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Planb是比特幣庫存到流量模型的創始人,該模型是一種分析工具
PlanB, the mind behind the Bitcoin stock-to-flow model, shared a chart comparing Bitcoin's market value to other traditional assets, highlighting the cryptocurrency's potential for surging in the near term.
比特幣庫存到流量模型背後的思想分享了一張圖表,將比特幣的市場價值與其他傳統資產進行了比較,突出了加密貨幣在短期內飆升的潛力。
According to the data shared by the Bitcoin proponent, the asset appears to be severely undervalued at this time, with its long-standing rival, Gold, outperforming. While Bitcoin's overall market value sits at $2 trillion, Gold's market value is a staggering $20 trillion.
根據比特幣支持者共享的數據,目前,資產似乎被嚴重低估了,其長期存在的競爭對手,黃金,表現優於表現。儘管比特幣的總體市場價值為2萬億美元,但黃金的市場價值令人驚嘆。
However, considering the scarcity levels of both assets, PlanB noted a significant disparity. Bitcoin's scarcity, measured by the S2F-ratio, is 120 years, while Gold's S2F-ratio stands at 60 years.
但是,考慮到這兩種資產的稀缺水平,Planb都指出了很大的差異。由S2F-Ratio衡量的比特幣的稀缺性為120年,而Gold的S2F-Ratio為60年。
Anticipating a potential surge in market value, PlanB expressed optimism for the near term. "Let's see what this halving cycle will bring," he asserted.
Planb預計市場價值的潛在增長對短期表示樂觀。他斷言:“讓我們看看這個減半週期會帶來什麼。”
The Bitcoin halving event, which occurs once every four years and reduces circulating Bitcoins by 50%, was last observed on April 20th, 2024, with block rewards decreasing to 3.125 BTC.
比特幣減半事件每四年一次發生一次,並將循環比特幣減少50%,最後在2024年4月20日觀察到,塊獎勵降至3.125 BTC。
Post-Bitcoin halving expectations are usually bullish, as historical data displays a massive price value increase in both long- and short-term cases. In 2016, Bitcoin experienced a surge of over 271% in price value following halving.
居幣後減半期望通常是看好的,因為歷史數據在長期和短期案例中都顯示出巨大的價格價值。在2016年,比特幣在減半後的價格價值超過271%。
Furthermore, in 2020, the asset recorded the highest post-halving price rally, with gains exceeding 234%. Bitcoin has since seen a 36% increase from last year's $63,825 pre-halving price in April.
此外,在2020年,資產記錄了最高的售後價格集會,收益超過234%。從那以後,比特幣與去年4月的63,825美元預售價格相比增加了36%。
However, it's crucial to observe how macroeconomic factors influence price in the long term.
但是,從長遠來看,觀察宏觀經濟因素如何影響價格至關重要。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at a press time price of $87,361. The asset remains in a critical position, as liquid long positions reached $400 million.
在撰寫本文時,比特幣的交易價格為87,361美元。隨著流動性長期頭寸達到4億美元,資產仍然處於關鍵位置。
According to market analyst Amr Taha, BTC holding above the short-term realized price could indicate an increase in demand. Conversely, a breakdown below these levels suggests a potential reversal.
根據市場分析師AMR TAHA的說法,BTC持有以上的短期實現價格可能表明需求增加。相反,低於這些級別的故障表明潛在的逆轉。
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