比特幣 (BTC) 價格預測：加密貨幣女王眼中 10.5 萬美元的市場訊號顯示出強烈的樂觀情緒

在這個聖誕佳節期間，加密貨幣市場的樂觀情緒明顯高漲。來自比特幣衍生性商品市場的數據表明，在持續的看漲情緒和有利的技術指標的推動下，加密貨幣女王很有可能達到 105,000 美元。

Amidst the festive cheer of the Christmas season, the crypto market is abuzz with a palpable wave of optimism. According to data emerging from the bitcoin derivatives market, there is a strong likelihood that the apex crypto will reach the 105,000 dollar mark, propelled by persistent bullish sentiment and favorable technical indicators.

在聖誕節的節慶歡呼聲中，加密貨幣市場洋溢著明顯的樂觀情緒。根據比特幣衍生性商品市場的數據，在持續的看漲情緒和有利的技術指標的推動下，加密貨幣極有可能達到 105,000 美元大關。

Traders and analysts alike are keeping a close watch on the movements of bitcoin, which, following a 14.5% correction from its all-time high of 108,275 dollars, now shows encouraging signs of recovery.

交易員和分析師都在密切關注比特幣的走勢，比特幣從歷史高點 108,275 美元回調 14.5% 後，現在顯示出令人鼓舞的復甦跡象。

The premium for monthly futures contracts, currently at 12% above the spot market, signifies a strong preference for long positions. This configuration, notably higher than the usual neutral range of 5-10%, also reflects the confidence of institutional investors in bitcoin’s bullish trajectory.

月度期貨合約的溢價目前比現貨市場高出 12%，顯示人們對多頭部位的強烈偏好。這一配置明顯高於通常的 5-10% 的中性區間，也反映了機構投資者對比特幣看漲軌蹟的信心。

Moreover, bitcoin options bolster this positive market reading, with a gap of only 2% between puts and calls, a level historically linked to market expansion phases. This metric, which professionals follow closely, suggests that major market players maintain their bullish exposure despite recent volatility.

此外，比特幣選擇權支持了這種積極的市場解讀，看跌期權和看漲期權之間的差距僅為 2%，這一水平歷來與市場擴張階段相關。專業人士密切關注的這一指標表明，儘管近期出現波動，但主要市場參與者仍保持看漲立場。

On OKX, the Long/Short leverage ratio reaches remarkable levels, with a multiplier of 25x favoring long positions. While significant, this level remains below the thresholds of excessive euphoria, typically situated above 40x.

在 OKX 上，多頭/空頭槓桿比率達到了驚人的水平，多頭部位的乘數為 25 倍。雖然很重要，但該水平仍低於過度欣快感的閾值，通常位於 40 倍以上。

The recovery of traditional markets, exemplified by the rebound of the S&P 500 during the Christmas holidays, creates a supportive environment for risky assets like bitcoin. The increase in yields on U.S. Treasury bonds at 10 years, now at 4.59%, paradoxically enhances bitcoin’s appeal as a safe haven against inflation.

傳統市場的復甦，以標準普爾 500 指數在聖誕節期間的反彈為代表，為比特幣等風險資產創造了支持環境。美國公債殖利率在 10 年期上漲，目前達到 4.59%，反而增強了比特幣作為抵禦通膨避風港的吸引力。

The Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook, which now anticipates two rate cuts in 2025, contributes to maintaining a favorable climate for digital assets. This stance, although more conservative than initial expectations, still supports the notion of ample liquidity in the medium term.

聯準會的貨幣政策前景目前預計 2025 年將有兩次降息，這有助於維持有利於數位資產的環境。這一立場雖然比最初預期更為保守，但仍支持中期流動性充裕的觀點。

The correlation level of 64% between bitcoin and the S&P 500 underscores the growing integration of crypto into the traditional financial landscape, while maintaining its potential for diversification.

比特幣與標準普爾 500 指數之間 64% 的相關性突顯了加密貨幣日益融入傳統金融格局，同時保持了其多元化的潛力。

In sum, the convergence of technical and fundamental indicators, coupled with bitcoin’s resilience in the face of recent corrections, suggests that the goal of 105,000 dollars is not only achievable but could herald a new stage in the institutional adoption of crypto.

總而言之，技術和基本面指標的趨同，加上比特幣在近期調整中的彈性，表明 105,000 美元的目標不僅可以實現，而且可能預示著加密貨幣的機構採用進入了一個新階段。