XRP Price Prediction: Could History Repeat Itself and Send XRP Price to $45?

Crypto analyst Egrag claims XRP price could replicate historic rallies, targeting $19 to $45 based on past bull cycles.

Crypto analyst Egrag has sparked discussion with his take on XRP price potential, tying it to past bull cycles and the implications for 2024. Despite the XRP token struggling to regain momentum, one analyst believes that it could be setting up for another massive rally later this year.

Chart patterns and technical analysis suggest that XRP price could be poised for a substantial move, potentially reaching $19 to $45. However, diverging market dynamics and regulatory uncertainties might yet intervene.

Prolonged periods of a bear market usually pave the way for explosive rallies in cryptocurrencies, a pattern that Egrag highlighted in his analysis. He noted that in 2017, a 13-month downturn in Bitcoin laid the groundwork for a 2,700% surge in the flagship cryptocurrency. Similarly, after a three-year consolidation, Bitcoin experienced a 1,000% rally in 2021.

“The market tends to get bored of going down and prefers to go up, especially when there’s plenty of room for new highs,” Egrag said.

After years of sluggish performance, XRP finally began to show signs of recovery in 2023, rising by 200% from its 2022 lows. However, this rally stalled in August, resulting in a period of consolidation.

“We see that XRP is setting up for another massive move after years of consolidation,” the analyst said. “If we look at the past cycles, we can see that after a long period of consolidation, a breakout of a key resistance level usually leads to rapid price appreciation.”

Breaking Through Key Levels Is Key

According to the analyst, the key resistance level for XRP is at $19, which, if breached, could propel the token to $33. A breakout above this zone would also likely bring a strong reaction from institutional traders, further fueling the rally.

“We can see that the price has already bounced off of this level twice, and it is now beginning to show signs of breaking out to the upside,” Egrag said. “If we do see a breakout of this level, then I think we could see a move to $33.”

Nevertheless, some skepticism remains regarding the potential for a swift recovery in the crypto market, especially considering the ongoing legal case between Ripple and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The SEC’s actions could significantly influence the trajectory of cryptocurrencies in 2024.

“I think that the crypto market is still in a bull cycle, but we are in the later stages of the cycle,” Egrag said. “I think that we could see another 200% move in Bitcoin from these levels.”

Despite the analyst’s optimistic outlook, technical indicators on the 15-minute chart suggest that the XRP/USDT pair might be approaching a pivotal juncture. As the price hovers within a major resistance zone at $2.09-$2.10, it faces multiple support levels around $1.95 and $1.75. At present, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has generated two oversold signals, both of which were followed by declines in the price.

The MACD indicator previously signaled a “Death Cross,” where the MACD line fell below the signal line, confirming bearish momentum. However, since then, the MACD lines have converged with low volatility, indicating a period of market indecision.

As the price remains bounded by a range, with failed breakout attempts visible near the resistance and consistent bounces off the support, traders might want to consider devising range-trading strategies. This would involve buying as the price approaches the support and selling as it approaches the resistance, at least until a breakout clearly defines the next trend.

To gauge any shifts in momentum, traders may also want to keep an eye on the RSI for new extreme readings and the MACD for renewed crossovers. Overall, the XRP price seems to be consolidating within a defined channel as it awaits a clearer directional cue.