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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣(BTC)的價格動作在過去一周中鎖定在側向范圍內

2025/04/19 04:24

比特幣在過去的一周中一直鎖定在側面範圍內,因為拒絕了鞦韆高高。波動率已經乾燥,價格動作仍然靜音

比特幣(BTC)的價格動作在過去一周中鎖定在側向范圍內

Bitcoin (BTC) has entered a phase of clear contraction, with price now moving sideways throughout the week. A well-defined local trading range has formed, setting the stage for interesting dynamics.

比特幣(BTC)進入了一個明顯收縮的階段,整個星期的價格現在側向移動。已經形成了一個定義明確的本地交易範圍,為有趣的動態奠定了基礎。

After a swing failure pattern marked the recent local high, the market has remained within the defined range. Meanwhile, volatility continues to contract, and the point of control is now aligning with the range midpoint.

在揮桿故障模式標誌著最近的當地高點之後,市場一直在定義的範圍內。同時,波動率繼續收縮,控制點現在與範圍中點保持一致。

These factors, combined with the lack of directional follow-through after a minor attempt to the upside, suggest that consolidation is likely to continue, at least in the short term.

這些因素,加上在上漲空間進行小小的嘗試後缺乏方向性的跟進,這表明至少在短期內,合併可能會持續下去。

Key technical points

關鍵技術要點

Bitcoin’s price action this week has been largely directionless, with the cryptocurrency now grinding sideways. A local trading range has formed, defined by the recent swing high, where a swing failure pattern developed, and the lower boundary, where a key fib level offered support.

本週比特幣的價格行動在很大程度上是無方向性的,現在的加密貨幣現在正在側面打磨。當地的交易範圍是由最近的Swing High定義的,在該鞦韆上開發了鞦韆故障模式以及下邊界,其中關鍵的FIB級別提供了支持。

This rejection at the high set the stage for the current consolidation, with the midpoint of the range now aligning directly with the broader volume point of control. This alignment is a strong signal that the market is balanced, and there is no clear preference for either the buyers or sellers.

在高處的這種拒絕設定了當前合併的階段,範圍的中點現在直接與更廣泛的控制點對齊。這種一致性強烈表明市場是平衡的,並且對買賣雙方都沒有明確的偏愛。

Relative to the prior week, volatility has contracted significantly. This environment tends to favor trap setups, such as liquidation runs or swing failure patterns. In these conditions, traders get caught offside as price momentarily breaks a local high or low before returning to the mean.

相對於上一周,波動率顯著收縮。這種環境傾向於有利於陷阱設置,例如清算運行或揮桿故障模式。在這種情況下,交易者會越位,因為價格暫時打破了當地的高或低點,然後才能恢復平均值。

Such scenarios create difficult conditions for directional trades but may offer short-term opportunities for those looking to trade against extremes. After a rapid move, a period of consolidation or a fib level is reached, setting the stage for a potential reversal.

這種情況為方向交易帶來了困難的條件,但可能會為那些希望與極端交易的人提供短期機會。快速移動後,達到了鞏固或FIB水平的時期,為潛在的逆轉奠定了基礎。

Most actionable zones for intraday trading are still around key local swing highs and lows. These levels offer anticipatory trade setups, entering on the expectation of weakness or a failed breakout, rather than confirmation.

用於盤中交易的最可行的區域仍在主要的本地鞦韆高點和低點附近。這些級別提供了預期的貿易設置,並以弱點或突破失敗的期望而不是確認。

However, without a clear breakout or breakdown from the range, taking high-conviction trades is difficult due to the lack of reliable entry signals. A breakout attempt should be met with skepticism, and a return to the range offers a high-probability trade.

但是,由於缺乏可靠的入境信號,很難沒有明確的突破或崩潰,因此很難進行高信交易。懷疑主義的突破性嘗試應達到突破性的嘗試,而回到該系列則提供了高概率的交易。

Patience is key. This low-volatility, mean-reverting environment may persist into the weekend and early next week. Barring any significant catalysts or a large volume spike, Bitcoin is likely to continue chopping within the current range.

耐心是關鍵。這種低揮發性的卑鄙環境可能會持續到下周和下周初。除非有任何重要的催化劑或大量的尖峰,否則比特幣可能會繼續在當前範圍內切碎。

What’s next for price?

價格是多少?

Bitcoin remains trapped in its local range, and this sideways structure is likely to continue through the weekend. Traders should be cautious around swing highs and lows, as these are the zones where liquidity hunts are most likely.

比特幣仍然被困在其本地範圍內,這種側向結構可能會持續到週末。交易者應該在鞦韆高點和低點周圍謹慎,因為這些地區很可能是流動性狩獵的區域。

A decisive breakout, be it bullish or bearish, will eventually come. But until then, expect continued range-bound movement and suppressed volatility.

決定性的突破,無論是看漲還是看跌,最終都會出現。但是直到那時,人們期望持續距離距離運動並抑制波動率。

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