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根據這項檢查,比特將資產的潛在價值從2025年到本十年末。
The $12 billion asset manager Bitwise has set its sights on XRP, providing a detailed analysis of the asset's investment case and offering bold price predictions for the coming decade.
這位120億美元的資產經理Bitwise已將目光投向XRP,對資產的投資案例進行了詳細的分析,並在未來十年提供了大膽的價格預測。
Examining the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) to determine a valuation target for XRP, Bitwise applied a discount factor to adjust for macroeconomic, regulatory, and competitive risks.
檢查資本資產定價模型(CAPM),以確定XRP的估值目標,Bitwise應用折現因子來調整宏觀經濟,調節性和競爭風險。
Its analysis, part of a broader report on tokenized assets, included three possible scenarios: a max case, bull case, and bear case for XRP's performance from 2025 to 2030.
它的分析是關於令牌資產的更廣泛報告的一部分,其中包括三種可能的情況:最大案例,牛案例和熊案例,用於XRP從2025年到2030年。
The Max Case: Soaring Tokenization Fuels Stellar Gains
最大情況:飆升的令牌化燃料恆星增益
In the max case scenario, Bitwise envisions rapid adoption of tokenized assets, generating significant transactional flows and fees for XRP.
在最大情況下,位設想快速採用令牌化資產,為XRP產生大量的交易流和費用。
This scenario anticipates the global tokenization market to exceed $10.9 trillion by 2030. Bitwise believes that capturing just 1% to 2% of this market could significantly impact XRP's market cap.
這種情況預計到2030年,全球令牌化市場將超過10.9萬億美元。 Bitwise認為,僅捕獲該市場的1%至2%可以顯著影響XRP的市值。
XRP’s fees for transactions related to tokenized assets would generate increased on-ledger flows. Accordingly, transaction fees would burn a fraction of XRP, reducing its supply and potentially driving its price.
XRP的與令牌化資產相關的交易費用將產生增加的領導流量。因此,交易費用將燃燒一小部分XRP,減少其供應並有可能推動其價格。
The projected annual return for XRP is +46%, with the price potentially reaching $29.32 by 2030. Furthermore, Bitwise projects XRP’s market capitalization relative to Bitcoin will rise from 11% to 13.81%. Notably, this estimate assumes that Bitcoin reaches $1 million per token.
XRP的預計年收益率為 +46%,到2030年的價格可能達到29.32美元。此外,Bitwise Projects XRP相對於比特幣的市值將從11%上升至13.81%。值得注意的是,這一估計假設比特幣每個令牌達到100萬美元。
The Bull Case: A Tale of Steady Growth
公牛案:一個穩定增長的故事
In Bitwise’s bull case scenario for XRP, the firm assumes steady network growth with minimal regulatory hurdles. It expects XRP to grow moderately, with increased institutional partnerships, cross-border flows, and stablecoin usage on XRPL.
在Bitwise的XRP牛案例中,該公司以最小的監管障礙穩定地進行了網絡增長。它預計XRP會隨著機構合作夥伴關係,跨境流量和XRPL上的穩定使用量的增加而適度增長。
The annual return formula yields +27%, with XRP’s price projected to reach $12.70 by 2030. The formula suggests XRP would peak in 2025 at $3.90, just slightly above its all-time high of $3.84.
年收益公式的收益 +27%,到2030年的XRP價格預計將達到12.70美元。該公式表明,XRP在2025年達到3.90美元的高峰,略高於其歷史新高的高價3.84美元。
However, Bitwise projects that XRP could reach $4.94 by 2026, $6.25 in 2027, and $7.91 by 2028. Under this model, XRP would break into the double-digit range by 2029, reaching $10.02 and continuing to $12.68 by 2030.
但是,Bitwise的預測,XRP到2026年可能達到4.94美元,2027年為6.25美元,到2028年為7.91美元。在此型號下,XRP將在2029年到2029年,達到10.02美元,到2030年持續到12.68美元。
The Bear Case: A Deep Dive into a Pessimistic Outlook
熊案:深入研究悲觀的前景
In a pessimistic bear case scenario, Bitwise expects slower adoption of tokenized assets, leading to lower transactional volumes and, consequently, less on-chain activity.
在悲觀的熊案情景中,比特期望採用令牌資產的採用較慢,導致交易量較低,從而減少鏈上的活動。
This scenario envisages limited involvement by major banks and a focus on smaller institutions. Additionally, stablecoins and other cryptocurrencies face stiff competition from traditional financial institutions.
這種情況設想主要銀行的參與度有限,並關注較小的機構。此外,Stablecoins和其他加密貨幣面臨傳統金融機構的激烈競爭。
This scenario anticipates a negative growth of 59% per year.
這種情況預計每年的負增長59%。
The analysis is based on a historical volatility of ~147%, and the scenario anticipates a significant decline in value due to XRP’s failure to make meaningful progress in its target markets.
該分析基於約147%的歷史波動,該方案預計由於XRP未能在其目標市場中取得有意義的進展,因此價值大幅下降。
This analysis provides a valuable framework for evaluating the potential of XRP in the coming decade, considering various macroeconomic and crypto market trends.
考慮到各種宏觀經濟和加密市場趨勢,該分析為評估XRP的潛力提供了一個寶貴的框架。
The post Bitwise Predicts Huge Gains for XRP With Max Case Scenario Hitting $29 by 2030 appeared first on The Crypto Basic.
該帖子的位置預測XRP的巨大收益,最大案例方案到2030年達到29美元,首先出現在Crypto Basic上。
The post Bitwise Predicts Huge Gains for XRP With Max Case Scenario Hitting $29 by 2030 appeared first on The Crypto Basic.
該帖子的位置預測XRP的巨大收益,最大案例方案到2030年達到29美元,首先出現在Crypto Basic上。
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