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在過去的一周中,比特幣(BTC)下跌了14%以上,在投資者對唐納德·特朗普總統的直接聯邦比特幣投資感到失望之後,在唐納德·特朗普總統3月7日的行政命令中感到失望,該命令概述了一項計劃,該計劃概述了使用政府刑事案件中沒收的加密貨幣制定比特幣儲備金的計劃。
Bitcoin (BTC) fell more than 14% during the past week to reach around $80,708 by 12:00 p.m. Litvinov believes that investors were disappointed with the lack of direct federal Bitcoin investments in President Donald Trump’s March 7 executive order that outlined a plan to create a Bitcoin reserve using cryptocurrency forfeited in government criminal cases.
在過去的一周中,比特幣(BTC)下跌了14%以上,到下午12:00,Litvinov認為,在唐納德·特朗普總統3月7日的行政命令中缺乏直接聯邦比特幣投資的投資使投資者感到失望,該計劃概述了一項計劃,該計劃概述了在政府犯罪案件中使用密碼造成比特幣儲備的計劃。
However, cryptocurrencies and global markets remain in a “macro correction” as part of the bull market, according to Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at the Nansen crypto intelligence platform.
但是,根據Nansen Crypto Intelligence Platform的首席研究分析師Aurelie Barthere表示,加密貨幣和全球市場仍然處於“宏觀校正”中。
Most cryptocurrencies have broken key support levels, making it hard to estimate the next key price levels, the analyst told Cointelegraph, adding:
分析師告訴Cointelegraph,大多數加密貨幣都打破了關鍵支持水平,因此很難估計下一個關鍵價格水平。
“We are still in a correction within a bull market: Stocks and crypto have realized and are pricing; a period of tariff uncertainty and fiscal cuts, no Fed put. Recession fears are popping up,” added the analyst.
“我們仍在牛市中進行更正:股票和加密貨幣已經意識到並且正在定價;一段時間的關稅不確定性和財政削減,沒有美聯儲。經濟衰退的擔憂正在彈出。”分析師補充說。
Other analysts have also warned that Bitcoin may experience a deeper retracement toward the “low $70,000’s range, which may “provide a foundation for a more sustainable recovery,” from the recent lows around $68,000, according to Iliya Kalchev, dispatch analyst at digital asset investment platform Nexo.
Digpath Analyst Nexo的Dispatch分析師Iliya Kalchev表示,其他分析師還警告說,比特幣可能會對“ 70,000美元範圍的低$ 70,000範圍”進行更深入的回溯,這可能“為更可持續的恢復提供基礎,從最近的低點約68,000美元中。
Bitcoin's 36% correction to $70K ‘normal’ for a bull market: Arthur Hayes
比特幣對牛市的36%更正至$ 70K的“正常”:亞瑟·海斯(Arthur Hayes)
Meanwhile, crypto derivatives exchange BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said that he expects to see a deeper retracement of around 36% from November 2021’s all-time high of $69,000 to the $44,000 range, before a return to new highs.
同時,加密衍生品交換Bitmex聯合創始人Arthur Hayes表示,他希望從2021年11月的歷史最高售價為69,000美元,至44,000美元的範圍內,將看到更深層次的回溯,然後再回到新高高。
Bitcoin’s potential retracement to the $70,000 psychological mark would still fall within the regular price movement of a bull market, according to Hayes.
據海斯(Hayes)稱,比特幣對70,000美元的心理標記的潛在回溯仍將屬於牛市的正常價格轉移。
In a March 11 X post, Hayes said that crypto traders and investors should not be surprised to see Bitcoin revisit the $40,000 range, which is around a 36% correction from November 2021’s all-time high of $69,000.
海斯在3月11日的X帖子中說,加密貨幣交易員和投資者不應該驚訝地看到比特幣重新審視了40,000美元的範圍,這是2021年11月的歷史最高售價約為69,000美元的36%。
After reaching a high above $42,000 on March 10, Bitcoin dropped to as low as $38,000 on March 13, and was last trading around $39,000.
3月10日達到高於42,000美元的高價後,比特幣在3月13日下降到38,000美元,最後交易左右約39,000美元。
According to Hayes, cryptocurrencies and global markets are still in a bull market, despite investor concerns of an early arrival of a bear market cycle due to the recent volatility in crypto prices and U.S. stock markets.
根據海斯的說法,儘管投資者擔心加密貨幣價格和美國股票市場的波動,但加密貨幣和全球市場仍處於牛市。
“Then we get Fed, PBOC, ECB, and BOJ all easing to make their country great again,” added Hayes, referring to quantitative easing, a monetary policy where central banks increase the money supply by buying government bonds and other financial assets.
海斯補充說:“然後,我們得到了餵養,PBOC,歐洲央行和棚屋,使他們的國家再次變得偉大。”
Quantitative easing has historically been positive for Bitcoin price.
歷史上,比特幣價格是積極的。
Bitcoin’s price rose over 1,050% during the last quantitative easing period, from just $6,000 in March 2020 to $69,000 by November 2021, after the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing policy was announced during the COVID-19 pandemic on March 23, 2020, buying over $4 trillion worth of assets such as treasuries.
在上一定量化期間,比特幣的價格上漲了1,050%以上,從2020年3月的6,000美元到2021年11月的69,000美元,此前聯邦儲備的定量寬鬆政策在2020年3月23日大流行期間宣布了諸如國庫等價值超過4億美元的資產。
BTC/USD (1W) (2020-2021) (Chart via TradingView)
BTC/USD(1W)(2020-2021)(通過TradingView圖表)
Analysts remained optimistic about Bitcoin’s price trajectory for late 2025, with price predictions ranging from $160,000 to above $180,000.
分析師對比特幣2025年末的價格軌跡保持樂觀,價格預測範圍從160,000美元到180,000美元不等。
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