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隨著2月23日臨近的每週臨近,比特幣(BTC)正在朝著95,000美元的印記,這是由於大量購買BTC的跡象所推動的。
As the weekly close on February 23 approached, Bitcoin (BTC) was looking towards the $95,000 mark, fueled by indications of significant BTC purchases from the business intelligence company, Strategy.
隨著2月23日臨近的每週收盤,比特幣(BTC)正在努力達到95,000美元,這是由於從商業智能公司戰略中購買了BTC大量購買的跡象。
BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
BTC/1小時圖表。資料來源:Cointelegraph/TradingView
After a period of volatility triggered by the massive hack of cryptocurrency exchange Bybit, BTC/USD experienced a relatively calm weekend.
經過一段時間的波動性,由大量加密貨幣交換Bybit觸發,BTC/USD經歷了一個相對平靜的周末。
Following the event, Bitcoin was able to stabilize as traders shifted their focus elsewhere.
事件發生後,隨著交易者將重點轉移到其他地方,比特幣能夠穩定。
“The range remains constrained,” popular trader Daan Crypto Trades noted in one of his weekend updates on X.
“範圍仍然受到限制,”受歡迎的交易者Daan加密貨幣交易在他關於X的周末更新中指出的。
“At the same time, volatility is on a downward trend as prices are increasingly compressed. Even amidst yesterday’s turmoil, the price closed at the same level as it has for the past two weeks.”
“同時,隨著價格越來越壓縮,波動性下降趨勢。即使在昨天的動盪中,價格也與過去兩個星期相同的水平上漲。”
BTC/USDT perpetual swaps 1-day chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X
BTC/USDT永久交換1天圖表。資料來源:Daan Crypto Trades/X
As observed by Daan Crypto Trades and others, open interest across exchanges had decreased, hitting its lowest level since February 9, according to data from monitoring platform CoinGlass.
正如Daan加密貨幣貿易和其他人所觀察到的那樣,根據Monitoring Platform Coinglass的數據,跨交易所的開放興趣已經下降,自2月9日以來達到了最低水平。
“Typically, a lower open interest along with a higher price indicates a good reset, even if it is just on a shorter timeframe. Still waiting for spot market activity to determine the next steps,” he concluded.
“通常,較低的開放興趣以及更高的價格表明重置良好,即使它只是在較短的時間內。仍在等待現貨市場活動來確定下一步。”他總結道。
Exchange BTC Futures Open Interest (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass
Exchange BTC期貨開放興趣(屏幕截圖)。資料來源:小店
Meanwhile, the excitement around Strategy was sparked by CEO Michael Saylor sharing a chart of the company’s current BTC holdings — usually an indication that additional buying has occurred or is anticipated.
同時,首席執行官邁克爾·塞勒(Michael Saylor)激發了對戰略的興奮,分享了該公司當前BTC持有的圖表 - 通常表明已經發生或預計會發生額外的購買。
“I believe this doesn’t represent the activity I completed last week,” Saylor said about the latest chart.
“我相信這並不代表我上週完成的活動,”塞勒談到最新圖表時說道。
Strategy BTC holdings. Source: Michael Saylor/X
策略BTC持有。資料來源:Michael Saylor/X
Bitcoin research predicts “substantial market movements”
比特幣研究預測了“大量市場變動”
On the topic of volatility, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode reported that Bitcoin’s implied volatility has rarely hit such low levels.
關於波動性的主題,鏈分析公司玻璃節玻璃節報告說,比特幣的隱含波動率很少達到如此低的水平。
Implied volatility measures the standard deviation of market returns relative to their mean.
隱含的波動率衡量了市場收益相對於其平均值的標準偏差。
“Bitcoin’s 1-week realized volatility has dropped to 23.42%, approaching historical lows,” it stated on February 21.
它在2月21日說:“比特幣的1週意識到波動率下降到23.42%,接近歷史低點。”
“In the last four years, it has dipped below this level on only a few occasions – for instance, in October 2024 (22.88%) and November 2023 (21.35%). Similar compressions historically led to substantial market movements.”
“在過去的四年中,它僅在幾次級別上下降到此水平以下 - 例如,2024年10月(22.88%)和2023年11月(21.35%)。從歷史上看,類似的壓縮導致了大量市場發展。”
Bitcoin 1-week realized volatility. Source: Glassnode/X
比特幣1週實現的波動性。來源:玻璃節/x
Glassnode also pointed out multi-year lows in Bitcoin options implied volatility — a phenomenon that has previously been followed by “major volatility spikes.”
GlassNode還指出了比特幣選項的多年低點暗示波動率,這是一種以前曾經是“主要波動率尖峰”的現象。
“Meanwhile, the longer-term implied volatility remains elevated (3m: 53.1%, 6m: 56.25%),” it noted.
它指出:“同時,長期隱含的波動率保持升高(3m:53.1%,6m:56.25%)。”
This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. Every invesment and trading decision carries risk, and readers are encouraged to conduct their own research before making any decisions.
本文不提供投資建議或建議。每項發件和交易決策都會帶來風險,並鼓勵讀者在做出任何決定之前進行自己的研究。
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