3 月 8 日比特幣 (BTC)、狗狗幣 (DOGE) 和以太坊 (ETH) 價格分析

比特幣近期表現強勁，突破 10 萬美元，一直在穩定上漲。從圖表中可以看到一個更有趣的觀點：比特幣可能仍處於隱藏的下跌趨勢。

Bitcoin has been making headlines with its recent strength above $100,000, leading to a steady rise.

比特幣近期強勢突破 10 萬美元，一直成為頭條新聞，導致其穩定上漲。

However, a closer look at the chart reveals a more nuanced perspective: Bitcoin may still be in a concealed downtrend.

然而，仔細觀察圖表會發現一個更微妙的觀點：比特幣可能仍處於隱藏的下跌趨勢中。

Despite reaching a higher high since its peak in late 2024, it has failed to generate bullish sentiment.

儘管自 2024 年底的高峰以來達到了更高的高點，但未能產生看漲情緒。

The daily chart's descending trendline serves as the primary indicator. Bitcoin has yet to make a clear move above this resistance, suggesting a lack of evidence for a complete uptrend.

日線圖的下降趨勢線作為主要指標。比特幣尚未明確突破該阻力位，這表明缺乏完全上升趨勢的證據。

To fully establish its upward trend, Bitcoin needs to decisively breach its previous peak of around $110,000.

為了完全確立其上升趨勢，比特幣需要果斷突破之前 11 萬美元左右的高峰。

Until then, its price action remains within a mixed zone, and any rejection below this level could strengthen the hidden downtrend.

在此之前，其價格走勢仍處於混合區域內，任何低於該水平的拒絕都可能加強隱藏的下跌趨勢。

Another aspect contributing to the uncertainty is Bitcoin's volume profile.

造成不確定性的另一個面向是比特幣的交易量概況。

Despite a recent uptick, it has not yet reached the levels observed during its previous peaks.

儘管最近有所上升，但尚未達到先前峰值期間觀察到的水平。

This may indicate a lack of intense buying power to propel Bitcoin past its current resistance.

這可能表明缺乏強大的購買力來推動比特幣突破當前的阻力位。

However, the ability of Bitcoin to hold steady above the 50 EMA and maintain its value around $100,000 provides hope for the bulls.

然而，比特幣能夠穩定在 50 EMA 上方並將其價值維持在 10 萬美元左右，為多頭帶來了希望。

These levels act as strong support, and a breakout is still possible as long as Bitcoin remains above them.

這些水準是強而有力的支撐，只要比特幣保持在這些水準之上，突破就有可能。

In the upcoming period, Bitcoin faces a pivotal juncture.

未來一段時期，比特幣面臨關鍵時刻。

A breakout above $110,000 would invalidate the hidden downtrend and signal a return to bullish momentum.

突破 11 萬美元將使隱藏的下降趨勢失效，並標誌著看漲勢頭的回歸。

Conversely, a failure to breach the trendline and a drop below $90,000 could confirm a wider correction.

相反，未能突破趨勢線並跌破 90,000 美元可能會確認更廣泛的調整。

Dogecoin eyes potential breakout

狗狗幣有望突破

A sustained move above $0.40 with the ability to maintain momentum past the 50 EMA could see Dogecoin targeting the $0.45-$0.50 zone.

如果狗狗幣持續突破 0.40 美元，並且能夠保持超過 50 EMA 的勢頭，那麼狗狗幣的目標可能是 0.45-0.50 美元區域。

This bullish outlook is also supported by the volume, which shows a noticeable increase in buying pressure, essential for DOGE to continue its current bullish attempt.

這種看漲前景也得到了成交量的支持，成交量表明購買壓力明顯增加，這對於 DOGE 繼續其當前的看漲嘗試至關重要。

However, a failure to hold above $0.40 would revive the bearish trend that has been present since mid-December.

然而，如果未能守住 0.40 美元上方，將會重振自 12 月中旬以來一直存在的看跌趨勢。

Breaking this resistance level would open up possibilities for a larger rally if it were to occur.

如果突破此阻力位，則可能會出現更大規模的反彈。

Should DOGE fail to maintain its position above the resistance, bears could regain control and push the price back down to $0.30 or lower. In that scenario, DOGE would likely enter a prolonged consolidation phase.

如果 DOGE 未能將其位置維持在阻力位之上，空頭可能會重新獲得控制權並將價格推回至 0.30 美元或更低。在這種情況下，DOGE 可能會進入長期整合階段。

Ethereum still suppressed

以太坊仍受壓制

But the resistance levels at the 50 EMA - roughly, the $3,557 and $3,800 mark - are proving difficult to break through.

但事實證明，50 EMA 的阻力位（大致為 3,557 美元和 3,800 美元大關）很難突破。

The price has repeatedly failed to close above these crucial levels, indicating a lack of bullish momentum.

價格多次未能收於這些關鍵水準之上，顯示缺乏看漲動力。

A dreary picture is also painted by the current volume, which indicates little buying interest and feeds bearish sentiment.

目前的成交量也描繪出一幅慘淡的景象，顯示購買興趣不大，並助長了看跌情緒。

The likelihood of a deeper retracement rises if Ethereum is unable to break through the 50 EMA and gain traction above $3,800.

如果以太坊無法突破 50 EMA 並獲得 3,800 美元上方的牽引力，則進一步回調的可能性就會增加。

The 200 EMA, which has served as ETH's effective defensive line thus far, is located close to $3,120, the next support.

200 EMA 迄今一直是 ETH 的有效防禦線，位於下一個支撐位 3,120 美元附近。

Should there be a breakdown below this threshold, additional drops might be possible, reaching $2,900 or less.

如果跌破此閾值，可能會進一步下跌，達到 2,900 美元或更少。

A successful breach above $3,800, on the other hand, might reignite bullish sentiment and move Ethereum closer to the psychological level of $4,000 and higher.

另一方面，成功突破 3,800 美元可能會重新點燃看漲情緒，並使以太坊更接近 4,000 美元甚至更高的心理水平。

This article was originally published on U.Today

本文原刊於 U.Today