比特幣（BTC）在過去一周中下降了11.3％

比特幣（BTC）在過去一周中下降了11.3％，目前在寫作時的交易價格低於80000美元。

Bitcoin (BTC) has slid 11.3% over the past week and is currently trading in the low $80,000 range at the time of writing. The recent decline has pushed the leading cryptocurrency below the 200-day moving average (MA), raising concerns about a deeper pullback.

比特幣（BTC）在過去一周中的下滑11.3％，目前在撰寫本文時的交易範圍為80,000美元。最近的下降使領先的加密貨幣低於200天的移動平均線（MA），引起了人們對更深層次回調的擔憂。

However, seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted a crucial price level that BTC must defend to prevent further downside.

然而，經驗豐富的加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）強調了BTC必須為防止進一步弊端的重要價格水平。

According to Martinez’s X post, BTC is now trading below the 200-day MA, a key price level that has historically functioned as strong support for the top digital asset.

根據馬丁內斯（Martinez）的X帖子，BTC現在的交易低於200天的MA，這是一個關鍵價格水平，歷史上一直在對頂級數字資產的強烈支持。

For the uninitiated, the 200-day MA is a famous technical indicator that essentially represents the average closing price of BTC over the last 200 days to identify the long-term price trend.

對於初學者來說，200天的MA是一個著名的技術指標，該指標實際上代表了過去200天內BTC的平均收盤價，以確定長期價格趨勢。

Historically, a sustained movement above the 200-day MA has led to long-term uptrends while a prolonged price movement below the level has often preceded further declines.

從歷史上看，超過200天的MA的持續移動導致了長期上升趨勢，而延長價格轉移的延長水平通常會進一步下降。

BTC Must Remain Above TD Sequential’s Risk Line

BTC必須保持在TD順序的風險線上

According to Martinez, BTC must remain above the TD Sequential indicator’s risk line at $79,280. A sustained move above this level could set the stage for a strong rebound to the upside.

根據馬丁內斯（Martinez）的說法，BTC必須在TD順序指標的風險線上保持79,280美元。持續的移動超過這一水平可能會為強勁的反彈奠定基礎。

The potential for a BTC recovery was also highlighted by crypto analyst Ted. In a post on X, he pointed out that over the past two years, BTC has frequently undergone 25% to 30% corrections before rebounding to new all-time highs (ATHs).

加密分析師TED也突出了BTC恢復的潛力。在X上的一篇文章中，他指出，在過去的兩年中，BTC經常經過25％至30％的糾正，然後反彈到新的歷史高峰（ATHS）。

If BTC follows a similar pattern and climbs 30% from its current price, it could reach approximately $104,000 in a short period. However, broader macroeconomic factors — such as US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy — could significantly impact BTC’s trajectory.

如果BTC遵循類似的模式並比目前的價格攀升30％，則在短時間內可能達到約104,000美元。但是，更廣泛的宏觀經濟因素（例如美國總統唐納德·特朗普的貿易關稅和美聯儲（美聯儲）貨幣政策）可能會嚴重影響BTC的軌跡。

BTC Needs To Reclaim $84,000 First

BTC需要首先收回$ 84,000

In another post on X, Martinez outlined BTC’s potential path to a new ATH, emphasizing that BTC must first reclaim $84,000 as a support level before any major upside movement. Once this milestone is secured, the digital asset could rally toward $128,000.

在X上的另一篇文章中，馬丁內斯概述了BTC通往新ATH的潛在途徑，強調BTC必須首先在任何重大上行移動之前首先將84,000美元作為支持水平。一旦確保了這個里程碑，數字資產就可以集結到128,000美元。

Several indicators suggest that BTC may have already found a local bottom, increasing the chances of a trend reversal. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital recently noted that BTC’s plunge to $78,258 could mark the cycle low.

一些指標表明，BTC可能已經找到了局部底部，增加了趨勢逆轉的機會。加密分析師Rekt Capital最近指出，BTC的跌至78,258美元可能標誌著周期的低點。

Additionally, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has just recorded one of its largest weekly breakdowns since 2013, a move that historically signals bullish momentum for risk-on assets like BTC.

此外，美元指數（DXY）自2013年以來剛剛記錄了其每週最大的崩潰之一，此舉歷史上標誌著BTC等風險資產的勢頭。

At press time, BTC trades at $80,137, down 3.5% in the past 24 hours.

發稿時，BTC的交易價格為80,137美元，在過去24小時內下跌3.5％。