Despite the impending Bitcoin halving, the top five Bitcoin mining companies are refraining from selling their BTC. In the first quarter of 2024, these miners sold around 2,000 BTC, reaching a two-year low. This conservative approach contrasts with their sale of over 7,000 BTC in Q4 2023. While mining profitability may decline post-halving due to reduced block issuance and increased hash rate, miner revenue has risen by 30% quarter-over-quarter to exceed $4.5 billion.
Five Largest Bitcoin Mining Firms Refrain from Selling Amidst Halving Countdown
As the highly anticipated Bitcoin (BTC) halving approaches, the industry's leading mining firms have adopted a conservative stance, exhibiting a significant decline in Bitcoin sales. According to a recent report by Bitwise, the top five Bitcoin mining firms sold approximately 2,000 BTC in the first quarter of 2024, marking a two-year low. This compares starkly to the substantial 7,000 BTC sold by these firms during the fourth quarter of 2023.
The impending Bitcoin halving, scheduled for the coming days, will witness a reduction in block issuance rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per mined block. This significant decrease, coupled with the steadily increasing Bitcoin hash rate, has raised concerns about the profitability of mining firms post-halving.
Despite the potential challenges posed by the halving, Bitcoin miner revenue experienced a remarkable 30% quarter-over-quarter increase, reaching a notable high of $4.5 billion. Laurent Benayoun, CEO of Acheron Trading, expressed cautious optimism regarding the potential impact of the halving on miner revenue:
"In dollar terms, it's not apparent that miners would be at a disadvantage after the halving. Quite the contrary, the decline in mining rewards is likely to be offset by an increase in network fees."
However, historical data indicates that Bitcoin miner revenue has consistently declined in the months following halving events. After the 2020 halving, monthly revenue dropped by 40%, while a steeper decline of over 51% was observed post-halving in 2016.
Amongst the top five mining firms, Marathon Digital emerged as the most prolific miner, generating over 2,500 BTC in the first quarter of 2024. However, this figure still falls short of the 4,000 BTC produced during the fourth quarter of 2023. Despite its high production, Marathon Digital also incurred the highest mining cost at $22,249 per BTC, significantly higher than Cipher Mining's average cost of $8,626 per BTC during the same period.
Bitcoin miners currently hold a substantial 700,000 BTC, representing approximately 3.4% of the total circulating supply. The majority of Bitcoin, or 57% (approximately 12 million), is held by individual investors. The supply of Bitcoin on exchanges is projected to be depleted within the next nine months, highlighting the growing scarcity of the digital asset.
As the Bitcoin halving draws near, the industry anxiously awaits its potential implications. While some miners may face challenges due to reduced block rewards, others anticipate potential gains through increased network fees. The post-halving landscape remains uncertain, but the conservative stance adopted by leading mining firms suggests a cautious approach as the industry navigates this momentous event.