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加密貨幣新聞文章

儘管機構投資者積累了跡象,但比特幣(BTC)價格抑制仍在繼續

2025/02/08 08:01

儘管機構投資者和大型交易集團有明顯的積累跡象,但比特幣(BTC)仍在經歷似乎是價格抑制的東西。

儘管機構投資者積累了跡象,但比特幣(BTC)價格抑制仍在繼續

Bitcoin price showed signs of suppression on Monday, despite evidence of institutional accumulation. The price briefly crossed the first resistance fan line but was met with resistance at $99K, leading to a lower low.

儘管有機構積累的證據,但比特幣的價格在周一顯示出抑制的跡象。價格短暫地越過了第一個阻力風扇線,但在$ 9.9萬美元的情況下遇到了電阻,導致低點。

However, the 4-hour RSI painted a higher low, indicating potential underlying strength. On-Balance Volume (OBV) remained at support but continued to trend downward.

但是,4小時的RSI繪製了更高的低點,表明潛在的潛在強度。平衡量(OBV)仍在支持下,但繼續向下趨勢。

Daily Chart Reflects Strong Hands Holding BTC

每日圖表反映強壯的手握住BTC

The daily chart for BTC showed a market where whales appeared to be attempting to drive the price lower, yet Bitcoin continued to hold its ground. This ongoing grind downward was affecting altcoins more significantly, making them more susceptible to sell-offs during periods of stagnation.

BTC的每日圖表顯示了一個市場,鯨魚似乎正在試圖推動價格降低,但比特幣繼續保持其地面。這種持續的磨損對山寨幣的影響更大,使它們在停滯期間更容易拋售。

No clear test on daily RSI had occurred yet, making it a key technical indicator to watch for any sign of a turnaround.

尚未對每日RSI進行明確的測試,這是關注任何周轉跡象的關鍵技術指標。

Ethereum Faces Resistance But Holds Key Support Levels

以太坊面臨阻力,但保持關鍵支持水平

Ethereum price was also met with resistance on Monday, both in terms of price action and OBV. However, the 4-hour RSI suggested that ETH may be preparing for a move higher.

在價格行動方面,週一也有以太坊價格在周一遇到了抵抗。但是,4小時的RSI建議ETH可能正在準備更高的移動。

ETH retraced to TBO Support on the 4-hour chart, which was encouraging, although confirmation of a stronger trend was still needed. Importantly, ETH had not made a lower low on the daily time frame, reinforcing the case that it may be in the process of forming a bottom.

ETH在4小時圖表上回顧了TBO支持,儘管仍然需要更強大的趨勢。重要的是,ETH在每日時間範圍內並沒有使其較低,從而加強了可能正在形成底部的情況。

Market Sentiment Shaken, But Downtrend Feels Exhausted

市場情緒動搖了,但下降趨勢筋疲力盡

Despite holding onto profits from earlier dip buys, the market’s continued grind lower was frustrating for traders. The extended bearish movement seemed more like forced selling than organic weakness. ETH, in particular, remained extremely oversold, now sitting 13% below its daily TBO Fast Line.

儘管持有早期Dip Buy的利潤,但市場的持續磨損對交易者來說仍然令人沮喪。擴展的看跌運動似乎更像是強迫銷售,而不是有機弱點。尤其是ETH,仍然非常超額出售,現在現在低於其每日TBO快速線的13%。

A relief rally was long overdue, but the lack of positive catalysts from Ethereum’s leadership had not helped investor confidence.

救濟集會早就應該了,但是以太坊領導層缺乏積極的催化劑並沒有幫助投資者的信心。

Stablecoin Dominance Shows Weakness, but BTC Dominance Continues Rising

Stablecoin的優勢表現出弱點,但BTC的優勢持續上升

Stablecoin dominance recently flashed a bearish divergence signal at TBO Resistance, signaling a potential reversal lower. However, daily RSI for stablecoin dominance made a new high on Sunday, suggesting that fear remained present in the market.

Stablecoin的優勢最近在TBO電阻處閃爍了看跌差異信號,這表明潛在的逆轉較低。但是,Stablecoin主導地位的每日RSI在周日提高了新的高度,這表明恐懼仍然存在。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) pushed higher, with daily RSI moving up to 82.56 and weekly RSI now firmly above 70. This suggested that BTC dominance may continue to rise, limiting the chances for a strong altcoin rally in the near term.

同時,比特幣優勢(BTC.D)提高了,每天的RSI上升到82.56,而每週RSI現在穩定在70中。這表明BTC的優勢可能會繼續上升,這限制了在近期近期強大的Altcoin集會的機會。

Altcoin Dominance Struggles to Recover

Altcoin優勢努力恢復

Top 10 Dominance continued to decline, with daily RSI now deeply oversold at 18.49. Historically, this had been a sign of further weakness rather than an immediate reversal. The 4-hour chart had yet to provide any indication of an imminent bounce.

前十名的統治地位繼續下降,每天的RSI現在深入18.49。從歷史上看,這是進一步的弱點的跡象,而不是直接逆轉。 4小時的圖表尚未提供任何即將反彈的跡象。

OTHERS dominance, representing the broader altcoin market, also remained under pressure, with daily RSI closing at 20.35. While this was slightly above the January 28th low, it still reflected significant selling pressure.

其他代表更廣泛的Altcoin市場的主導地位也保持壓力,每日RSI截至20.35。儘管這略高於1月28日的低點,但仍然反映出巨大的銷售壓力。

Altcoin Market Cap Still Holding Despite Declining RSI

儘管RSI下降,但Altcoin市值仍在

OTHERS market cap painted a lower daily RSI reading on Monday, but support levels were still holding. The broader altcoin market remained fragile, with slow, grinding losses discouraging bullish momentum.

其他市值在周一繪製了每日RSI閱讀較低,但支持水平仍保持持有。更廣泛的山寨幣市場仍然脆弱,緩慢而磨碎的損失阻礙了看漲的勢頭。

However, BVOL7D, a key volatility indicator, was expected to turn around soon, potentially providing a catalyst for altcoin recovery.

但是,預計BVOL7D是一個關鍵的波動率指標,可能會很快轉身,有可能為Altcoin恢復提供催化劑。

Traditional Finance Markets Show No Signs of Weakness

傳統的金融市場沒有弱點的跡象

There was no clear indication from TradFi markets that would justify the ongoing crypto weakness. In fact, major stock indices had a strong day, which undercut the idea that external macroeconomic fears were responsible for Bitcoin and altcoin declines. Given the broader market strength, the continued crypto sell-off looks more like a coordinated effort by large entities than a natural market reaction.

Tradfi市場沒有明確的跡象可以證明正在進行的加密貨幣弱點是合理的。實際上,主要的庫存指數有很強的一天,這削弱了外部宏觀經濟擔憂是造成比特幣和替代幣下降的想法。鑑於市場強度更大,持續的加密拋售看起來更像是大型實體的協調努力,而不是自然的市場反應。

Sticking to the Plan in a Volatile Q1

在揮發性Q1中堅持計劃

Despite the ongoing volatility, the broader outlook remained intact. BTC is still expected to reach a new all-time high around $173K in November. Altcoins will follow Bitcoin’s lead, but the path remains rocky.

儘管持續的波動性,但更廣泛的前景仍然完好無損。預計BTC仍將在11月的17.3萬美元左右達到新的歷史最高高點。 Altcoins將跟隨比特幣的領先優勢,但道路仍然是艱難的。

The first quarter of 2025 has proven to be far more turbulent than expected, but the long-term trend remains bullish.

事實證明,2025年第一季度的動盪要比預期的要動盪得多,但長期趨勢仍然看漲。

For traders navigating this uncertainty, the five rules from The Better Traders Journal are more important than ever:

對於交易者導航這種不確定性,《更好的交易者雜誌》的五個規則比以往任何時候都重要:

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