普埃爾多次閃爍金十字，比特幣 (BTC) 預計將上漲 90%

鏈上數據分析平台 CryptoQuant 標記了一個關鍵的比特幣 (BTC) 指標，該指標表明領先的加密貨幣可能上漲 90%。

Cryptocurrency analytical platform CryptoQuant has flagged a key metric that suggests a potential 90% rally for Bitcoin (BTC). This analysis comes as the leading cryptocurrency trades steadily in the $91,000 range.

加密貨幣分析平台 CryptoQuant 標記了一項關鍵指標，顯示比特幣 (BTC) 可能上漲 90%。這項分析是在領先的加密貨幣穩定在 91,000 美元範圍內交易之際做出的。

The Bitcoin Puell Multiple Shows Golden Cross

比特幣普埃爾多重顯示金十字

CryptoQuant analyst Burakkesmeci revealed in a Quicktake post that a rare golden cross has appeared for Bitcoin’s Puell Multiple. According to the analyst, this behavior usually occurs before major price surges, indicating a bullish rally ahead for BTC.

CryptoQuant 分析師 Burakkesmeci 在 Quicktake 帖子中透露，比特幣的 Puell Multiple 出現了罕見的黃金交叉。據分析師稱，這種行為通常發生在價格大幅上漲之前，顯示比特幣未來將出現看漲反彈。

The Puell Multiple analyzes the relationship between mining revenues and market movements. This metric is calculated as the ratio of the daily value of newly issued Bitcoin (in USD) to its 365-day moving average. Comparing miners’ short-term revenues with long-term averages provides meaningful insights into mining profitability.

普埃爾倍數分析了礦業收入與市場走勢之間的關係。該指標的計算方式為新發行的比特幣每日價值（以美元計）與其 365 天移動平均值的比率。將礦工的短期收入與長期平均收入進行比較可以提供對挖礦盈利能力的有意義的見解。

Burakkesmeci noted that the Bitcoin Puell Multiple has crossed its 365-day moving average three times over the past five years. On each occasion, BTC initiated a major rally in the succeeding weeks. In March 2019, an 83% surge followed a Puell golden cross. Similarly, January 2020 saw a 113% increase, while the most recent cross in January 2024 provided 76% returns.

Burakkesmeci 指出，比特幣 Puell 倍數在過去五年中已三度突破 365 天移動平均線。每一次，比特幣都會在接下來的幾週內發動大幅反彈。 2019 年 3 月，普埃爾金十字出現後，股價飆漲 83%。同樣，2020 年 1 月增長了 113%，而最近一次 2024 年 1 月的交叉帶來了 76% 的回報。

Interpreting the data, the CryptoQuant analyst said an average increase of about 90% in Bitcoin’s price has historically followed after the Puell settles above its SMA365. The analyst believes favorable macroeconomic conditions like the ongoing rate cut cycle boost the odds of an “inevitable” Bitcoin rally.

CryptoQuant 分析師在解讀數據時表示，從歷史上看，當 Puell 穩定在 SMA365 上方之後，比特幣價格平均上漲約 90%。該分析師認為，有利的宏觀經濟條件（例如持續的降息週期）增加了比特幣「不可避免」上漲的可能性。

A 90% rally at the current market price will see Bitcoin reaching approximately $173,000. BTC trades at $91,679 as of this writing, indicating a 0.5% increase in the last 24 hours. The 24-hour trading volume inked a 21.6% increase to $73.10 billion, indicating continued investor interest.

以當前市場價格計算，如果上漲 90%，比特幣將達到約 173,000 美元。截至撰寫本文時，BTC 交易價格為 91,679 美元，表明過去 24 小時內上漲了 0.5%。 24 小時交易量成長 21.6%，達到 731 億美元，顯示投資者的興趣持續存在。

Other Experts’ Opinion on Bitcoin Price

其他專家對比特幣價格的看法

So far, BTC has seen an over 40% gain in Q4 2024. Still, several analysts think Bitcoin’s most intense rally lies ahead. The market’s “parabolic phase” has begun, and it is expected to continue for about 300 days before a new macro peak emerges. Locally, anticipation of Bitcoin reaching six figures is on the rise for the first time in history.

到目前為止，BTC 在 2024 年第四季的漲幅已超過 40%。市場「拋物線階段」已經開始，預計將持續300天左右，然後才會出現新的宏觀高峰。在當地，比特幣價格達到六位數的預期在歷史上首次上升。

However, there are heightened concerns that retail “FOMO” could cause a large price correction. “Lots of people about to become intimately familiar with the phrase, Fear of Missing Out (FOMO), on this Bitcoin cycle,” Preston Pysh, co-founder of The Investor's Podcast, noted in an X post.

然而，人們更加擔心零售業的「FOMO」可能會導致價格大幅調整。 「在這個比特幣週期中，很多人都將非常熟悉「害怕錯過（FOMO）」這個詞，」投資者播客的聯合創始人普雷斯頓·皮什（Preston Pysh）在 X 帖子中指出。

Despite this, Pysh believes that Bitcoin will rally over $125,000 this cycle. He said this when asked by a commenter what he thinks about those who claim that Bitcoin's highest point this cycle will be at $125,000.

儘管如此，Pysh 認為比特幣本週期將上漲超過 125,000 美元。當一位評論者問他對那些聲稱比特幣本週期最高點將達到 125,000 美元的人有何看法時，他說。

In a more bullish forecast, Bernstein analysts predict a $200,000 target for Bitcoin by the end of 2025. CNF reported that the prediction is fueled by increased institutional interest, Bitcoin ETFs, and Trump’s crypto-friendly policies.

在更樂觀的預測中，Bernstein 分析師預計到2025 年底，比特幣的目標價將達到20 萬美元。 。

Meanwhile, major corporations like MicroStrategy and Metaplanet are still accumulating Bitcoin at the $90,000 price range. A recent CNF report noted that MicroStrategy revealed intentions to raise $1.75 billion through convertible notes to expand its BTC holdings.

與此同時，MicroStrategy 和 Metaplanet 等大公司仍在以 90,000 美元的價格範圍累積比特幣。 CNF 最近的一份報告指出，MicroStrategy 透露有意透過可轉換票據籌集 17.5 億美元，以擴大其 BTC 持有量。