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幣安幣 (BNB) 在 12 月觸及 793 美元的歷史高點後面臨大幅回調。截至目前,BNB徘徊在700美元左右
Binance Coin (BNB) encountered a significant pullback after reaching a new all-time high at $793 earlier this month. Currently, BNB is trading at around $700, showcasing increased profit-taking and weaker market sentiment. The key question now is whether BNB can hold this level or if further downward pressure will push it lower, potentially below $700.
幣安幣 (BNB) 在本月初觸及 793 美元的歷史新高後遭遇大幅回檔。目前,BNB 交易價格約為 700 美元,獲利回吐增加,市場情緒疲軟。現在的關鍵問題是 BNB 能否保持這一水平,或者進一步的下行壓力是否會壓低其價格,可能會跌破 700 美元。
BNB Retraces After Hitting $793
BNB 在觸及 793 美元後回調
Following a remarkable rally that took BNB to nearly $800 earlier in the month, the cryptocurrency has cooled off, retracing towards $700. This drop is largely attributed to profit-taking, with traders cashing in on the significant gains made over the last few weeks. Despite this retreat, BNB’s performance has remained relatively steady, with the altcoin fluctuating around the $700 mark.
在本月稍早 BNB 大幅上漲至近 800 美元之後,這種加密貨幣已經降溫,回落至 700 美元。這一下跌主要歸因於獲利了結,交易員從過去幾週的大幅收益中獲利。儘管出現這種回落,BNB 的表現仍然相對穩定,山寨幣在 700 美元大關附近波動。
The timing of this correction is also important, as it coincides with upcoming macroeconomic events, such as the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. The outcome of these decisions could have a considerable impact on market sentiment, influencing whether BNB can defend its current support levels.
這次調整的時機也很重要,因為它恰逢即將發生的宏觀經濟事件,例如聯準會的利率決定。這些決定的結果可能會對市場情緒產生相當大的影響,影響 BNB 是否能夠捍衛其當前的支撐位。
Analyzing the $700 Support Level
分析 $700 美元支撐位
Technical analysis indicates that BNB has been trading within an ascending channel since November, but the recent price action suggests potential vulnerability. The cryptocurrency has experienced two major consolidations near the 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) on the 4-hour chart, each time sliding lower towards the channel’s range-low.
技術分析表明,BNB 自 11 月以來一直在上升通道內交易,但最近的價格走勢表明存在潛在的脆弱性。在 4 小時圖表上,加密貨幣在 50 EMA(指數移動平均線)附近經歷了兩次主要盤整,每次都滑向該通道的區間低點。
Currently, BNB is fluctuating around the moving average and mid-range, which indicates a weakening momentum. If the price falls below $700, it could signal further downside potential. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also shows weakening demand, which, combined with a declining Average Directional Index (ADX), suggests a possible drop below $700.
目前BNB圍繞均線和中線波動,動能減弱。如果價格跌破 700 美元,則可能預示著進一步的下跌潛力。相對強弱指數 (RSI) 也顯示需求疲軟,再加上平均方向指數 (ADX) 下降,表示價格可能跌破 700 美元。
Whales Trimming Positions
鯨魚修剪位置
The behavior of large investors, or “whales,” has added to the cautious sentiment. According to data from Hyblock, whales had added positions during BNB’s ATH pump in early December but have since trimmed their holdings. This shift has coincided with the retracement towards $700, further dampening market sentiment.
大型投資者或「鯨魚」的行為加劇了謹慎情緒。根據 Hyblock 的數據,鯨魚在 12 月初 BNB ATH 上漲期間增加了頭寸,但此後削減了持股。這一轉變與回調至 700 美元同時發生,進一步抑制了市場情緒。
Furthermore, the futures market has shown limited demand. Open Interest (OI) has dropped significantly, shrinking from $800 million to $433 million. This decline in futures activity further signals a short-term bearish outlook for BNB, as reduced demand could lead to a continued downward drift.
此外,期貨市場的需求也有限。未平倉合約 (OI) 大幅下降,從 8 億美元縮減至 4.33 億美元。期貨活動的下降進一步表明了 BNB 的短期看跌前景,因為需求減少可能導致 BNB 持續下行。
Liquidity Hunt Could Push BNB Below $700
流動性追逐可能導致 BNB 跌破 700 美元
Despite the bearish sentiment, the market could experience a liquidity hunt, which might temporarily push BNB below $700. According to Coinglass, there is a significant concentration of leveraged longs at the $690 level, meaning that market makers could target these positions, triggering sell-offs. If this happens, BNB might dip below $700 before attempting to retest higher levels, such as the $734 or $750 liquidity zones.
儘管市場情緒看跌,但市場可能會經歷流動性追逐,這可能會暫時將 BNB 推低至 700 美元以下。據 Coinglass 稱,槓桿多頭嚴重集中在 690 美元的水平,這意味著做市商可能會瞄準這些頭寸,從而引發拋售。如果發生這種情況,BNB 可能會跌破 700 美元,然後再嘗試重新測試更高的水平,例如 734 美元或 750 美元的流動性區域。
On the flip side, these liquidity levels could provide an opportunity for BNB to bounce back if market conditions improve. The potential upside at $734 and $750 could attract buying interest, especially if market sentiment turns more favorable.
另一方面,如果市場狀況改善,這些流動性水準可能為 BNB 提供反彈的機會。 734 美元和 750 美元的潛在上漲可能會吸引買盤興趣,特別是如果市場情緒變得更加有利的話。
BNB Price Prediction: What’s Next?
BNB 價格預測:下一步是什麼?
As the market braces for potential volatility, BNB’s price action will be closely tied to broader market trends and investor sentiment. In the short term, weak demand and reduced whale activity could push the altcoin below $700. However, if liquidity at higher levels, like $734 and $750, attracts buying pressure, BNB could make a recovery.
隨著市場為潛在波動做好準備,BNB 的價格走勢將與更廣泛的市場趨勢和投資者情緒密切相關。短期內,需求疲軟和鯨魚活動減少可能會導致山寨幣跌破 700 美元。然而,如果較高程度的流動性(例如 734 美元和 750 美元)吸引購買壓力,BNB 可能會復甦。
The next few days will be crucial for determining whether BNB can defend the $700 level. If it fails to hold, it could experience further downside, potentially reaching $690 or lower. However, any improvement in sentiment could see the cryptocurrency retesting the $734 and $750 resistance zones.
未來幾天對於決定 BNB 能否守住 700 美元水準至關重要。如果未能守住,它可能會進一步下跌,有可能達到 690 美元或更低。然而,情緒的任何改善都可能導致加密貨幣重新測試 734 美元和 750 美元的阻力區。
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