比特幣可能已經觸底了，可以反彈到90,000美元

在美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）表示願意放鬆關稅之後

Crypto analyst Markus Thielen at 10x Research says Bitcoin may have finally bottomed and could rebound toward $90,000 after US President Donald Trump signaled a willingness to ease tariffs and the Federal Reserve resisted short-term pressure last week.

Crypto分析師Markus Thielen在10倍研究中說，比特幣可能終於觸底了，並且在美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）表示願意緩解關稅的意願，而美聯儲上週抵制短期壓力。

“Bitcoin is attempting to form a bottom, supported by Trump’s recent shift toward ‘flexibility' on the upcoming April 2 reciprocal tariffs, softening his earlier rhetoric,” Thielen said in a March 23 report.

Thielen在3月23日的報告中說：“比特幣正試圖形成一個底部，這是特朗普最近在即將4月2日的互惠關稅上向'靈活性'轉向'靈活性'的支持，從而減輕了他早期的言論。”

The Federal Reserve signaled in its March 18-19 meeting that it would also “look past short-term inflationary pressures, laying the groundwork for potential future easing,” he added.

他在3月18日至199日的會議上表示，它也將“審視過去的短期通貨膨脹壓力，為潛在的未來緩解奠定基礎，”他補充說。

As a result, 10x Research’s Bitcoin reversal indicators have turned bullish, with Bitcoin’s (BTC) 21-day moving average now at $85,200, Thielen noted.

結果，Thielen指出，10倍研究的比特幣逆轉指標已轉為看漲，比特幣（BTC）21天移動平均線現在為85,200美元。

Bitcoin’s bottoming formations over the last two years. Source: 10x Research

在過去兩年中，比特幣的底層形成。資料來源：10倍研究

He said these weekly reversal indicators have pulled back to levels where past bull markets have resumed, such as in September 2023 — spurred on by the Bitcoin exchange-traded fund narrative — and August 2024 as the US election neared.

他說，這些每週的逆轉指標已恢復到過去的牛市恢復的水平，例如2023年9月 - 由比特幣交易所交易所交易的基金敘述所刺激 - 隨著美國大選的接近。

“Several altcoins are also breaking out of their downtrend channels and trading at more attractive levels,” the analyst noted.

這位分析師指出：“幾個山寨幣也正在爆發其下降渠道，並以更具吸引力的水平進行交易。”

Bitcoin is currently trading at $85,720, up 2.1% over the last 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data.

根據Coingecko數據，比特幣目前的交易價格為85,720美元，在過去24小時內增長了2.1％。

Meanwhile, Ether (ETH), Tron (TRX), and Avalanche (AVAX) have rebounded 4.3%, 6.4 and 8.9% respectively over the last week.

同時，在上週，Ether（ETH），TRON（TRX）和Avalanche（Avax）分別為4.3％，6.4和8.9％反彈。

However, Thielen expects to see “significant resistance” at the $90,000 mark for Bitcoin, should it reach that level.

但是，蒂倫（Thielen）預計如果達到該水平，比特幣的“明顯阻力”以90,000美元的成績為90,000美元。

Despite the more positive outlook, “no clear catalyst exists for an immediate parabolic rally” is in sight, he added.

他補充說，儘管有更積極的前景，但“直接進行拋物線集會尚無明確的催化劑”。

Related: Bitcoin ‘in position’ for first key RSI breakout in 6 months at $85K

相關：6個月內首次鑰匙RSI突破的比特幣“位置”，$ 85K

Initially, Thielen said he expected Bitcoin to avoid dropping below $73,000 — thereby avoiding a “deep bear market” — because the largest sum bracket of Bitcoin holders (wallets with 100-1000 Bitcoin) are likely family offices and wealth managers who are invested in Bitcoin for the long term.

最初，蒂倫（Thielen）表示，他希望比特幣避免跌至73,000美元以下，從而避免了“深熊市”，因為比特幣持有人（擁有100-1000個比特幣的錢包）最大的總和很可能是家庭辦公室和財富經理，他們長期投資了比特幣。

He also noted that the US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs returned inflows for the first time last week since the last week of January.

他還指出，自1月份最後一周以來，上週上週首次流入了美國現貨比特幣ETF。

“We expect Bitcoin ETF selling from arbitrage-focused investors to wind down, as the arbitrage opportunities have primarily been closed for weeks,” Thielen added.

Thielen補充說：“我們預計比特幣ETF從以套利為中心的投資者出售，因為套利機會主要被關閉了數週，”