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比特幣 (BTC) 正處於為期六個月的熊市,從 3 月的歷史高點 73,800 美元下跌至 49,100 美元
Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a bear market for six months, declining from March’s all-time high of $73,800 to a low of $49,100, but this trend may be changing as bullish indicators are emerging.
比特幣(BTC)已經處於熊市六個月,從 3 月的歷史高點 73,800 美元跌至 49,100 美元的低點,但隨著看漲指標的出現,這種趨勢可能正在改變。
Several analysts have noted the clear downtrend in Bitcoin’s price, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Alan Santana highlighted the bearish nature of the charts, setting a target of $40,000 and warning of a potential crash. Credible Crypto also expressed a similar yet more optimistic view, stating that Bitcoin is not out of the woods and needs a trend shift.
一些分析師指出,比特幣價格呈現明顯的下降趨勢,其特徵是高點和低點不斷降低。艾倫桑塔納 (Alan Santana) 強調了圖表的看跌性質,設定了 40,000 美元的目標,並警告可能會崩盤。 Credible Crypto 也表達了類似但更樂觀的觀點,表示比特幣尚未走出困境,需要趨勢轉變。
However, two analyses have identified bullish indicators on BTC’s price charts, suggesting that this shift may be occurring.
然而,兩項分析發現了比特幣價格圖表上的看漲指標,顯示這種轉變可能正在發生。
According to Babenski's analysis, the trend shift is evident in Bitcoin forming its first higher low from September 6 to 8. This follows a sequence of three lower lows from a first high of $60,700 in March.
根據Babenski 的分析,趨勢轉變很明顯,比特幣在9 月6 日至8 日期間形成了第一個更高的低點。低的低點。
The recent price surge, reaching $64,000, could potentially mark the first higher high within a series of four lower highs, setting the stage for the trend shift. Additionally, BTC has already broken out of a lower time frame downtrend, starting from the local top on July 29.
最近的價格飆升至 64,000 美元,有可能創下一系列四個較低高點中的第一個更高高點,為趨勢轉變奠定基礎。此外,BTC 已經從 7 月 29 日的局部頂部開始突破了較低的時間框架下降趨勢。
If the trend continues as expected, BTC will confirm this short-term breakout by retesting the downtrend resistance, which should occur within a range of $58,000 to $61,000, depending on the time taken for the retracement.
如果趨勢按照預期繼續下去,比特幣將透過重新測試下降趨勢阻力來確認這一短期突破,該阻力應該會出現在 58,000 美元至 61,000 美元的範圍內,具體取決於回調所需的時間。
At the time of this analysis, Bitcoin was trading at $63,348, but it has since dropped below this level. Babenski's analysis also identifies a triple-bottom formation on BTC’s daily relative strength index (RSI), which gauges momentum based on past performance.
在進行本分析時,比特幣的交易價格為 63,348 美元,但此後已跌破該水準。巴本斯基的分析也確定了比特幣每日相對強度指數(RSI)的三重底形態,該指數根據過去的表現來衡量動量。
Bitcoin (BTC) daily price chart. Source: TradingView / Babenski
比特幣(BTC)每日價格圖表。資料來源:TradingView / Babenski
Adding to the signals for a "trend shift," trader Xanrox expressed his belief that Bitcoin could be set to reach $130,000 per coin. Notably, Xanrox has just shifted his perception after holding a bearish bias since May, with Finbold reporting on September 11 that the analyst warned of a "huge bear market starting."
交易員 Xanrox 表示,他相信比特幣可能會達到每枚 13 萬美元,這進一步增加了「趨勢轉變」的訊號。值得注意的是,Xanrox 自 5 月以來持有看跌偏見後剛剛改變了看法,Finbold 在 9 月 11 日報道稱,分析師警告稱「巨大的熊市即將開始」。
This pivot has attracted strong criticism in the comments section of his latest TradingView idea, with critics highlighting the shift and commenting negatively on it. Nonetheless, the analyst explained that traders and investors must be able to change their perceptions based on indicators and trend shifts.
這一轉變在他最新的 TradingView 想法的評論部分引起了強烈批評,批評者強調了這一轉變並對其發表了負面評論。儘管如此,分析師解釋說,交易者和投資者必須能夠根據指標和趨勢變化改變他們的看法。
Meanwhile, Van Eck CEO Jan van Eck stated in an interview with Fox Business that he foresees Bitcoin eventually reaching $350,000 if it were to attain half the market capitalization of gold, the leading commodity.
同時,Van Eck 執行長 Jan van Eck 在接受福斯商業頻道採訪時表示,他預計,如果比特幣市值達到主要商品黃金市值的一半,那麼比特幣最終將達到 35 萬美元。
"What I'm saying is Bitcoin is growing up and will eventually be half of the total market cap of gold and that’s about $350,000."
“我想說的是,比特幣正在成長,最終將成為黃金總市值的一半,約為 35 萬美元。”
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $62,600, up 4.37% in the last seven days. BTC is set to test the trend shift support for validation, which could define the cryptocurrency's movement in the coming days.
截至撰寫本文時,比特幣交易價格為 62,600 美元,過去 7 天上漲 4.37%。 BTC 將測試趨勢轉變的驗證支持,這可能會定義加密貨幣未來幾天的走勢。
Interestingly, a crypto commentator on X recently pointed out that we are entering a phase in the market that will reward "dumb bulls" more than "smart bears," suggesting it may be time to consider positioning for a Bitcoin trend shift, eyeing higher highs and higher lows.
有趣的是,X 上的一位加密貨幣評論員最近指出,我們正在進入一個市場階段,「愚蠢的多頭」將比「聰明的空頭」獲得更多回報,這表明現在可能是時候考慮為比特幣趨勢轉變進行定位,著眼於更高的高點和更高的低點。
The content on this site should not be considered investment advice. Investing is speculative. When investing, your capital is at risk.
本網站上的內容不應被視為投資建議。投資是投機性的。投資時,您的資本面臨風險。
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