億萬富翁雷·達裡奧警告即將到來的債務危機，建議投資者轉向比特幣和黃金

比特幣在 2024 年漲幅超過 120%，從年初的 44,000 美元上漲到 2024 年 12 月突破 10 萬美元大關。

Billionaire investor Ray Dalio has warned about an impending debt crisis in global finance and advised investors to consider shifting to assets like Bitcoin and gold.

億萬富翁投資者雷·達裡奧（Ray Dalio）警告全球金融即將爆發債務危機，並建議投資者考慮轉向比特幣和黃金等資產。

Bitcoin has gained more than 120% in 2024, rising from $44,000 at the beginning of the year to surpass the $100,000 mark in December 2024. Gold is also trading at record highs.

比特幣在 2024 年漲幅超過 120%，從年初的 44,000 美元上漲到 2024 年 12 月突破 10 萬美元大關。

MILESTONE | #Bitcoin Surpasses the $100,000 Mark for the First Time in History

里程碑 | #比特幣史上首次突破 10 萬美元大關

Since the start of 2024, Bitcoin is up by over 120% and by over 50% in the last one month since the election victory of U.S. President Donald Trump.https://t.co/Zc1PC4lDbM #Bitcoin100K pic.twitter.com/GnJYFtHqS4

自 2024 年初以來，比特幣上漲了 120% 以上，自美國總統唐納德·川普當選以來的最後一個月上漲了 50% 以上。 GnJYFtHqS4

— BitKE (@BitcoinKE) December 5, 2024

— BitKE (@BitcoinKE) 2024 年 12 月 5 日

Speaking at Abu Dhabi Finance Week event recently, Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund, voiced concerns about increasing debt levels in major economies and advised against investing in debt-based assets.

全球最大對沖基金橋水基金創辦人雷·達利奧(Ray Dalio)最近在阿布達比金融週活動上發表講話，表達了對主要經濟體債務水平不斷上升的擔憂，並建議不要投資債務型資產。

“I believe that there would likely be a pending debt money problem,” Dalio said, as quoted by the South China Morning Post.

據《南華早報》報道，達利奧表示：“我相信可能會存在懸而未決的債務資金問題。”

“I want to steer away from debt assets like bonds and debt, and have some hard money like gold and Bitcoin.”

“我想遠離債券和債務等債務資產，並擁有一些黃金和比特幣等硬通貨。”

Dalio highlighted the ‘unprecedented levels’ of debt in major economies such as the U.S. and China, cautioning that this trend could result in debt crises in the years ahead.

達利奧強調了美國和中國等主要經濟體的債務“前所未有的水平”，並警告這種趨勢可能會在未來幾年導致債務危機。

“It is impossible for these countries to be able to not have a debt crisis in the years ahead that will lead to a great decline of [money] value,” Dalio said.

達利奧表示：“這些國家不可能在未來幾年不發生債務危機，從而導致[貨幣]價值大幅下跌。”

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), public debt levels have risen in 2024 across the United States, the EU, and China.

根據國際貨幣基金組織 (IMF) 的數據，2024 年美國、歐盟和中國的公共債務水準上升。

In 2024:

2024 年：

According to the IMF, total public debt could approach 100% of global GDP by 2030.

據國際貨幣基金組織稱，到 2030 年，公共債務總額可能接近全球 GDP 的 100%。

GLOBAL | Total Global Debt to Surpass $100 Trillion, 93% of Global GDP, By End of 2024, Warns IMF

全球|國際貨幣基金組織警告說，到 2024 年底，全球債務總額將超過 100 兆美元，佔全球 GDP 的 93%

IMF also warns of possible 115% of GDP debt levels within 3 years driven by slower growth, tighter financial conditions, and policy uncertainties.https://t.co/XE1JBvd60Y @IMFNews pic.twitter.com/FJG0AJFmpy

國際貨幣基金組織也警告稱，由於成長放緩、金融狀況收緊和政策不確定性，3年內GDP債務水準可能達到115%。 FJG0AJFmpy

— BitKE (@BitcoinKE) October 21, 2024

— BitKE (@BitcoinKE) 2024 年 10 月 21 日

Meanwhile, African countries are dedicating 65% of their GDP to servicing debt obligations, according to the head of the African Development Bank, Akinwumi Adesina.

同時，非洲開發銀行行長阿金烏米·阿德西納 (Akinwumi Adesina) 表示，非洲國家將其 GDP 的 65% 用於償還債務。

Africa’s $824 Billion Debt Burden and Opaque Resource-Backed Loans Hinder Potential, African Development Bank President Warns

非洲開發銀行行長警告稱，非洲 8,240 億美元的債務負擔和不透明的資源支持貸款阻礙了潛力

The continent would pay $74 billion in debt service payments this year [2024] alone, a sharp increase from $17 billion in 2010. … pic.twitter.com/2M7Dy1wP4J

光是今年[2024]，非洲大陸就將支付 740 億美元的償債款項，比 2010 年的 170 億美元大幅增加。

— BitKE (@BitcoinKE) April 24, 2024

— BitKE (@BitcoinKE) 2024 年 4 月 24 日

This comes as governments on the continent have largely shifted from concessional financing to more expensive and short-term commercial debt, with Eurobond debt now accounting for 44% of Africa’s total debt, up from 14-17% previously.

同時，非洲大陸各國政府基本上已從優惠融資轉向更昂貴的短期商業債務，歐洲債券債務目前佔非洲總債務的 44%，高於先前的 14-17%。

Côte d’Ivoire, Benin, and Kenya have issued almost $5 billion in bonds since the beginning of 2024, at interest rates ranging from 8 to 10 percent.

自 2024 年初以來，科特迪瓦、貝南和肯亞已發行了近 50 億美元的債券，利率在 8% 至 10% 之間。

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監管 |奈及利亞聯繫國際刑警組織，就幣安區域經理逃亡申請國際逮捕令

According to Adesina, the continent would pay $74 billion in debt service payments in 2024 alone, a sharp increase from $17 billion in 2010.

據 Adesina 稱，光是 2024 年非洲大陸就將支付 740 億美元的償債款項，比 2010 年的 170 億美元大幅增加。

At the same time, South Africa, the continent’s most advanced economy, registered its largest budget deficit in nearly 20 years in 2023.

同時，非洲大陸最發達的經濟體南非在 2023 年出現近 20 年來最大的預算赤字。

🇿 TAXATION | Remote Workers Targeted as South Africa Records Largest Budget Deficit Since 2004

🇿 稅 |南非創 2004 年以來最大預算赤字，遠距工作者成為攻擊目標

South Africa has emerged as a popular destination for remote work due to the relatively low cost of living and fair weather – while remote workers can also earn in dollars or pounds. … pic.twitter.com/pdNgHAgmRO

由於生活成本相對較低且氣候宜人，南非已成為遠距工作的熱門目的地，而遠距工作者也可以賺取美元或英鎊。 … pic.twitter.com/pdNgHAgmRO

— BitKE (@BitcoinKE) October 24, 2023

— BitKE (@BitcoinKE) 2023 年 10 月 24 日

The national debt in South Africa reached R143 billion ($7.54 billion) at the end of July 2023, surpassing the R115.5 billion ($22.73 billion)

截至 2023 年 7 月底，南非公債達到 1,430 億蘭特（75.4 億美元），超過 1,155 億蘭特（227.3 億美元）