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On-Chain Data Shows Bitcoin Netflow on Binance Has Turned Negative Recently. Here's What This Could Mean for the Asset's Price

2025/01/08 21:30

On-Chain Data Shows Bitcoin Netflow on Binance Has Turned Negative Recently. Here's What This Could Mean for the Asset's Price

The metric, which shows the net flow of a cryptocurrency into or out of exchange wallets, has turned negative for Bitcoin on Binance recently.

As per a recent CryptoQuant analysis, the 14-day simple moving average (SMA) of the Bitcoin Exchange Netflow for Binance (computed using 144-block intervals) has dropped into the negative territory.

The Exchange Netflow is an indicator that measures the net amount of a cryptocurrency entering into or leaving the wallets linked to a centralized exchange.

When the value of this metric is positive, it indicates that a net amount of coins are being deposited into these exchange platforms. One common reason for holders to transfer to exchanges is for selling, and thus, such a trend may be suggestive of a bearish outcome for the asset.

On the other hand, the metric being negative implies that there are more outflows taking place on the exchange than inflows. Such a trend could be a sign that investors are accumulating, which may be bullish for the coin’s price.

The following chart shows the trend in the Bitcoin Exchange Netflow for Binance, as well as its 14-day SMA, over the last few months:

The above chart highlights the 14-day SMA of the Bitcoin Exchange Netflow on Binance over the last few months. As you can see, the metric has observed a sharp negative spike during the past day, indicating that a large amount of tokens were withdrawn by investors from the platform.

During the second half of last month, the indicator remained mostly within the positive territory, leading to the 14-day SMA attaining a value greater than zero.

In the chart, the quant has marked the instances of the 14-day SMA showing this trend in the last few months. It seems that the pattern has generally led to short-term declines for the asset in this period. The latest inflows into the platform, too, were accompanied by a drawdown in the Bitcoin price.

After the latest sharp negative spike has appeared in the daily version of the Binance Exchange Netflow, its 14-day SMA value has also dipped back into the red zone.

While a surge into the positive territory precedes a short-term decline for the asset, a plunge into the negative region usually leads to bullish price action. Thus, Bitcoin may be currently well-set in terms of this indicator.

In total, a net amount of 5,407 BTC was taken off into self-custody by exchange users during the latest negative spike in the Binance Exchange Netflow.

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