Toronto Maple Leafs welcome red-hot Colorado Avalanche to Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday night

The Toronto Maple Leafs earned a much-needed win over the Calgary Flames on Monday night

The Toronto Maple Leafs (35-18-9) will host the Colorado Avalanche (34-16-8) at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday evening. The game is scheduled to begin at 7:00 p.m. ET.

The Maple Leafs are coming off a 4-2 win over the Calgary Flames on Monday night. The victory snapped a two-game losing streak for Toronto, which is 3-4-1 in its last eight contests. All four of the Leafs’ regulation losses in that span came against teams currently in a playoff position.

Even more damning is that Toronto was outscored, 19-10, in those four contests.

The Leafs will welcome the red-hot Avalanche to town on Wednesday night. The Avs are a -120 favorite at the time of writing. A full betting breakdown and an exclusive promo code from Fanatics Sportsbook is available below.

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While the Maple Leafs have fallen flat this month, the Avalanche are running rampant. The Avs are 8-0-1 in their last nine contests and boast a +22 goal difference (40 GF, 18 GA) in that span.

Colorado’s offensive chops have never been in question, but seeing the Avs excel in their own end of the ice has caught the attention of the betting market. The Avalanche are down to +900 to win the Stanley Cup at Fanatics Sportsbook.

The numbers back up the market’s confidence in Colorado. This isn’t some flukey stretch thanks to a hot shooting percentage or dominant goaltending. The Avs own the third-best goal difference in the NHL over the last 10 games and their 55% expected-goals rate is also third in the circuit.

The Maple Leafs, on the other hand, rank last in the NHL in expected-goals rate over its last 10 games and are giving up an average of two more high-danger chances per game at 5-on-5 than they are generating.

That just won’t fly against the red-hot Avs. The Leafs have enough high-end talent to get away with a mediocre process on some nights, but against the Avalanche, it’s a different story.

Toronto (35-18-9) is 1.5 games back of the Boston Bruins for the best record in the league, while the Colorado Avalanche (34-16-8) are still fighting for a wild-card spot in the Western Conference.

The Maple Leafs are 3-4-1 in their last eight contests, while the Avalanche are 8-0-1 in their last nine games.

What time is Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche?

When: Wednesday, March 12 | Time: 7:00 p.m. ET

Where: Scotiabank Arena—Toronto

TV: Bally Sports

Live Stream: Bally Sports

The Maple Leafs are 13-8-4 at home this season, while the Avalanche are 14-9-4 on the road.

The Leafs looked like a contender a few months ago, and it seems like the betting market is giving them too much credit for how they played for the first 50 games of the campaign and not where their game is at now. That puts decent value on Colorado as a slight road favorite Wednesday evening.

The Pick: Avalanche -125 or better (Fanatics)

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