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Despite the bullish trend in the cryptocurrency market, Tron (TRX) has faced a price decline since late February. Indicators suggest that this bearish trend may persist due to negative trend indicators, declining network activity, and a significant portion of TRX supply being at risk of incurring losses. The recent confirmation of a downtrend by the Ichimoku cloud further strengthens the probability of a continued decline.
Tron (TRX) Faces Bearish Headwinds Amidst Market Upturn
In contrast to the broader cryptocurrency market's recent upswing, Tron (TRX) has experienced a significant decline in value towards the end of February. This bearish trend is expected to persist into the latter part of March, as indicated by several technical indicators.
Indicators Point to Potential Downturn
Trend indicators have consistently signaled a potential downward trajectory for Tron. Last week's failed price recovery has further impacted its overall growth and network activity. The average number of weekly users has dropped by 10% over the past fortnight, from 5.79 million to 5.25 million, indicating a decline in community engagement.
Furthermore, a substantial portion of the TRX supply (approximately 1.36 billion tokens) purchased within a narrow price range ($0.1165 to $0.1205) is now facing potential losses. This is due to the formation of a resistance area within this price range, signaling a potential downturn.
Ichimoku Cloud Confirms Bearish Trend
At the time of writing, Tron is trading at $0.119 after failing to breach the $0.1219 resistance level. While the decline has temporarily halted, it remains a significant concern. This is reinforced by the recent shift in the Ichimoku cloud to a bearish posture, turning red over the past 48 hours. This is the first bearish signal from the cloud in seven months, dating back to August 2023, and validates the downtrend for TRX.
Possible Price Scenarios
The Tron price could continue to decline, potentially testing the $0.1123 support level. However, the Ichimoku cloud is known for its leading indicator status. Given the recent price recovery attempt, TRX may experience a period of stability. In this scenario, Tron could consolidate and continue moving sideways. A potential breakout above $0.1219 would negate the bearish outlook.
About Tron (TRX)
Tron is a decentralized blockchain platform designed to establish a global entertainment network. It empowers content creators to distribute and monetize their work directly to consumers, bypassing intermediaries such as app stores. Tron offers a free and reliable platform for the publication, storage, and distribution of digital content, including photos, music, videos, and other data.
Launched in 2017, Tron differentiated itself from other initial coin offerings (ICOs) by focusing on user experience and features rather than novel technical solutions. It employs proven technologies, such as Proof-of-Stake consensus, decentralized applications, and smart contracts, allowing the project to concentrate on user interface and functionality.
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