分析師說

最近，比特幣一直處於車轍，隨著市場的鞏固，貿易商正在不安。但是，著名的分析師邁克爾·范德·波普（Michael van de Poppe）看到

Bitcoin price has been consolidating for the past few weeks, and traders are starting to get restless. However, one renowned analyst sees this lackluster price action in a positive light.

在過去的幾周中，比特幣價格一直在鞏固，交易者開始變得不安。但是，一位著名的分析師以積極的看法看到了這種平淡的價格行動。

According to Michael van de Poppe, BTC’s ‘boring state’ could benefit altcoins, with Ethereum being a key contender.

根據Michael Van de Poppe的說法，BTC的“無聊狀態”可以使Altcoins受益，以太坊是主要競爭者。

Bitcoin Might Break $100K, Analyst Predicts BTC, ETH to Continue Leading Altcoin Market Rally

分析師預測，比特幣可能會損失$ 10萬美元，ETH將繼續領導Altcoin市場集會

In a recent tweet, van de Poppe highlighted that Bitcoin is trading in a narrow range, which is typically bullish for altcoins. He also noted that BTC might break $100K, while Ethereum could surpass $3K.

在最近的一條推文中，范德波普（Van de Poppe）強調，比特幣在狹窄的範圍內交易，這通常是altcoins的看漲。他還指出，BTC可能會損失$ 10萬美元，而以太坊可能會超過$ 3K。

"It's the boring state for #Bitcoin.

“這是#bitcoin的無聊狀態。

The good part is: Bitcoin goes up slightly, #Altcoins go up significantly more.

好部分是：比特幣略有上升，#altcoins的上升幅度更大。

I think that we'll continue to see that.

我認為我們將繼續看到這一點。

#Bitcoin above $100K

#bitcoin以上$ 100K

#Ethereum above $3K"

#Ethereum高於$ 3K”

Historically, such a sideways price trend in Bitcoin has led to massive altcoin rallies. For instance, in 2021, when BTC was consolidating around $60K, several altcoins rallied by over 100%.

從歷史上看，比特幣的這種側向價格趨勢導致了大規模的山寨幣集會。例如，在2021年，當BTC合併約60,000美元時，幾個山寨幣集結了100％以上。

Now, as Bitcoin trades above $40K, and traders patiently wait for the next leg up, altcoins are once again positioned to make significant gains.

現在，隨著比特幣的交易超過4萬美元，交易員耐心地等待下一條腳，山寨幣再次獲得了巨大的收益。

Analyst Warns Against Shorting in a Low-Volatility Environment

分析師警告不要在低揮發性環境中短路

While Bitcoin fiyatı might be presenting opportunities for altcoins, another analyst has cautioned against shorting in a low-volatility environment.

儘管比特幣Fiyatı可能會為Altcoins提供機會，但另一位分析師警告不要在低揮發性環境中短路。

A technical analysis by an anonymous trader shows that markets with extreme lows in volatility have rarely rewarded short sellers before. This observation adds weight to the notion of patient investors waiting for a breakout.

匿名交易者的技術分析表明，波動性極低的市場以前很少獎勵賣空者。該觀察結果增加了等待突破的患者投資者的概念。

"Bollinger Band width extremes (daily).

“ Bollinger帶寬度極端（每日）。

Markets with extreme lows in volatility have rarely rewarded shorts before (dotted lines / pivots).

波動性極低的市場很少在短褲（虛線 /樞軸）之前獲得獎勵。

Supports the case for patient investors."

支持患者投資者的案件。”

In contrast to this analysis, Ethereum has flashed a buy signal on the TD Sequential indicator, which often marks a trend reversal.

與此分析相反，以太坊在TD順序指示器上閃爍了一個購買信號，這通常標誌著趨勢逆轉。

This technical indicator, which is widely used among traders, suggests that Ethereum is ready for upward momentum in the coming sessions. Currently, the token is near key support levels, making it a good entry point for traders expecting an altcoin rally.

該技術指標在交易者中廣泛使用，這表明以太坊已準備好在即將到來的會議上向上勢頭。目前，令牌接近關鍵支持水平，這對於期待Altcoin Rally的交易者來說是一個很好的切入點。

Economic Factors Behind Bitcoin’s Downturn

比特幣不景氣背後的經濟因素

Zooming out to the broader market, several observations can be made regarding the recent downturn in Bitcoin fiyatı. One key factor that market observers are attributing this drawdown to is central banks potentially restarting quantitative easing, which could cause this decline.

縮小到更廣闊的市場，可以對比特幣Fiyatı最近經濟低迷進行一些觀察。市場觀察家將這種縮減歸因於中央銀行可能會重新啟動定量寬鬆的關鍵因素，這可能會導致這種下降。

As former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes previously suggested, the liquidity issues faced by the U.S. Treasury’s general account could also be playing a major role in a potential market downturn, especially in the first quarter, which could hurt investor sentiment.

正如前Bitmex首席執行官亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）先前建議的那樣，美國財政部一般帳戶所面臨的流動性問題也可能在潛在的市場衰退中發揮重要作用，尤其是在第一季度，這可能會傷害投資者的情緒。

Moreover, the lack of progress with the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve initiative under the new Trump administration has also dampened spirits among investors.

此外，新特朗普政府領導下的戰略比特幣儲備計劃的進展也使投資者之間的精神抑制了。

For now, Bitcoin remains in a ‘boring’ state, but analysts emphasize that such phases have historically preceded explosive moves. With altcoins bracing for potential upside, all eyes are on BTC’s next move and whether it can lead the market into a new bullish cycle.

就目前而言，比特幣仍然處於“無聊”狀態，但分析師強調，這種階段在歷史上一直在爆炸性動作之前。隨著Altcoins的潛在上升空間，所有人的目光都關注BTC的下一步行動，以及它是否可以將市場帶入新的看漲週期。