比特幣（BTC）投資者變得“貪婪”，關鍵指標轉為看跌，暗示回調

上週，比特幣價格大幅上漲，符合投資者的預期。然而，國王幣開始盤整

Bitcoin [BTC] lived up to investors’ expectations last week. BTC managed to push its price by 8% last week, and this push allowed BTC to flip its $96k resistance into a new support, hinting at a further rise above $100k.

比特幣[BTC]上週沒有辜負投資者的預期。 BTC 上週成功將其價格推高了 8%，這一推動使 BTC 將 96,000 美元的阻力位轉變為新的支撐位，暗示將進一步上漲至 10 萬美元以上。

Now, a crucial BTC metric turned bearish, hinting at a pullback.

現在，比特幣的一項關鍵指標轉為看跌，暗示將出現回檔。

Bitcoin investors are getting ‘GREEDY’

比特幣投資者變得“貪婪”

A popular crypto analyst, Ali Martinez, posted a tweet revealing a notable development. As per the tweet, long-term BTC holders were showing signs of growing greed. Historically, this behavior suggests it could take 8-11 months for BTC to hit a market top.

一位受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師阿里馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）發布了一條推文，揭示了一個顯著的進展。根據該推文，比特幣的長期持有者顯示出越來越貪婪的跡象。從歷史上看，這種行為表明 BTC 可能需要 8-11 個月才能達到市場頂部。

If this turns out to be true on this occasion, BTC reaching a market top might get delayed. To be precise, investors might see BTC reaching that level only by June or September 2025.

如果這次事實證明這是真的，那麼比特幣到達市場頂部的時間可能會被推遲。準確地說，投資者可能會在 2025 年 6 月或 9 月之前看到 BTC 達到這一水平。

Bitcoin’sịpullback' warning

比特幣回調警告

To see whether the rising greed in the market will result in a correction, AMBCrypto assessed Glassnode’s data. After a sharp decline, Bitcoin’s NVT ratio started to rise again. This meant that BTC was getting overvalued, suggesting a price drop soon.

為了了解市場日益增長的貪婪是否會導致調整，AMBCrypto 評估了 Glassnode 的數據。在經歷了大幅下跌之後，比特幣的NVT比率再次開始上升。這意味著比特幣被高估，表明價格很快就會下跌。

Nonetheless, the market at large continued to remain optimistic on BTC. This was evident from the coin’s accumulation trend score, which had a value of over 0.9.

儘管如此，整個市場仍然對比特幣保持樂觀。這從代幣的累積趨勢得分中可以明顯看出，該得分超過 0.9。

For initiators, a value closer to 1 indicates high buying pressure. Generally, rising buying pressure results in continued price hikes. Therefore, the chances of BTC not getting affected by the rising greed in the market can’t be ruled out yet.

對於發起者來說，數值接近 1 表示購買壓力較高。一般來說，購買壓力的上升會導致價格持續上漲。因此，目前還不能排除比特幣不會受到市場貪婪情緒上升影響的可能性。

Apart from that, Bitcoin’s Open Interest (OI) also remained high. Whenever the metric rises, it indicates that the chances of the ongoing price trend continuing are high.

除此之外，比特幣的未平倉合約（OI）也維持在高位。每當該指標上升時，就表示當前價格趨勢持續下去的可能性很高。

However, a look at BTC’s daily chart revealed that the coin was testing a trendline resistance. The MACD displayed the chances of a bearish crossover. Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) was resting in the overbought zone.

然而，從比特幣的日線圖來看，該貨幣正在測試趨勢線阻力。 MACD 顯示看跌交叉的可能性。此外，相對強弱指數（RSI）處於超買區域。

This might trigger a sell-off, which could restrict BTC from breaking above the resistance in the near-term.

這可能會引發拋售，從而限制比特幣在短期內突破阻力位。