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在美國總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的積極關稅政策引發了股票和加密貨幣的大量售罄之後,全球金融市場正在蔓延。
Global financial markets are reeling after U.S. President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies triggered a massive sell-off across both equities and cryptocurrencies.
在美國總統唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的積極關稅政策引發了股票和加密貨幣的大量售罄之後,全球金融市場正在蔓延。
As the threat of a global trade war looms large, Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $75,000 for the first time in weeks, while major altcoins like XRP and Solana (SOL) plummeted over 20%, signaling widespread risk aversion.
隨著全球貿易戰爭的威脅巨大,比特幣(BTC)在幾週內首次下跌了75,000美元,而XRP和Solana(Solan)(SOL)(SOL)(SOL)(SOL)(SOL)(SOL)的主要山寨幣下跌了20%以上,這表明了普遍的風險規避。
Bitcoin Drops 10% as Altcoins Take a Beating
比特幣下降10%,因為Altcoins受到毆打
Bitcoin declined 10% in 24 hours to $74,600, while Ethereum (ETH) posted a staggering 22% drop to $1,514.40. Bitcoin dominance rose to 63% — the highest since early 2021 — as altcoins suffered disproportionately. The CoinDesk 20 index, which tracks top crypto assets, lost 12% in a single day.
比特幣在24小時內下降了10%,至74,600美元,而以太坊(ETH)的跌幅驚人的22%降至1,514.40美元。隨著山寨幣的遭受不成比例的影響,比特幣優勢升至63%,這是自2021年初以來最高的。跟踪頂級加密資產的Coindesk 20指數在一天內損失了12%。
XRP tumbled to $1.70, breaching its 200-day moving average. A confirmed head-and-shoulders breakdown suggests a further decline to $1.07.
XRP跌至1.70美元,違反了其200天移動平均線。確認的頭和肩膀故障表明,進一步下降至1.07美元。
SOL fell below the $100 psychological mark and its 50-day SMA, representing a 64% drop from its all-time high.
索爾(Sol)低於100美元的心理標記及其50天的SMA,比歷史最高水平下降了64%。
DOGE slipped 20% to $0.13, falling through its 18-cent support as a death cross formed on the 4-hour chart.
由於在4小時圖表上形成的死亡十字架,Doge在其18美分的支持下下跌了20%至0.13美元。
Hong Kong's Hang Seng: -13.22%, worst performance since the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis
香港的Hang Seng:-13.22%,自1997年亞洲金融危機以來的表現最差
Taiwan and Japan Stocks: -10%
台灣和日本股票:-10%
FTSE 100: -4.7%
FTSE 100:-4.7%
DAX: -6.32%
DAX:-6.32%
CAC 40: -5%
CAC 40:-5%
S&P 500: down 5.97% on Friday, pre-market trading already 5% lower — confirming bear market status (-20% from peak)
標準普爾500指數:週五下跌5.97%,售前交易已經降低5% - 確認熊市狀況(峰值-20%)
U.S. Tariffs and Global Fallout
美國關稅和全球影響
Trump’s April 2 tariff announcement triggered a $5.4 trillion stock market wipeout over two trading days. China responded with a 34% retaliatory tariff effective April 9. Other countries like Argentina, Taiwan, and India are seeking deals to avoid further escalation.
特朗普4月2日的關稅宣佈在兩個交易日內引發了5.4萬億美元的股票市場廢料。 4月9日,中國以34%的報復關稅作出了34%的報復關稅。其他國家(如阿根廷,台灣和印度)正在尋求交易,以避免進一步升級。
Traders Flee to Safe Havens
貿易商逃往避風港
U.S. 10-year Treasury Yield: down to 4%, with the note up 8% YTD
美國10年財政收益:下降到4%,票據上升8%YTD
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): +6% YTD
iShares 20年以上的國庫券ETF(TLT): + 6%YTD
Gold: $3,037.6/oz (+0.85%)
黃金:$ 3,037.6/oz(+0.85%)
Silver: $29.95/oz (+2.85%)
銀:$ 29.95/oz(+2.85%)
Derivatives and ETF Data
導數和ETF數據
BTC Futures Liquidations: $58.8M (75% from longs)
BTC期貨清算:5880萬美元(長期75%)
ETH Futures Open Interest: 2.24 million ETH
Eth Futures開放興趣:224萬ETH
BTC Perpetual Funding Rate: 0.0059%
BTC永久資金率:0.0059%
Spot BTC ETF Net Flow: -$64.9 million (cumulative: $36.16B, 1.12M BTC held)
SPOT BTC ETF淨流量:-6490萬美元(累積:$ 36.16b,112萬BTC舉行)
Spot ETH ETF Net Flow: +$2.1 million (cumulative: $2.37B, 3.38M ETH held)
現貨ETH ETF淨流量: +210萬美元(累積:$ 237B,338萬ETH HELD)
Flash Loan Activity Surges
Flash Loan活動激增
Aave flash loan usage jumped to 307 transactions — the highest since August 2024 — signaling growing DeFi arbitrage activity amid volatility.
Aave Flash貸款使用率躍升至307筆交易,這是自2024年8月以來最高的交易 - 在波動性的情況下表明了套利活動的增長。
Economic Outlook
經濟前景
Goldman Sachs: Cuts Q4 U.S. GDP forecast to 0.5%, raises recession odds to 45%, sees 130bps Fed rate cuts starting June
高盛(Goldman Sachs):將第四季度的美國GDP預測削減為0.5%,將衰退賠率提高到45%,從6月開始降低了130bps的美聯儲降低。
VIX (Volatility Index): hits 60 pre-market — highest since August 2024
VIX(波動率指數):命中60次前市場 - 自2024年8月以來的最高
Crypto Equities in Freefall
自由落體的加密股票
Coinbase (COIN): -7.91% pre-market to $147.85
Coinbase(硬幣):-7.91%的前市場,$ 147.85
MicroStrategy (MSTR): -8.56% pre-market to $268.48
MicroStrategy(MSTR):-8.56%的前市場至$ 268.48
Galaxy Digital (GLXY): -10.28%
Galaxy Digital(GLXY):-10.28%
Riot Platforms (RIOT): -6.02%
防暴平台(RIOT):-6.02%
CleanSpark (CLSK): -8.61%
CleanSpark(CLSK):-8.61%
Key Macro and Crypto Events to Watch
關鍵的宏觀和加密事件要觀看
April 9: U.S. & China tariffs take effect
4月9日:美國和中國關稅生效
April 10: SEC roundtable on crypto regulation
4月10日:SEC圓桌會議上的加密法規
April 11: Terraform Labs’ Do Kwon court hearing
4月11日:Terraform Labs的Do Kwon法院聽證會
April 12–16: Token unlocks from APT, AXS, STRK, ARB
4月12日至16日:令牌從APT,AXS,Strk,ARB解鎖
As volatility continues to surge, investors are advised to monitor safe haven flows, macroeconomic data, and key political decisions that may shape the markets in the coming weeks, according to CoinDesk.
據Coindesk稱,隨著波動性的持續增長,建議投資者監視避風港的流量,宏觀經濟數據以及可能在未來幾週內塑造市場的主要政治決定。
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