2025 年：25 萬美元的激進看漲價格預測讓比特幣變得可怕

加密貨幣市場，特別是比特幣，在過去幾年中經歷了巨大的波動和成長。截至 2025 年 1 月初，多位分析師

Bitcoin price predictions for 2025 vary widely, with some analysts predicting a drop to around $78,000 while others anticipate a surge to as high as $250,000. Here's a closer look at these predictions and the factors influencing them.

對 2025 年比特幣價格的預測差異很大，一些分析師預計將跌至 78,000 美元左右，而另一些分析師預計將飆升至 25 萬美元。以下是對這些預測以及影響它們的因素的詳細研究。

Bearish Predictions

看跌預測

Peter Brandt, a renowned technical analyst, predicts that Bitcoin may experience a correction in 2025, dropping to an average price of around $78,000. His analysis is based on technical patterns, such as the head and shoulders formation, which he believes could indicate a potential reversal in the bullish trend.

著名技術分析師 Peter Brandt 預測，比特幣可能在 2025 年經歷回調，均價跌至 78,000 美元左右。他的分析基於技術形態，例如頭肩形態，他認為這可能表明看漲趨勢可能出現逆轉。

James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, also anticipates a bearish scenario, predicting that Bitcoin could trade as low as $80,000 in 2025. According to Butterfill, this prediction is contingent on disappointments related to pro-cryptocurrency policies from political figures, such as former U.S. President Donald Trump.

CoinShares 研究主管 James Butterfill 也預測了看跌情景，他預測 2025 年比特幣的交易價格可能會低至 8 萬美元。總統唐納德·特朗普。

Moderate Bullish Predictions

溫和看漲預測

On the other hand, some analysts are more optimistic in their predictions. For instance, analysts at Matrixport anticipate that Bitcoin could reach an average price of around $160,000 in 2025. This prediction is based on their analysis of sustained demand for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and favorable macroeconomic conditions.

另一方面，有些分析師的預測則較為樂觀。例如，Matrixport 的分析師預計，到2025 年，比特幣的平均價格可能會達到16 萬美元左右。的分析。

Butterfill also suggests a more bullish target of $150,000 in 2025, which he believes could be realized if there are positive regulatory developments in the U.S. Throughout 2024, there were high expectations among the crypto community for the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which could significantly boost liquidity and accessibility.

Butterfill 也提出了2025 年15 萬美元的更樂觀目標，他認為如果美國監管取得積極進展，這一目標就可以實現。這可能會顯著提振流動性和可及性。

Aggressive Bullish Predictions

激進的看漲預測

British bank Standard Chartered sets a target of $200,000 for Bitcoin in 2025, citing potential inflows from U.S. retirement funds and sovereign wealth funds as key drivers. According to the bank's analysis, these institutions could allocate up to 0.5% of their total assets under management to Bitcoin, which would be a substantial boost to the cryptocurrency's demand.

英國渣打銀行設定了 2025 年比特幣價格達到 20 萬美元的目標，並表示美國退休基金和主權財富基金的潛在資金流入是主要驅動力。根據該銀行的分析，這些機構最多可以將其管理的總資產的0.5%分配給比特幣，這將大大提振加密貨幣的需求。

The most aggressive prediction comes from Swiss-based crypto fund manager Nexo, which forecasts that Bitcoin could surge to as high as $250,000 in the year 2025. According to Nexo, this prediction is based on their anticipation of increasing institutional adoption and recognition of Bitcoin as a reserve asset, which could lead to a "scary" price rally.

最積極的預測來自瑞士的加密貨幣基金管理公司Nexo，該公司預測比特幣將在2025 年飆升至25 萬美元。的預期。

Several key factors are expected to influence these price predictions. The anticipated regulatory environment under Donald Trump’s administration is seen as potentially favorable for cryptocurrencies. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. has already broadened investor access and interest in Bitcoin. Finally, historical patterns suggest that after halving events (which reduce supply), prices often see significant increases.

預計有幾個關鍵因素會影響這些價格預測。唐納德·川普政府的預期監管環境被認為可能有利於加密貨幣。美國批准現貨比特幣 ETF 已經擴大了投資者對比特幣的投資管道和興趣。最後，歷史模式表明，在減半事件（減少供應）之後，價格通常會大幅上漲。

To summarize, while there are varying predictions for Bitcoin's price in 2025 ranging from $78,000 to $250,000 depending on market conditions and external influences, many analysts agree that the cryptocurrency is likely to experience substantial volatility throughout the year.

總而言之，雖然根據市場狀況和外部影響，對 2025 年比特幣價格的預測從 78,000 美元到 250,000 美元不等，但許多分析師一致認為，加密貨幣全年可能會經歷大幅波動。