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山寨幣市場目前正處於關鍵突破的早期階段。技術指標顯示大幅反彈可能是山寨幣季節的開始。
The altcoin market is on the cusp of a major breakout, with technicals pointing to a possible start of altcoin season.
山寨幣市場正處於重大突破的風口浪尖,技術面顯示山寨幣季節可能會開始。
Market analyst MikybullCrypto has observed a cup-and-handle pattern on the altcoin’s total market capitalization chart, a formation typically viewed as a bullish signal. This breakout suggests an increase in the altcoin market cap to $2 trillion by late 2025, with currentالاتشير إلى ارتفاع سقف السوق.
市場分析師 MikybullCrypto 在山寨幣總市值圖表上觀察到了杯柄形態,這種形態通常被視為看漲訊號。這項突破表明,到 2025 年底,山寨幣市值將增至 2 兆美元,目前的市值將達到 2 兆美元。
Cup and Handle Pattern Signals a Bullish Breakout
杯柄形態預示看漲突破
The cup-and-handle formation marks a two-year recovery from the bearish phase that began in early 2022. The cup shape at the bottom signifies a sustained buildup and recovery in the market, while the handle formation during consolidation indicates an upcoming breakout.
杯柄形態標誌著從 2022 年初開始的看跌階段開始的兩年復甦。
Having already crossed the $820 billion market capitalization level, the next leg up in the altcoin market has begun. If the breakout holds, we can expect to see a 181.6% surge in the altcoin market, setting the stage for one of the biggest rallies in recent times.
市值已經突破 8,200 億美元,山寨幣市場的下一輪上漲已經開始。如果突破持續,我們預計山寨幣市場將飆升 181.6%,為近期最大的反彈之一奠定基礎。
Moreover, this bullish outlook on altcoins aligns with the increasing participation of investors in the market, highlighting the potential for growth in most altcoins.
此外,山寨幣的這種看漲前景與投資者對市場的參與度不斷增加相一致,凸顯了大多數山寨幣的成長潛力。
Altcoin Dominance Shows Shift in Momentum
山寨幣的主導地位顯示出勢頭的轉變
The altcoin market is showing strength with a gradual shift in dominance, indicating a rising trend for altcoins other than Bitcoin and Ethereum in the Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding the Top 10 Dominance metric.
山寨幣市場顯示出強勢,主導地位逐漸發生轉變,這表明在不包括前 10 名主導指標的加密貨幣總市值中,除比特幣和以太坊之外的山寨幣呈上升趨勢。
This dominance has surged to 9.67%, placing it well above a descending trendline that has acted as a resistance line since early September.
這一主導地位已飆升至 9.67%,遠高於自 9 月初以來一直充當阻力線的下降趨勢線。
The breakout highlights a sustained investor interest in smaller altcoins, which is now being pegged as a sign of a new altcoin season. The altcoin dominance is seen trading around 9.80% levels, finding the next resistance at 10.50%.
這項突破凸顯了投資者對較小型山寨幣的持續興趣,目前被視為新山寨幣季節的標誌。山寨幣的主導地位預計在 9.80% 水平附近交易,下一個阻力位在 10.50%。
If these levels are crossed, we can expect to see small-cap cryptocurrencies potentially driving the market growth. On the lower side, the dominance has support at 9.30%, with 9.00% being the second level of support.
如果突破這些水平,我們預期小盤加密貨幣可能會推動市場成長。下方,主導支撐位為9.30%,其中9.00%為第二支撐位。
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 57.45, indicating increasing bullish pressure without being in the overbought zone. This suggests that there is still potential for the asset to grow before a correction occurs, which again supports a bullish outlook on small-cap assets.
相對強弱指數(RSI)目前為 57.45,顯示看漲壓力不斷增加,但並未處於超買區域。這表明該資產在調整發生之前仍有成長潛力,這再次支持了小盤資產的看漲前景。
Altcoin Season Anticipated to Begin by November End
山寨幣季節預計將於 11 月底開始
This aligns further with the market sentiment and historical price movement, suggesting the start of an altcoin season from November next year to March the following year.
這進一步符合市場情緒和歷史價格趨勢,顯示山寨幣季節從明年 11 月到隔年 3 月開始。
During this period, we can expect altcoins to outperform larger coins like BTC and ETH due to a shift in capital from the larger-cap coins.
在此期間,由於資本從大盤硬幣轉移,我們預計山寨幣的表現將優於 BTC 和 ETH 等大盤硬幣。
Historically, altcoin seasons have occurred during a bullish run when altcoins tend to perform better than the top cryptos once the BTC price stabilizes. However, the projected altcoin market cap of $2 trillion is based on the depth of the cup-and-handle pattern, a technical setup known for its high accuracy.
從歷史上看,山寨幣季節發生在牛市期間,一旦 BTC 價格穩定,山寨幣的表現往往優於頂級加密貨幣。然而,預計 2 兆美元的山寨幣市值是基於杯柄模式的深度,這是一種以其高精度而聞名的技術設定。
Key Levels to Watch
值得關注的關鍵水平
On the higher side, the dominance levels are seen reaching 10.50%, with the market capitalization aiming for $2 trillion, indicating a further breakout by small-cap altcoins.
從較高的角度來看,主導水準預計將達到 10.50%,市值目標為 2 兆美元,顯示小盤山寨幣將進一步突破。
However, a bearish scenario may unfold if the breakout fails to hold, leading to a potential retracement. Any support level above $600 billion is considered relatively safe as it provides firm support to the market in case of a price pullback.
然而,如果突破未能持續,則可能會出現看跌局面,從而導致潛在的回調。任何高於 6000 億美元的支撐位都被認為是相對安全的,因為它可以在價格回檔的情況下為市場提供堅定的支撐。
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