盤尤其強勁。這種累積為比特幣的上漲潛力提供了堅實的基礎。

As things stand, Bitcoin could build on the current bullish momentum to reclaim the $68,000 mark as the asset prepares for one of the strongest finishes to September. To this end, investors are looking to the ‘Uptober’ phenomenon, where the maiden cryptocurrency tends to surge in October.

就目前情況而言，比特幣可能會在當前看漲勢頭的基礎上重回 68,000 美元大關，因為該資產正在為 9 月最強勁的收盤做準備。為此，投資者正在關注「Uptober」現象，這種首次出現的加密貨幣往往會在 10 月飆升。

However, this momentum is not guaranteed, as Bitcoin still has several barriers to clear before having a solid chance of rallying in October. For instance, as reported by Finbold, BTC has notable liquidity to the downside, and the asset needs to clear retail’s long positions before rallying in the coming month.

然而，這種勢頭並不能保證，因為比特幣在 10 月有可靠的反彈機會之前仍然有幾個障礙需要清除。例如，根據 Finbold 報導，比特幣在下行方面具有顯著的流動性，該資產需要在下個月反彈之前清除散戶的多頭部位。

Indeed, Bitcoin has set its target at $70,000 during a period of influx of stablecoin liquidity and a recovery in the crypto market. In this line, a report by 10x Research indicated that ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate cut, nearly $10 billion in stablecoins were issued, driving market liquidity up. The high volume is key since stablecoins are usually leveraged to shift positions in the crypto market.

事實上，在穩定幣流動性湧入和加密市場復甦期間，比特幣將其目標定為 70,000 美元。在此方面，10x Research的報告顯示，在聯準會降息之前，發行了近100億美元的穩定幣，推動市場流動性上升。高交易量是關鍵，因為穩定幣通常被用來轉移加密貨幣市場的部位。

Bitcoin’s cautious outlook

比特幣前景謹慎

Amid the prevailing bullish sentiment, crypto trading expert Ali Martinez noted in an X post on September 27 that investors should anticipate a possible price correction. The warning is based on Bitcoin’s TD Sequential indicator, which has signaled a sell on the four-hour chart.

在普遍的看漲情緒中，加密貨幣交易專家 Ali Martinez 在 9 月 27 日的 X 貼文中指出，投資者應該預期可能的價格調整。該警告基於比特幣的 TD 順序指標，該指標在四小時圖表上發出了賣出訊號。

Historically, such signals have been associated with price corrections, and traders may expect some downward pressure on Bitcoin in the short term. With Bitcoin trading at the $65,000 mark, the indicators suggest the asset will likely drop further.

從歷史上看，此類訊號一直與價格調整有關，交易者可能會預期比特幣短期內會面臨一些下行壓力。隨著比特幣交易價格達到 65,000 美元大關，指標表明該資產可能會進一步下跌。

Bitcoin was trading at $65,665 at press time, having dropped by about 0.1% in the last 24 hours. On the weekly chart, BTC is up almost 4%.

截至發稿時，比特幣交易價格為 65,665 美元，在過去 24 小時內下跌了約 0.1%。從週線圖來看，BTC 上漲了近 4%。

In summary, while Bitcoin shows strong bullish momentum, it faces significant resistance at the $68,000 level, which is key to hitting $100,000. Despite the positive indicators, caution is warranted as market volatility and potential corrections could disrupt its upward trajectory.

綜上所述，雖然比特幣顯示出強勁的看漲勢頭，但在 68,000 美元水平面臨重大阻力，這是衝擊 100,000 美元的關鍵。儘管有積極的指標，但仍需謹慎，因為市場波動和潛在的調整可能會擾亂其上升軌跡。