比特幣（BTC）可以在今年6月之前達到新的高峰

3月15日上傳到X的數據為BTC/USD提供了大約兩個半月的時間，以擊敗其109,000美元的記錄。

Network economist Timothy Peterson says that Bitcoin (BTC) can hit new all-time highs by June this year if historical patterns repeat.

網絡經濟學家蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）表示，如果歷史模式重複，比特幣（BTC）可能會在今年6月之前達到新的歷史最高點。

In a series of X posts on March 15, Peterson, known for his independent Bitcoin metrics, began tracking the potential for the flagship cryptocurrency to return to new record levels above $109,000.

在3月15日的一系列X帖子中，彼得森以其獨立的比特幣指標而聞名，他開始追踪旗艦加密貨幣的潛力，使其恢復到109,000美元以上的新紀錄水平。

April could spark 50% BTC price upside

四月可能會引發50％的BTC價格上漲空間

Bitcoin has declined around 30% after topping out in mid-January. The extent of the drop is characteristic of bull market corrections, and Peterson is among those who keenly sense the potential for a comeback.

在1月中旬上升後，比特幣下降了約30％。下降的程度是牛市校正的特徵，而彼得森敏銳地感受到了捲土重來的潛力。

“Bitcoin is trading near the low end of its historical seasonal range,” he determined alongside a chart comparing BTC/USD price cycles.

他確定了比較BTC/USD價格週期的圖表，“比特幣正在其歷史季節性範圍的低端交易。”

Bitcoin seasonal comparison. Source: Timothy Peterson/X

比特幣季節性比較。資料來源：蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）/X

Peterson has created various Bitcoin price metrics over the years. One of them, Lowest Price Forward, has successfully defined levels below which BTC/USD never falls after a crossing above them at a certain point.

多年來，彼得森創建了各種比特幣價格指標。其中一個是最低的價格，成功定義了級別，在某個時刻，BTC/USD在超過它們之上後永遠不會掉落。

After its recovery from multi-year lows in March 2020, Lowest Price Forward predicted that BTC price would never trade under $10,000 again from September onward.

在2020年3月從多年低點中恢復過來後，最低的價格前進預測，從9月開始，BTC價格將永遠不會再交易10,000美元。

Meanwhile, a new likely floor level has appeared this year: $69,000, as Cointelegraph reported, which has a “95% chance” of holding.

同時，今年已經出現了一個新的可能的地板水平：正如Cointelegraph所報導的69,000美元，其持有機會“ 95％”。

Continuing, Peterson stipulated a median target of $126,000 with a deadline of June 1.

繼續，彼得森規定了一個中位目標為126,000美元，截止日期為6月1日。

Alongside a chart showing the performance of $100 in BTC, he also revealed that limp bull market performance has always been temporary.

除了顯示BTC $ 100的表現的圖表外，他還透露，Limp Bull Market的表現一直是暫時的。

“Bitcoin average time below trend = 4 months,” he explained.

他解釋說：“比特幣的平均時間= 4個月。”

Bitcoin growth of $100 comparison. Source: Timothy Peterson/X

比特幣的增長$ 100比較。資料來源：蒂莫西·彼得森（Timothy Peterson）/X

A standard Bitcoin bull market comedown

標準比特幣牛市

Other popular market commentators continue to emphasize that Bitcoin’s recent trip to $76,000 is standard corrective behavior.

其他受歡迎的市場評論員繼續強調，比特幣最近售價76,000美元是標準糾正行為。

“You don’t have to look at the previous BTC bull runs to understand that corrections are a part of the cycle and they get smaller as we go up in price on this биткоин chart,” popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital wrote in part of X analysis of the phenomenon at the start of March.

“您不必看一下以前的BTC公牛跑步來了解校正是周期的一部分，並且隨著我們以這個биткоин的價格上漲，它們變得越來越小，”受歡迎的商人和分析師Rekt Capital在3月初對現象的一部分分析中寫道。

Rekt Capital counted five of what he called “major pullbacks” in the current cycle alone, going back to the start of 2023.

Rekt Capital僅在當前週期中就算出了他所謂的“重大回調”的五個，可以追溯到2023年初。

BTC/USD 1-week chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

BTC/USD 1週圖表。資料來源：Rekt Capital/X

Analysts at crypto exchange Bitfinex told Cointelegraph this weekend that the current lows mark a “shakeout,” rather than the end of the current cycle.

Crypto Exchange Bitfinex的分析師本週末告訴Cointelegraph，當前的低點標誌著“震動”，而不是當前週期的結束。