比特幣（BTC）的價格行動仍然處於關注點，分析師將$ 89,000作為確認底部的關鍵水平

由於分析師將89,000美元指向確認底部的關鍵水平，比特幣的價格行動仍然處於重點。未能收回它可能會將BTC推向69,000美元

Bitcoin (BTC) price action will remain in the spotlight as analysts highlight $89,000 as a make-or-break level for confirming a bottom.

比特幣（BTC）的價格行動將保持焦點，因為分析師重點介紹了89,000美元作為確認底部的製造或破壞水平。

A failure to break above this zone ahead of the upcoming weekly close could push BTC toward $69,000, erasing recent gains and intensifying bearish sentiment.

在即將到來的每週關閉之前，未能超越該區域，這可能會將BTC推向69,000美元，從而消除了最近的收益並加劇了看跌情緒。

$89K Holds Key to Bitcoin Price Recovery

$ 89K擁有比特幣價格恢復的關鍵

Bitcoin last traded at $89,000 on March 7 before falling to $78,523 on March 11.

比特幣最後一次交易於3月7日的89,000美元，然後在3月11日下跌至78,523美元。

Crypto analyst Matthew Hyland believes this level remains crucial for Bitcoin’s uptrend.

加密分析師馬修·海蘭德（Matthew Hyland）認為，這一水平對於比特幣的上升趨勢仍然至關重要。

Hyland said in a video posted to X on March 13,

海蘭德在3月13日發布給X的視頻中說，

“The only way for Bitcoin to confirm that the bottom is actually in would be to close a weekly back above $89K.”

“比特幣確認底部實際上所在的唯一方法是將每週返回8.9萬美元以上。”

Bitcoin price is currently trading near $83,406. If it breaks above $89,000, it would liquidate approximately $1.6 Billion in short positions, according to CoinGlass.

比特幣價格目前的交易價格接近83,406美元。根據Coinglass的說法，如果它破損了89,000美元以上，它將清算約16億美元的短額。

However, failure to close above this level could lead to a drop to $74,000 or even $69,000—levels not seen since November.

但是，如果不超過此水平，可能會導致降至74,000美元甚至69,000美元，這是自11月以來未見的水平。

Hyland argues that a weekly close above $89,000 would indicate renewed bullish momentum. He added,

海蘭德（Hyland）辯稱，每週收盤價超過89,000美元，將表明新的看漲勢頭。他補充說，

“If we do get a weekly close above this area, I think the low is in for Bitcoin.”

“如果我們確實在該區域高出一個周圍的附近，我認為比特幣的低點是。”

Macroeconomic Factors Weigh on BTC Demand

宏觀經濟因素對BTC需求的重量

CryptoQuant reported a decline of 103,000 BTC last week, the fastest contraction since July 2024.

CryptoQuant上週報告了103,000 BTC的下降，這是2024年7月以來收縮最快的收縮。

Analysts attribute this drop to uncertainty around U.S. inflation rates and trade tensions.

分析師將這一下降歸因於美國通貨膨脹率和貿易緊張局勢的不確定性。

On March 7, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that he was in no rush to adjust interest rates.

3月7日，美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）重申，他沒有急於調整利率。

Meanwhile, tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump on Feb. 1 have fueled economic uncertainty, reducing investor appetite for risk-on assets like Bitcoin.

同時，唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）總統在2月1日徵收的關稅加劇了經濟不確定性，減少了投資者對比特幣等風險資產的需求。

The European Union (EU) responded by announcing retaliatory measures set to take effect on April 1.

歐盟（EU）的回應是宣布將於4月1日生效的報復措施。

Analysts warn that escalating trade tensions could trigger further market instability, potentially pushing Bitcoin below key support levels.

分析師警告說，不斷升級的貿易緊張局勢可能會引發進一步的市場不穩定，這可能會將比特幣推向關鍵支持水平以下。

Marcin Kazmierczak, chief operating officer at RedStone, noted that counter-tariffs indicate potential further retaliation. He said,

Redstone的首席運營官Marcin Kazmierczak指出，反競選表明潛在的進一步報復。他說，

“An ongoing dispute could see Bitcoin fall below its crucial support level of $75,000.”

“持續的爭議可能使比特幣低於其關鍵支持水平75,000美元。”

However, he said he believes BTC could recover given strong stablecoin and real-world asset (RWA) demand.

但是，他說，他認為鑑於強大的穩定股和現實世界的資產（RWA）需求，BTC可以恢復。

Treasury Market Volatility Adds Pressure

國庫市場波動增加了壓力

Increased volatility in the U.S. Treasury market is another factor affecting Bitcoin.

美國財政市場的波動性增加是影響比特幣的另一個因素。

The Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate Index (MOVE), which tracks 30-day expected volatility in Treasury bonds, has surged to 115—the highest level since Nov. 6.

Merrill Lynch選項波動率估計指數（Move）跟踪了30天的預期財政債券波動率，已飆升至115年，這是自11月6日以來的最高水平。

This spike in bond market volatility reduces risk appetite in traditional and crypto markets.

債券市場波動性的這種激增可減少傳統和加密市場中的風險食慾。

Following the 2024 U.S. election, a decline in the MOVE index coincided with Bitcoin price rally from $70,000 to $108,000.

在2024年的美國大選之後，此舉指數下降的下降與比特幣的價格從70,000美元增加到108,000美元。

Now, with the MOVE index climbing 38% in three weeks, analysts suggest risk aversion could delay any major BTC breakout.

現在，隨著移動指數在三週內攀升38％，分析師認為，規避風險可能會延遲任何重大的BTC突破。

Matt Mena, Crypto Research Strategist at 21Shares, remains cautiously optimistic. He stated,

21Shares的加密研究策略師Matt Mena仍然謹慎樂觀。他說，

“With inflation cooling and recession fears still looming but not worsening, Bitcoin could be on the verge of its next major breakout, pushing past the stubborn sub-$90K range.”

“隨著通貨膨脹冷卻和衰退的擔憂仍然存在，但並沒有惡化，比特幣可能正處於下一個重大突破的邊緣，推動了頑固的低於$ 90k的範圍。”

Liquidity Battle Between $69K and $89K

流動性戰役在$ 69K至89K之間

On-chain data shows Bitcoin is trapped between key liquidity zones.

鏈上數據顯示，比特幣被困在關鍵流動性區域之間。

IntoTheBlock highlights support at $79,270 and $69,450, with resistance between $84,296 and $86,753.

Intotheblock突出顯示了79,270美元和69,450美元的支持，電阻在84,296美元至86,753美元之間。

If Bitcoin price falls below $79,270, it risks a slide to $69,000, a level that once marked its 2021 peak before being surpassed in March 2024.

如果比特幣的價格低於79,270美元，則可能會滑到69,000美元，這一水平曾經是其2021年峰值，然後在2024年3月超過。

Conversely, breaking $86,753 could trigger renewed buying, but analysts caution that a strong sell wall exists in this range. Hyland remains firm in his stance:

相反，打破86,753美元可能會引發新的購買，但分析師警告說，在此範圍內存在強大的賣牆。海蘭德仍然堅定地處於他的立場：

“If Bitcoin doesn’t close above $89K, we will likely test lower ranges in the coming weeks.”

“如果比特幣在8.9萬美元以上不關閉，我們可能會在接下來的幾週內測試較低的範圍。”

As Bitcoin price hovers near $83,000, traders will closely watch its weekly close.

隨著比特幣價格徘徊在$ 83,000的左右，交易者將密切關注其每週關閉。

If BTC reclaims $89,000, it could spark fresh upside momentum. Otherwise, a deeper correction toward $69,000 may be in play.

如果BTC收回$ 89,000，它可能會引發新的上行勢頭。否則，可能會在69,000美元上進行更深入的更正。