比特幣（BTC）市場專家表示擔憂，暗示可能即將大幅調整

隨著比特幣 (BTC) 徘徊在 92,000 美元和 100,000 美元關鍵阻力位附近，加密貨幣市場充斥著投機行為

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hover around the critical $100,000 resistance level, several crypto analysts have outlined potential scenarios for the cryptocurrency’s future movements.

隨著比特幣 (BTC) 繼續徘徊在 10 萬美元的關鍵阻力位附近，一些加密貨幣分析師概述了該加密貨幣未來走勢的潛在情景。

Prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently highlighted several perspectives from well-known analysts, suggesting that a steep correction might be on the horizon. According to Martinez, the market sentiment has turned bearish, with some analysts predicting a potential crash of Bitcoin to as low as $60,000.

著名加密貨幣分析師阿里馬丁內斯 (Ali Martinez) 最近強調了知名分析師的幾個觀點，表明可能即將出現大幅調整。馬丁內斯表示，市場情緒已經轉為看跌，一些分析師預測比特幣可能會跌至 6 萬美元。

Respected crypto trader Tone Vays warned that trading below $95,000 is “very, very bad,” as it heightens the probability of a correction toward $73,000. Similarly, technical analyst Peter Brandt pointed to a potential breakdown of a “broadening triangle,” projecting a retracement toward the $70,000 range.

受人尊敬的加密貨幣交易員 Tone Vays 警告稱，低於 95,000 美元的交易“非常非常糟糕”，因為它增加了回調至 73,000 美元的可能性。同樣，技術分析師 Peter Brandt 指出「擴大三角形」可能會崩潰，預計將回撤至 7 萬美元區間。

Adding to the bearish outlook, Mark Newton of Fundstrat suggested that while Bitcoin could eventually reach $250,000 by 2025, a downswing to $60,000 is likely in the near term.

Fundstrat 的 Mark Newton 表示，儘管比特幣最終可能在 2025 年達到 25 萬美元，但短期內可能會跌至 6 萬美元，這進一步加劇了悲觀前景。

Another analyst, known as Intocryptoverse, speculated that Bitcoin might mirror the price action of the QQQ index offered by Invesco, with a flash crash potentially coinciding with President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20.

另一位名為 Intocryptoverse 的分析師推測，比特幣可能會反映 Invesco 提供的 QQQ 指數的價格走勢，閃電崩盤可能與當選總統唐納德·川普 1 月 20 日就職典禮同時發生。

From an on-chain perspective, the analysis indicates that if Bitcoin falls below $93,806, it could face open air down to $70,008, further highlighting the possibility of a correction.

從鏈上角度來看，分析表明，如果比特幣跌破93,806美元，則可能面臨露天跌至70,008美元，進一步凸顯了回調的可能性。

Interestingly, over 33,000 Bitcoin, valued at approximately $3.23 billion, were transferred to exchanges over the past week, as savvy investors appear to be preparing for a bearish scenario. Moreover, traders realized over $7.17 billion in profits on December 23 alone.

有趣的是，過去一周，超過 33,000 個比特幣（價值約 32.3 億美元）被轉移到交易所，精明的投資者似乎正在為看跌情況做好準備。此外，光是 12 月 23 日交易商就實現了超過 71.7 億美元的利潤。

Recent data from Binance shows a notable shift in trader sentiment, as the percentage of traders holding long positions in Bitcoin dropped from 66.73% to 53.60%. This decline reflects a growing caution among investors as Bitcoin recently broke below a significant support zone at $97,300.

幣安最近的數據顯示，交易者情緒發生顯著變化，持有比特幣多頭部位的交易者比例從 66.73% 下降至 53.60%。這種下跌反映出投資者越來越謹慎，因為比特幣最近跌破了 97,300 美元的重要支撐區域。

For the bearish outlook to be invalidated, Martinez asserts that BTC must reclaim this critical support area and close above $100,000 on a daily basis. If it can achieve and maintain this level, he believes the cryptocurrency could embark on a new upward trajectory, potentially reaching as high as $168,500.

馬丁內斯斷言，為了使看跌前景無效，BTC 必須奪回這一關鍵支撐區域，並每日收於 10 萬美元以上。如果能夠達到並維持這一水平，他相信加密貨幣可能會走上新的上升軌跡，可能達到 168,500 美元的高點。

Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment, Martinez also presented a more bullish scenario. He suggested that a correction of 20% to 30% could actually set the stage for a stronger recovery.

儘管看跌情緒盛行，馬丁內斯也提出了更看漲的觀點。他表示，20% 至 30% 的修正實際上可以為更強勁的復甦奠定基礎。

According to his analysis, a 30% correction would see BTC plummet to approximately $65,000 for current trading prices, a level not seen since October. This correction could serve to reset market sentiment and lay the foundation for future growth.

根據他的分析，如果 BTC 調整 30%，則當前交易價格將暴跌至約 65,000 美元，這是自 10 月以來的最高水平。此次調整可能有助於重置市場情緒，並為未來成長奠定基礎。

At the time of writing, the market’s leading crypto trades at $94,560, posting losses of 2% and 3% on the 24-hour and weekly time frames, respectively.

截至撰寫本文時，市場領先的加密貨幣交易價格為 94,560 美元，在 24 小時和每週時間範圍內分別下跌 2% 和 3%。