幣安數據突顯令人驚訝的市場趨勢，比特幣 (BTC) 信心增強

比特幣最近的價格勢頭導致其歷史新高（ATH）的更新，似乎重新點燃了人們對用於計時市場的關鍵指標的興趣

Bitcoin’s recent price surge, culminating in a new all-time high (ATH), has sparked renewed interest in key metrics used to determine optimal market entries and exits.

比特幣最近的價格飆升，最終創下歷史新高（ATH），引發了人們對用於確定最佳市場進入和退出的關鍵指標的新興趣。

One such metric, highlighted by a CryptoQuant analyst known as Darkfost, is the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) reversion. Darkfost’s analysis provides valuable insights for Bitcoin investors.

一位名為 Darkfost 的 CryptoQuant 分析師強調了這樣一個指標：庫存流量 (S2F) 回歸。 Darkfost 的分析為比特幣投資者提供了寶貴的見解。

The S2F reversion metric gauges Bitcoin’s price deviations from its expected value based on the S2F model, serving as a crucial indicator for many traders. It helps them assess market sentiment and identify potential profit-taking windows.

S2F 迴歸指標是基於 S2F 模型衡量比特幣價格與其預期值的偏差，是許多交易者的關鍵指標。它幫助他們評估市場情緒並確定潛在的獲利了結窗口。

According to Darkfost’s analysis, September 11 marked a significant juncture when the S2F reversion dropped below 1, indicating a possible buying opportunity as Bitcoin traded at $57,000, presenting a chance for investors to enter the market at a favorable price.

根據 Darkfost 的分析，9 月 11 日是一個重要時刻，S2F 回歸跌破 1，這表明可能存在買入機會，因為比特幣交易價格為 57,000 美元，為投資者提供了以有利價格進入市場的機會。

Now, the analysis highlights another critical threshold—a value above 2.5. Historically, this value has indicated a favorable time to secure moderate profits. Should the metric reach a value above 3, it often signals market overheating, presenting an opportune moment for larger profit-taking strategies.

現在，分析強調了另一個關鍵閾值——高於 2.5 的值。從歷史上看，這個數值顯示了獲得適度利潤的有利時機。如果該指標達到 3 以上，通常表示市場過熱，為更大的獲利了結策略提供了時機。

The S2F reversion metric provides a structured approach to assessing Bitcoin’s price cycles. Based on this analysis, Darkfost suggests a two-step profit strategy: investors should consider securing smaller gains when the metric hits 2.5 and proceed to larger profit-taking if it surpasses 3.

S2F 回歸指標提供了一種評估比特幣價格週期的結構化方法。基於此分析，Darkfost 建議採用兩步驟獲利策略：當該指標達到 2.5 時，投資者應考慮獲得較小的收益；如果該指標超過 3，則應考慮進行更大的獲利了結。

Darfost specifically wrote:

達福斯特特別寫道：

A prudent strategy when using this indicator is to take moderate profits once the S2F reversion ratio hits 2.5 and to secure larger profits when the ratio exceeds 3, thereby balancing risk and reward effectively.

使用此指標的謹慎策略是，當S2F回歸率達到2.5時，適度獲利，當S2F回歸率超過3時，獲取較大利潤，從而有效平衡風險和回報。

BTC Market Performance

比特幣市場表現

Despite Darkfost’s suggestion on when to take profits, Bitcoin appears to be continuing its upward momentum. BTC has created a new ATH after reaching a high of $106,352 in the early hours of Monday.

儘管 Darkfost 建議何時獲利了結，但比特幣似乎仍在繼續其上漲勢頭。 BTC 在周一凌晨觸及 106,352 美元高點後創造了新的 ATH。

Although the asset has seen a slight rebound at the time of writing and is currently trading at a price of $105,942, BTC is still up by over 3% in the past day and more than 10% in the past two weeks.

儘管該資產在撰寫本文時已出現小幅反彈，目前交易價格為 105,942 美元，但 BTC 在過去一天內仍上漲了 3% 以上，在過去兩週內上漲了 10% 以上。

Unsurprisingly, along with the rising price, BTC’s market capitalization has also seen a significant surge in its valuation and is now sitting at roughly over $2 trillion as of today.

不出所料，隨著價格上漲，BTC 的市值也大幅上漲，截至目前約超過 2 兆美元。

However, despite this positive momentum, BTC’s daily trading volume has seen an opposite trend.

然而，儘管有這種積極的勢頭，比特幣的每日交易量卻出現了相反的趨勢。

In particular, this metric, instead of seeing a rise amid BTC’s new ATH, has remained stable and lower than last week’s daily trading volume. At the time of writing, BTC’s trading volume is at $97.4 billion, which is a significant decline from the over $140 billion volume valuation seen last week on December 10.

特別是，該指標並沒有在 BTC 新的 ATH 中出現上升，而是保持穩定並低於上週的每日交易量。截至本文撰寫時，BTC 的交易量為 974 億美元，較上週 12 月 10 日超過 1,400 億美元的交易量估值大幅下降。