比特幣（BTC）史上最糟糕的一個月可能是迄今為止最好的一個月

BTC 接近 9 月底上漲 9%，為 2013 年以來的最高漲幅，10 月將迎來季節性看漲。

Bitcoin (BTC) is set to end September at least 9% up, marking its best performance in the historically worst month for the asset.

比特幣 (BTC) 預計 9 月底至少將上漲 9%，創下該資產史上最糟糕月份的最佳表現。

BTC rose above $64,000 on Thursday morning in Asia, continuing a rally that began in the second half of the month. The world's largest cryptocurrency began a 24-hour period around $63,800, largely flat on the day. BTC has risen about 36% so far in 2023.

週四上午，比特幣在亞洲上漲至 64,000 美元以上，延續了下半月開始的漲勢。全球最大的加密貨幣 24 小時開盤價約為 63,800 美元，當天基本持平。 2023 年至今，BTC 已上漲約 36%。

A bullish September has historically boded well for bitcoin in the fourth quarter. As previously reported, a green September has always led to BTC closing higher in October, November and December.

從歷史上看，9月的看漲對比特幣第四季來說是個好兆頭。正如之前報導的那樣，綠色的 9 月總是導致 BTC 在 10 月、11 月和 12 月收盤走高。

In contrast, October has seen bitcoin end in the red only twice since 2013, notching gains of as high as 60% and an average of 22%.

相較之下，自 2013 年以來，10 月比特幣僅出現兩次虧損，漲幅高達 60%，平均漲幅達 22%。

After clocking an average value depletion rate of 6.56% in September, bitcoin has performed poorly in the ninth month of the year. Traders have generally been defensive about betting on higher prices in the month.

繼 9 月平均價值損耗率為 6.56% 後，比特幣在今年第 9 個月表現不佳。交易員普遍對本月價格上漲持防禦態度。

However, bitcoin has gained this September amid a slew of global monetary easing policies, a weakening yen, increased institutional investments in bitcoin and both political parties in the U.S. – which influence market movements – showing a favorable sentiment toward the crypto market ahead of November elections.

然而，由於一系列全球貨幣寬鬆政策、日圓疲軟、機構對比特幣的投資增加以及影響市場走勢的美國兩黨在11 月大選之前顯示出對加密貨幣市場的有利情緒，比特幣在今年9 月有所上漲。

The trend is widely expected to continue.

人們普遍預期這一趨勢將持續下去。

“With crypto correlations staying high to macro assets, particularly against the SPX, we consider the friendly macro background to remain a strong tailwind for crypto prices into Q4,” Augustine Fan, head of insights at SOFA, told CoinDesk in a Telegram message.

SOFA 洞察主管Augustine Fan 在Telegram 訊息中告訴CoinDesk：「由於加密貨幣與宏觀資產的相關性保持較高，特別是相對於SPX，我們認為友好的宏觀背景仍將是第四季度加密貨幣價格的強勁推動力。

“Furthermore, with the Kamala camp playing lip service to crypto 'support' as part of her campaign rhetoric, we remain bullish on price action in the near term, with targeted put-selling strategies likely to be popular as investors switch into a 'buy-the-dip' mode,” he added.

「此外，卡馬拉陣營在競選言論中口頭上對加密貨幣'支持'表示支持，我們仍然看好近期的價格走勢，隨著投資者轉向'買入'，有針對性的看跌策略可能會受到歡迎。