彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）預測

隨著比特幣的價格在上升方面努力通過了84,000美元的電阻，在美國股票市場的嚴重糾正中，對BTC的看跌呼籲正在上升。

As Bitcoin price struggles to pass the $84,000 resistance on the upside, bearish calls for BTC are rising amid severe correction in the US stock market. Popular economist Peter Schiff believes that if Nasdaq enters the bear market correcting 40% from the peak, BTC price can collapse all the way to $20K.

隨著比特幣的價格在上升方面努力通過了84,000美元的電阻，在美國股票市場的嚴重糾正中，對BTC的看跌呼籲正在上升。受歡迎的經濟學家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）認為，如果納斯達克（Nasdaq）進入熊市（Bear Market），從峰值校正40％，BTC價格可能會跌至20萬美元。

Nasdaq Decline and Bitcoin Price Correlation

納斯達克下降和比特幣價格相關性

Amid the brutal US stock market correction over the last few weeks, the NASDAQ index is down by 12%. Economist Peter Schiff believes that things could turn brutal for BTC if the correction slips further into a bear market.

在過去幾週的美國股票市場更正中，納斯達克指數下降了12％。經濟學家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）認為，如果校正進一步滑入熊市，情況可能會使BTC變得殘酷。

The Bitcoin price shares a historical correlation with Nasdaq. A 12% NASDAQ decline often equates to a 24% drop in Bitcoin, placing it at approximately $65,000. If the NASDAQ continues to drop by 20%, Bitcoin could align at $55,000.

比特幣的價格與納斯達克有歷史相關性。納斯達克股票下跌12％通常相當於比特幣下降24％，將其定為65,000美元。如果納斯達克股票繼續下降20％，比特幣可能以55,000美元的價格保持一致。

However, Schiff added that Nasdaq has historically seen even greater corrections while slipping into the bear market territory. The economist stated that during the Dot-com bubble, the NASDAQ fell nearly 80%, while it declined 55% during the 2008 financial crisis and 30% during the COVID crash in 2020.

但是，Schiff補充說，納斯達克在歷史上已經看到了更大的校正，同時滑入了熊市市場。這位經濟學家表示，在互聯網泡沫期間，納斯達克次數下降了近80％，而在2008年的金融危機中下跌了55％，在2020年的Covid墜毀期間下跌了30％。

Considering an average 55% decline, Schiff believes that even a 40% drop in Nasdaq index could push BTC price lower to $20,000. “A drop of this magnitude would likely accelerate Bitcoin’s collapse to much lower levels,” Schiff stated.

考慮到平均下降了55％，席夫認為，即使納斯達克指數下降了40％，也可以將BTC的價格提高到20,000美元。 Schiff說：“如此大量的降低可能會加速比特幣的崩潰到較低的水平。”

However, Peter Schiff is not alone in predicting a Bitcoin price crash to such lower levels. Last week, Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone predicted a BTC crash to $10K, while Gold has been on a very strong upside rally.

但是，彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）並不孤單地預測比特幣價格崩潰到如此較低的水平。上週，彭博分析師邁克·麥格隆（Mike McGlone）預測，BTC墜機事故將達到1萬美元，而黃金的上升時間很強。

For the near term, all eyes will be on the upcoming US Fed decision following the cooling US inflation data for the month of February. Traders are positioning themselves for the same with a strong surge in daily trading volumes.

在短期內，所有的目光都將集中在2月份冷卻的美國通貨膨脹數據之後，即將到來的美國美聯儲決定。貿易商在日常交易量的強勁增長中也將自己定位為同樣。

Gold’s Negative Correlation With Nasdaq

黃金與納斯達克的負相關

In contrast to Bitcoin, gold has shown a negative correlation with the NASDAQ. Since the NASDAQ peaked on December 16, 2023, gold has risen 13%, demonstrating an inverse relationship.

與比特幣相反，黃金與納斯達克島顯示了負相關。自納斯達克（Nasdaq）於2023年12月16日達到頂峰以來，黃金已上升13％，表明了反比的關係。

Economist Peter Schiff stated that if the NASDAQ undergoes a 40% decline, gold could soar past $3,800. These gains could further extend if the bear market leads to a significant decline in the US Dollar, says Schiff.

經濟學家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）表示，如果納斯達克（Nasdaq）下降了40％，黃金可能會超過3,800美元。 Schiff說，如果熊市導緻美元大幅下降，這些收益將進一步延長。

At $3,800 gold and $20,000 Bitcoin, Schiff projected Bitcoin’s value in terms of gold would plunge over 85%, challenging Bitcoin’s narrative as a store of value.

希夫（Schiff）以$ 3,800的黃金和20,000美元的比特幣，預計比特幣的價值將跌至85％以上，這挑戰了比特幣的敘述作為價值存儲。

Schiff Predicts US Might Give Up On Bitcoin Reserve Plans

希夫預測我們可能會放棄比特幣儲備計劃

The economist stated that the divergence in the value of Bitcoin price and Gold could challenge the cryptocurrency’s status as “digital gold”. Thus, Peter Schiff believes that this could further push away the governments or ETF investors to hold Bitcoin in reserves.

這位經濟學家表示，比特幣價格和黃金價值的分歧可能挑戰加密貨幣作為“數字黃金”的地位。因此，彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）認為，這可以進一步推動政府或ETF投資者在儲備中持有比特幣。

He added that massive selling pressure would make it “impossible” for companies like MicroStrategy to liquidate enough Bitcoin to avoid financial distress.

他補充說，巨大的銷售壓力將使像MicroStrategy這樣的公司“不可能”清算足夠的比特幣以避免財務困擾。

Over the past weekend, Bitcoin and the broader crypto markets haven’t shown much of a movement. As press time, Bitcoin is trading 0.66% down at $83,742 with its daily trading volume up by 79% to more than $23.21 billion.

在過去的周末中，比特幣和更廣泛的加密市場並沒有顯示出太多動作。隨著發稿時間，比特幣以83,742美元的價格下跌0.66％，其每日交易量增長了79％，超過232.1億美元。