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最近幾週,比特幣 [BTC] 的價格穩步上漲,引發了人們對推動這一勢頭的潛在因素的興趣。
Bitcoin [BTC] price movements have sparked interest in the underlying factors driving its recent rally. According to a CryptoQuant analysis, there is a notable correlation between Bitcoin ETF net flows and miner profitability, which could be influencing BTC price trends.
比特幣 [BTC] 的價格走勢引發了人們對推動其近期上漲的潛在因素的興趣。根據 CryptoQuant 的分析,比特幣 ETF 淨流量與礦商獲利能力之間存在顯著的相關性,這可能會影響 BTC 價格趨勢。
A glance at the Bitcoin ETFs shows that large positive net flows often occur near market peaks, while negative net flows tend to coincide with market bottoms.
瀏覽比特幣 ETF 就會發現,大量正淨流量通常出現在市場高峰附近,而負淨流量往往發生在市場底部。
This trend suggests that when capital flows into Bitcoin ETFs, it can lead to upward price pressure, while capital outflows may result in downward pressure.
這一趨勢表明,當資金流入比特幣ETF時,可能會導致價格上漲壓力,而資金流出可能會導致價格下跌壓力。
Additionally, the miner profit/loss sustainability chart helps track whether Bitcoin miners are operating profitably based on the difference between Bitcoin prices and miners’ operating costs.
此外,礦商獲利/虧損可持續性圖表有助於根據比特幣價格與礦商營運成本之間的差異來追蹤比特幣礦商是否獲利。
The chart identifies “overpaid” zones, when miners are generating significant profits, and “underpaid” zones, when miners are facing losses.
此圖表確定了「支付過高」區域(當礦工產生可觀利潤時)和「支付過低」區域(當礦工面臨損失時)。
Taha's analysis offers key insights into how BTC prices are linked to miner profitability. As Bitcoin prices rise, miners tend to be in more profitable positions, as seen in March, June, and October 2024.
Taha 的分析提供了有關 BTC 價格與礦商獲利能力如何關聯的重要見解。正如 2024 年 3 月、6 月和 10 月所見,隨著比特幣價格上漲,礦工往往處於更有利可圖的位置。
During these periods, miners generated significant profits, with miner sustainability metrics rising above 40.
在此期間,礦商創造了可觀的利潤,礦商永續發展指標升至 40 以上。
However, when capital exits Bitcoin ETFs, miners' revenue can decrease due to the selling pressure, pushing them into a less profitable or loss-making position.
然而,當資本退出比特幣 ETF 時,礦商的收入可能會因拋售壓力而減少,從而將他們推向利潤較低或虧損的情況。
A notable example of this occurred in May 2024, when Bitcoin prices fell sharply, leading to a miner sustainability level of -60, indicating that miners were extremely underpaid.
一個值得注意的例子發生在 2024 年 5 月,當時比特幣價格大幅下跌,導致礦工可持續發展水準為-60,這表明礦工的薪酬極其過低。
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