繼比特幣（BTC）領先之後，山寨幣飆升，但專家警告謹慎

繼比特幣（BTC）在一些分析師所說的「有史以來最大的加密貨幣牛市」中處於領先地位之後，山寨幣上週飆升。

Altcoins continued their rally last week, heeding Bitcoin’s (BTC) call in what some are describing as “the biggest crypto bull run ever.” However, one cryptocurrency trading expert warned to tread carefully, as all cryptocurrencies could soon start bleeding before “sending them much higher.”

山寨幣上週繼續上漲，響應比特幣（BTC）的號召，有些人將其描述為「有史以來最大的加密貨幣牛市」。然而，一位加密貨幣交易專家警告稱，要謹慎行事，因為所有加密貨幣可能很快就會開始下跌，然後「大幅上漲」。

In the past seven days, US-based altcoin projects such as Ripple’s XRP, IOHK’s Cardano (ADA), and Algorand’s (ALGO) took the spotlight. XRP, for example, surged by over 83% in a week, as reported by Finbold, breaking the $1 mark and eyeing $8.

在過去的 7 天裡，Ripple 的 XRP、IOHK 的 Cardano (ADA) 和 Algorand 的 (ALGO) 等美國山寨幣計畫成為人們關注的焦點。例如，根據 Finbold 報導，XRP 在一周內飆升了 83% 以上，突破了 1 美元大關，目標是 8 美元。

Meanwhile, CrypNuevo expressed his belief that this bull rally may encounter resistance and experience a “shallow pullback” in the coming days. The analyst shared this analysis on November 14, observing BTC psychological levels and TradingView’s Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D).

同時，CrypNuevo 表示，他相信這次多頭反彈可能會遇到阻力，並在未來幾天經歷「小幅回調」。該分析師在 11 月 14 日分享了這項分析，觀察了 BTC 心理水平和 TradingView 的比特幣優勢指數 (BTC.D)。

This scenario could also be influenced by the S&P 500 6,000 psychological price level, pulling everything down in a market correction that is long overdue.

這種情況也可能受到標準普爾 500 指數 6,000 點心理價格水準的影響，從而在早該進行的市場調整中拉低一切。

Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction

比特幣（BTC）價格預測

The analysis began with a Bitcoin price prediction, suggesting a move up, followed by a pullback to $83,000. “Not necessarily what I think it’ll happen,” CrypNuevo clarified, “but just what would give me the most trade triggers.”

分析從比特幣價格預測開始，建議比特幣價格上漲，然後回落至 83,000 美元。 “不一定是我認為會發生的事情，”CrypNuevo 澄清道，“而是最能觸發我交易的事情。”

According to the expert, a run to $95,000-$96,000 would present an opportunity to trigger a short against retail, anticipating BTC to reach the much-anticipated $100,000 psychological level. Essentially, this zone would act as a bull trap, generating sufficient liquidity to the downside with long liquidations.

這位專家表示，價格上漲至 95,000 美元至 96,000 美元將提供觸發散戶空頭的機會，預計 BTC 將達到備受期待的 100,000 美元心理水平。本質上，該區域將充當牛市陷阱，透過多頭清算產生足夠的下行流動性。

However, the long squeeze would likely bounce up again once market makers were done with the retracement.

然而，一旦做市商完成回調，多頭擠壓可能會再次反彈。

Altcoins: Bleed before being sent “much higher”

山寨幣：在「大幅上漲」之前先流血

Interestingly, the analyst has consistently warned of an incoming altseason, observing the BTC.D index. This notion remains valid as Bitcoin’s dominance currently hovers in CrypNuevo’s key range between 60% and 62%.

有趣的是，這位分析師透過觀察 BTC.D 指數，一直警告山寨季即將到來。這個概念仍然有效，因為比特幣的主導地位目前徘徊在 CrypNuevo 的 60% 到 62% 之間的關鍵範圍內。

In his opinion, if BTC plays out as projected above, altcoins would likely follow, albeit for a “shallow pullback.” Notably, this would create a “great opportunity,” in his words, as the altseason would finally commence after this brief bleed.

在他看來，如果 BTC 的表現如上述預測，山寨幣可能會跟隨，儘管會出現「小幅回檔」。值得注意的是，用他的話來說，這將創造一個“絕佳的機會”，因為在短暫的失血之後，山寨季將最終開始。

“Then we could see alts continue to bleed – but at this pace (!) a shallow pullback rather than a deep one – presenting a great opportunity before sending them much higher.”

「然後我們可以看到山寨股繼續流血——但按照這個速度（！），只是淺層回調，而不是深度回調——在將它們推高之前，這是一個很好的機會。”

It is crucial to note, however, that even professional traders and prominent analysts like CrypNuevo can be wrong. These analyses do not guarantee the market will behave as expected. Instead, they simply offer valuable insights for traders and investors to consider during their own studies.

然而，值得注意的是，即使是專業交易員和像 CrypNuevo 這樣的著名分析師也可能是錯誤的。這些分析並不能保證市場會如預期運作。相反，它們只是為交易者和投資者在自己的研究過程中提供有價值的見解。

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