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No. 11 UNC will take on No. 11 San Diego State in the South Region First Four at UD Arena

Mar 17, 2025 at 10:15 pm

The winner of this matchup face No. 6 Ole Miss in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. With both teams sneaking into the tournament

No. 11 UNC will take on No. 11 San Diego State in the South Region First Four at UD Arena

No. 11 seed UNC will take on No. 11 seed San Diego State in the South Region First Four at UD Arena on Tuesday at 9:10 p.m. ET. The winner of this matchup faces No. 6 seed Ole Miss in the first round of the NCAA Tournament.

With both teams sneaking into the tournament after shaky performances as of late (looking at you especially, Tar Heels), this contest is expected to be close, with an opening line of UNC -4.5. Our best bet for Tuesday’s showdown is UNC moneyline (-176).

Early this morning, the data analysts at Dimers simulated this matchup 10,000 times, then compared the results to current college basketball odds to inform the data driven betting preview below.

Note: College basketball fans in UNC can use these updated betting promos from Caesars, Bet365, DraftKings, and Fanatics to unlock bonus bets for all of the Champsionship.

UNC vs. San Diego State betting preview

This prediction and best bet for Tuesday’s college basketball matchup between UNC and San Diego State is from Dimers.com, a reliable source for sports betting predictions.

Check out all the important details on today’s game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.

Game details

The key information you need before the UNC vs. San Diego State college basketball game.

Odds

Odds for the key markets in the UNC-San Diego State March Madness showdown.

The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Expert prediction: UNC vs. San Diego State

Using advanced data analysis and computer power, the experts at Dimers have executed 10,000 simulations of Tuesday’s UNC vs. San Diego State game.

According to Dimers’ famous predictive analytics model, UNC is more likely to beat San Diego State at UD Arena. This prediction is based on the model giving UNC a 66% chance of winning the game.

Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the bookmakers have gotten it right and UNC and San Diego State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 142.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

As always, these predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

UNC vs. San Diego State best bet

Our top pick for the UNC vs. San Diego State game on Tuesday is to bet on UNC moneyline (-176).

This expert betting advice is formulated through comprehensive modeling and valuable wagering intelligence, designed to bring you the best possible plays.

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Other articles published on Mar 19, 2025