Galaxy執行長預測，聯準會降息創造優勢，比特幣繁榮即將來臨

Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency asset could see a significant rise in the coming months as Mike Novogratz, the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Galaxy Digital foresees BTC to benefit substantially from the anticipated Federal Reserve cut rates this year.

Galaxy Digital 執行長 (CEO) 邁克諾沃格拉茨 (Mike Novogratz) 預計 BTC 將從今年預期的聯準會降息中大幅受益，因此最大的加密貨幣資產比特幣可能會在未來幾個月大幅上漲。

Fed Cut Rate, A Great Set Up For Bitcoin

The Federal Reserve has been indicating since December last year that it plans to lower its benchmark interest rate this year by the amount of three-quarter points, from the current range of 5.25 to 5.5%.

聯準會降息，比特幣的一大利好聯準會自去年 12 月以來一直表示，計劃今年將基準利率降低四分之三點，從目前的 5.25% 至 5.5%。

However, policymakers adopted language the following month indicating that they would maintain the policy rate in the current aforementioned range until they have “greater confidence” that inflation will reach the Fed’s target of 2%.

相關閱讀：經濟學家：比特幣短期內將下跌，但隨著聯準會大幅降息，政策制定者在下個月採取了措辭，表明他們將把政策利率維持在當前上述範圍內，直到他們「更有信心」通膨將達到聯準會的目標是2%。

In 2024, the markets are pricing in two quarter-point rate cuts by the Fed and a 50% chance of a third, which is a significant reversal from the beginning of the year when six to seven cuts were anticipated.

市場預計 2024 年聯準會將降息兩次，並有 50% 的機會進行第三次降息，這與年初預計將降息 6 到 7 次相比出現了重大逆轉。

Over the past several months, expectations concerning the extent and timing of the Fed’s rate reduction have rapidly changed. Investors are gradually losing faith in policymakers’ ability to reduce borrowing costs without inciting an inflationary resurgence in a robust economy.

過去幾個月，人們對聯準會降息幅度和時機的預期發生了迅速變化。投資者逐漸對政策制定者降低借貸成本而不引發經濟強勁通膨復甦的能力失去信心。

Sharing his insights on the subject, Mike Novogratz voiced worry about the effects on the United States economy and several assets. Even though Novogratz cannot think of a single compelling reason why the Fed should lower rates, he is confident they will still go ahead with it. 

麥克·諾沃格拉茨（Mike Novogratz）分享了他對此主題的見解，表達了對美國經濟和多種資產影響的擔憂。儘管諾沃格拉茨想不出聯準會應該降息的一個令人信服的理由，但他相信聯準會仍會繼續降息。

Thus, he has stressed the urgent need for a politician who will take serious action and drastically reduce expenditure, drawing attention to Washington, DC’s glaring silence on the subject.

因此，他強調迫切需要一位採取嚴肅行動並大幅削減開支的政治家，引起人們對華盛頓特區在這個問題上明顯沉默的關注。

While Novogratz highlights that the development will pave a terrible setup for the US, he believes it will benefit several precious assets such as Bitcoin, Gold, and Silver.

雖然諾沃格拉茨強調這一發展將為美國鋪平可怕的環境，但他相信這將使比特幣、黃金和白銀等多種珍貴資產受益。

The CEO’s summary of how a rate decrease will help Bitcoin and precious metals reflects a systematic approach to asset diversification and risk management in a monetary easing ecosystem. Those who prioritize Novogratz’s research may now view this as a favorable time to realign their portfolios and increase their holdings in assets that tend to gain from changes in monetary policy. 

執行長關於降息將如何幫助比特幣和貴金屬的總結反映了貨幣寬鬆生態系統中資產多元化和風險管理的系統方法。那些優先考慮諾沃格拉茨研究的人現在可能會認為這是重新調整投資組合併增加資產持有量的有利時機，這些資產往往會從貨幣政策的變化中獲益。

BTC Price Poised For Growth Amid Rate Reduction

Novogratz’s overview aligns with Lark Davis’, a popular cryptocurrency analyst insights, who also believes the event could impact the price of Bitcoin significantly, suggesting an optimistic year for the crypto asset.

比特幣價格在降息期間預計將增長Novogratz 的概述與受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師Lark Davis 的見解一致，後者也認為這一事件可能會對比特幣的價格產生重大影響，這表明加密資產將迎來樂觀的一年。

Considering Goldman Sachs’s prediction on the terminal interest rates, Davis affirms that these cuts will improve market liquidity and motivate investors to invest more money in digital assets like Bitcoin, thereby propelling its price.

相關閱讀：股票反彈是個陷阱，轉投比特幣：Galaxy Digital執行長考慮到高盛對終端利率的預測，戴維斯確認，這些降息將改善市場流動性，並激勵投資者將更多資金投資於比特幣等數位資產，從而推動其價格上漲。

Goldman Sachs predicts there will be three rate reductions; the first is slated for June, and the range of terminal interest rates is expected to be between 3.25 and 3.5%.

高盛預測將進行三次降息；第一次定於6月份，預計終期利率區間在3.25%至3.5%之間。

BTC 一維圖表上的交易價格為 70,635 美元 |資料來源：Tradingview.com 上的 BTCUSDT 精選圖片來自 iStock，圖表來自 Tradingview.com