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在過去的幾周中,加密貨幣市場被不斷變化的全球宏觀經濟學引起的高度不確定性和波動性所淹沒。
The cryptocurrency market has been exhibiting a high degree of uncertainty and volatility in recent weeks, triggered by the constantly shifting global macroeconomics. This unsettled market condition saw the Bitcoin price dance between $74,000 and $83,000 in the space of a few days.
加密貨幣市場在最近幾週內表現出高度的不確定性和波動性,這是由於不斷變化的全球宏觀經濟學引發的。在幾天的時間內,這種尚未解決的市場狀況使比特幣價格舞蹈在74,000美元至83,000美元之間。
The price of BTC sank toward $74,000 at the start of the past week as crypto investors panicked after United States President Donald Trump announced new trade tariffs. On Thursday, April 10, the premier cryptocurrency reclaimed the $83,000 level after President Trump paused trade tariffs on all countries except China.
在過去一周開始時,BTC的價格下跌了74,000美元,因為加密貨幣投資者感到恐慌,因為美國總統唐納德·特朗普宣布了新的貿易關稅。 4月10日,星期四,特朗普總統在中國以外的所有國家 /地區停止貿易關稅之後,總理加密貨幣收回了83,000美元。
Is Bitcoin Now A ‘Mature Asset’?
比特幣現在是“成熟資產”嗎?
The Bitcoin price has been quite reactive to virtually every piece of news in the global trade, demonstrating the highly volatile state of the cryptocurrency market. However, an on-chain analytics expert has explained that the volatility of the current Bitcoin market pales in comparison to past episodes.
比特幣價格幾乎對全球貿易中的每個新聞都充滿了反應,這表明了加密貨幣市場的高度易變狀態。但是,一位鏈分析專家解釋說,與過去的情節相比,當前的比特幣市場的波動率顯得下調。
In a new post on the social media platform X, CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, revealed that the Bitcoin price volatility in the ongoing global trade drama has been “so far lower” than that from other past events, such as the COVID-19 crash, Terra-Luna collapse, FTX downfall, and the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) bank run.
在社交媒體平台X上的一篇新帖子中,CryptoQuant的研究主管Julio Moreno透露,正在進行的全球貿易戲劇中比特幣價格波動遠比與過去的其他事件相比,例如Covid-19 Crash,例如Terra-Luna Call,Terra-Luna Collapse,FTX Downfall,FTX Downfall,以及Silicon Valley Bank(Silicon Valley Bank(SVB)運行。
The relevant indicator here is the Price Intraweek Range metric, which estimates the percentage change in the average weekly price of Bitcoin. According to data from CryptoQuant, the Bitcoin Price Intraweek Range climbed to an all-time high of 72% during the COVID-19 market downturn in April 2020.
這裡的相關指標是Intaweek範圍度量的價格,該指標估計比特幣平均每週價格的百分比變化。根據CryptoQuant的數據,在2020年4月的Covid-19市場下跌期間,比特幣價格的Intraweek範圍攀升至歷史最高72%。
The chart above shows that the BTC Intraweek Range indicator surged to 49% after the crash of the Terra Luna ecosystem in May 2022. Meanwhile, the indicator reached 31% following the collapse of the Sam-Bankman-Fried-led FTX exchange in late 2022 and the SVB bank run in early 2023.
上圖顯示,在2022年5月Terra Luna生態系統崩潰後,BTC Intaweek範圍指示器飆升至49%。與此同時,指標在2022年底以Sam-Bankman-Fried-LED交易所倒閉後,該指標達到31%,SVB銀行在2023年初運行。
With the escalating trade tensions between the United States and China, the Bitcoin Price Intraweek Range metric stands between 8% – 21%. This reduced volatility suggests that the premier cryptocurrency has matured as an asset, with deeper liquidity and a better market structure.
隨著美國和中國之間的貿易緊張局勢不斷升級,比特幣價格的內在範圍度量在8%至21%之間。這種降低的波動率表明,總理加密貨幣已經成熟為一種資產,具有更深的流動性和更好的市場結構。
The relatively stable price action can be connected to the growing base of long-term holders and steady corporate adoption, as institutional players are beginning to view the world’s largest cryptocurrency less as a high-risk asset and more as a hedge against macroeconomic uncertainties.
相對穩定的價格行動可以與長期持有人的不斷增長的基礎和穩定的公司採用相關聯,因為機構參與者開始將世界上最大的加密貨幣視為高風險資產,而更多地是反對宏觀經濟不確定性的對沖。
Bitcoin Price At A Glance
比特幣價格一目了然
As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $83,700, reflecting a 5% increase in the past 24 hours.
截至撰寫本文時,BTC的價格約為83,700美元,反映了過去24小時的5%。
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