BCH價格分析：下降渠道承諾在最後下降之前潛在的底部

比特幣現金（BCH）已擴大了廣泛降級渠道內的多個月糾正措施下降，朝著最後一條方向發展。

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has been extending its multi-month corrective decline in a broad descending channel, setting the stage for the final leg of this corrective Y-pattern.

比特幣現金（BCH）一直在延長廣泛降級渠道中的多個月糾正措施下降，為這個糾正性Y-Pattern的最後一站奠定了基礎。

As the last decline unfolds, a confluence of Fibonacci levels and price structures could set the stage for a potential bottom formation.

隨著最後一次下降的發展，斐波那契水平和價格結構的匯合可能為潛在的底層形成奠定基礎。

BCH/USD Chart Analysis: Descending Channel and Fibonacci Levels

BCH/USD圖表分析：下降通道和斐波那契水平

Examining the 4-hour chart, BCH is clearly progressing within a descending corrective channel, forming a larger WXY pattern from the April 2024 high near $716.

在檢查4小時圖表時，BCH顯然在下降的糾正渠道中進展，從2024年4月高的$ 716形成了更大的WXY模式。

This structure has seen significant development, and as the price action approaches the apex of wave (e) of Y, there are strong implications that the broader correction could be winding down.

這種結構已經看到了重大的發展，並且隨著價格行動接近Y的波（E）的頂點，有很大的含義，即更廣泛的校正可能會結束。

Specifically, subwave (d) encountered resistance at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of $397.53, coinciding with the upper boundary of the channel. As anticipated, this led to a rejection and the downswing of wave e.

具體而言，子波（d）在0.5斐波那契回回水平上遇到了阻力，397.53美元，與通道的上邊界一致。如預期的那樣，這導致了波浪E的拒絕和下降。

Moreover, Fibonacci retracement from the broader advance reveals crucial support at $263.91 and $215.30 (0.786 Fib), aligning with the projected completion zone for wave Y.

此外，從更廣泛的進步中獲得的斐波那契回波揭示了至關重要的支持，為263.91美元和215.30美元（0.786 FIB），與Wave Y的預計完成區保持一致。

Completing the technical picture, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also dipped back into the oversold region at around 25%, indicating a potential shift in momentum.

完成技術圖片，相對強度指數（RSI）也以25％的左右降回了超售區域，這表明動量的潛在變化。

Furthermore, the descending wedge pattern, defined by converging trendlines, adds another layer to the analysis. If the price manages to stay above the lower boundary of this wedge, it bodes well for a reversal.

此外，由收斂趨勢線定義的下降楔形模式為分析增加了另一層。如果價格設法保持在此楔形的下邊界上方，則可以很好地進行逆轉。

This wedge's lower boundary also closely follows the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level from the March 2024 low to the April 2024 high, converging around $215.30.

該楔形的下邊界還緊隨2024年3月至2024年4月高的0.786斐波那契回撤水平，匯聚約為215.30美元。

If this support breaks decisively, it could set the stage for a continuation toward the 1.0 Fibonacci extension at $181.33.

如果這種支持果斷地破裂，它可能會為1.0斐波那契擴展的階段奠定基礎，為$ 181.33。

However, a strong reaction from this zone would be crucial, considering that BCH has historically shown resilience at fib levels and fib confluence zones. Since February 2024, the cryptocurrency has never closed lower than $274.

但是，考慮到BCH歷史上顯示在FIB水平和FIB匯合區域的彈性，該區域的強烈反應至關重要。自2024年2月以來，加密貨幣從未關閉低於274美元。

This support zone, if respected, could mark the final leg of the corrective cycle and pave the way for a new impulse wave upward.

如果受到尊重，該支撐區可以標記糾正循環的最後一條，並為新的衝動波動鋪平道路。

Examining the 1-hour chart in detail, BCH is progressing through lower-degree wave (c) of a higher-degree (e), which could be the final move before setting the bottom.

詳細檢查了1小時圖表，BCH正在通過更高度（e）的低度波（C）進行進展，這可能是設置底部之前的最終動作。

The measured structure indicates potential downside targets between $263.91 and $242.67, corresponding to the 0.786 and 1.0 Fibonacci extension levels of wave (a)-(b)-(c).

測得的結構表示潛在的下行目標在$ 263.91到$ 242.67之間，對應於波（a） - （b） - （c）的0.786和1.0 fibonacci擴展水平。

However, should momentum carry through, a deeper spike toward $215.30 (1.272) or $181.33 (1.618) cannot be ruled out before exhaustion is confirmed.

但是，應持續動量，在確認疲憊之前，不能排除較深的尖峰（1.272）（1.272）或$ 181.33（1.618）。

At present, the RSI is flattening as it approaches oversold conditions, with early divergence forming between price and momentum. This suggests a gradual weakening of bearish strength despite lower prices, a common occurrence in terminal corrective patterns.

目前，RSI在接近過多的條件時正在變平，價格和動量之間形成了早期差異。這表明儘管價格較低，但看跌強度的逐漸減弱，這是最終矯正模式的普遍發生。

As the descending wedge's lower boundary is crossed, it closely follows the 1.272 Fib, setting $215.30 as a critical monitoring level.

隨著降級楔的下邊界的越過，它緊隨1.272 FIB，將$ 215.30定為關鍵監視級別。

If BCH finds support and rebounds from the $242–$215 zone, the next upside reaction could test $292.30, followed by $322.34 (0.618 level), which acts as structural resistance.

如果BCH從242-215美元的區域找到了支持和籃板，那麼下一個上升反應可能會測試292.30美元，然後是322.34美元（0.618級），這是結構性阻力。

A confirmed breakout above $322.34 would solidify the end of the correction and potentially initiate a new bullish sequence.

超過$ 322.34的確認突破將鞏固校正的結束，並可能啟動新的看漲序列。

Conversely, failure to maintain support at $215.30 increases the risk of continuing the decline toward the deeper 1.618 target at $181.33.Key Levels to Watch

相反，如果不維持215.30美元的支持，則會增加延續1.618目標的下降的風險，至181.33美元。