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比特幣(BTC)本週開始出現虧損,跌至一個多月以來的最低點。在這種表現下,一些分析師認為 BTC 的價格將會上漲
Bitcoin (BTC) began the week with a bearish performance, dropping 5.8% to $90,300, marking its lowest price since November 18. Amid this downturn, several analysts anticipate another dip before BTC rallies to new highs.
比特幣(BTC) 本周初表現看跌,下跌5.8% 至90,300 美元,創下11 月18 日以來的最低價格。 。
Bitcoin Needs A Daily Close Above $91,000
比特幣需要每日收盤價高於 91,000 美元
On Monday, Bitcoin erased its weekend gains, falling by 5.8% to reach $90,300, representing its lowest price since November 18. Notably, the flagship crypto concluded last week with a bullish performance, approaching $96,000 and closing Friday above $94,000.
週一,比特幣回吐週末漲幅,下跌5.8%,至90,300 美元,為11 月18 日以來的最低價格。 94,000 美元上方。
This performance continued throughout the weekend, with Bitcoin fluctuating between the $93,700 and $95,900 price ranges over the past two days. However, this week began with seven consecutive red 1-hour candles, dropping below $91,000 for the first time since the December 19 correction and falling lower than the December 5 pullback.
這種表現持續了整個週末,過去兩天比特幣的價格區間在 93,700 美元到 95,900 美元之間波動。然而,本週開始,連續七根紅色1小時蠟燭,自12月19日調整以來首次跌破91,000美元,並低於12月5日回調。
Despite this bearish movement, Bitcoin managed to bounce back after dropping below this key level, recovering the recently lost mark. According to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, BTC's daily close will dictate its next move, suggesting it needs a close above $91,000 to confirm the reclaim.
儘管出現這種看跌走勢,但比特幣在跌破這一關鍵水平後成功反彈,收復了最近失去的關卡。加密貨幣分析師 Rekt Capital 表示,BTC 的每日收盤價將決定其下一步走勢,這表明它需要收盤價高於 91,000 美元才能確認回升。
The analyst explained, “Last week, Bitcoin was deviating beyond the Range High resistance of $101,000. This week, Bitcoin is potentially deviating below the Range Low support of $91,000.” He asserted that BTC closed above the $101,000 range high last Monday but failed to retest it into new support after the breakout, reverting to the $91,000-$101,000 range.
這位分析師解釋說:「上週,比特幣偏離了 101,000 美元的區間高點阻力位。本週,比特幣可能會偏離 91,000 美元的區間低點支撐位。他斷言,BTC 上週一收於 101,000 美元區間高點之上,但未能在突破後重新測試新的支撐位,回到 91,000 美元至 101,000 美元區間。
For this week, Rekt Capital added that even if Bitcoin closes the day below the $91,000 range low, it will likely need to turn that level into resistance for its price to drop into the $87,000-$91,000 range.
Rekt Capital 補充道,本週,即使比特幣收盤價低於 91,000 美元區間低點,它也可能需要將該水平轉變為阻力位,使其價格跌至 87,000 美元至 91,000 美元區間。
“A lot can change through the day, but generally speaking, Bitcoin does need to be closing above this level to persevere within the current range,” the analyst noted.
這位分析師指出:“一天中可能會發生很多變化,但一般來說,比特幣確實需要收盤高於這一水平才能維持在當前區間內。”
Is A Dip To $87,000 Coming?
是否會跌至 87,000 美元?
Highlighting Bitcoin's monthly returns, which tend to be “patchy and predominately bearish” in January, Rekt Capital pointed out that CoinGlass data shows BTC has had a bearish performance most of the time in January. Since 2013, BTC has started the year in red seven times, including 2025's current performance.
Rekt Capital 強調比特幣的月度回報率在 1 月份往往“參差不齊且主要看跌”,並指出 CoinGlass 數據顯示 BTC 在 1 月份的大部分時間都表現看跌。自 2013 年以來,BTC 已經七次出現年初虧損,其中包括 2025 年目前的表現。
According to the post, the market usually “picks up” in February. He added that the higher timeframe levels that are “teasing to be lost as support” are “likely to be reclaimed” in the future.
該貼文稱,市場通常在二月「回暖」。他補充說,較高的時間框架水平“可能會失去支撐”,但未來“可能會被收回”。
Meanwhile, Altcoin Sherpa considers that “1 last liquidation wick” is due before “we reverse for BTC.” The analyst also suggested that Altcoins are likely to drop another 30%-50% before the Altseason.
同時,Altcoin Sherpa 認為「最後一個清算燈芯」將在「我們逆轉 BTC」之前到期。該分析師還表示,山寨幣在山寨季到來之前可能會再下跌 30%-50%。
Similarly, Daan Crypto Trades pointed out that a “bunch of shorts have entered the market in the past few hours.” The trader noted that “price just keeps slowly dribbling back down” as these positions are usually “punished” when bulls are in control.
同樣,Daan Crypto Trades 指出,「過去幾個小時內,大量空頭進入了市場」。該交易員指出,“價格一直在緩慢回落”,因為當多頭掌控局面時,這些頭寸通常會受到“懲罰”。
“At some point, the shorts will have to close out, but they probably won't do so before pushing the market down further, combined with the spot selling from Coinbase,” Daan explained. And added that “the slow grinds down end in a violent wick, after which shorts take profit, and we see a (local) bottom.”
「在某個時候,空頭將不得不平倉,但在加上 Coinbase 的現貨拋售,他們可能不會這樣做,否則會進一步推低市場,」Daan 解釋道。並補充說,“緩慢的下跌最終以猛烈的燭芯結束,之後空頭獲利了結,我們看到了(局部)底部。”
Additionally, the trader highlighted the similarities between BTC's performance between December 2023 and January 2024 and December 2024 and January 2025. If history were to repeat, Bitcoin’s next move could be a correction to the $87,000 support, followed by a consolidation period in the new range.
此外,該交易員還強調了2023 年12 月至2024 年1 月以及2024 年12 月至2025 年1 月期間BTC 表現的相似之處。支撐位的修正,然後是在新區間的盤整期。
As of this writing, BTC is trading at $91,700, a 2.9% decline in the daily timeframe.
截至撰寫本文時,BTC 交易價格為 91,700 美元,每日下跌 2.9%。
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