The TON Staking TVL Ratio Precedes Price Movements

CryptoQuant, a leading provider of market intelligence, has recently shed light on a critical connection between TON’s price and staked token volume.

CryptoQuant, a leading market intelligence provider, recently highlighted a crucial link between TON's price and the volume of staked tokens. According to the analysis, a consistent pattern emerges in TON: as the price of TON increases, the Staking TVL ratio decreases. This indicates that when prices rise, a large number of investors withdraw their staked tokens and direct them towards other trading opportunities available across other trading platforms.

How the TON Staking TVL Ratio Precedes Price Movements“When the ratio declines, it signals that investors are less willing to lock their assets, opting instead to keep them available for trading.” – By @joao_wedson Further details 👇https://t.co/iSlWZxfTmg pic.twitter.com/ATu7XpzIhl

Exchanges Boost TON Price

This pattern was observed in March 2024 as the cryptocurrency hit new price highs. Corresponding to the rising price, the Staking TVL ratio drastically decreased, suggesting a weak inflow of fresh capital into staking. Simultaneously, money flowed into centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX) such as Ston.FI and Dedust. This shift in capital led to an increase in TVL within these exchange categories, and subsequently, the price was also driven upwards.

The Staking TVL ratio has declined, which is consistent with what seems to be a local bottom in the token price. This behavior goes against the common sense as staking interest declines at the time when the price hits the bottom. However, when funds are being moved from the staking to exchange, the increased liquidity of TON tokens naturally contributes to higher volumes and therefore higher prices.

Staking Vs. Market Flexibility

This pattern can be largely attributed to the demand for liquidity. Typically, when investors wish to unstake their tokens, they transfer them to exchanges to quickly engage in trades. This causes the number of TON tokens on the markets to grow, which, in turn, will lead to an increase in demand and price.

While staking pertains to passive income and is beneficial for long-term returns, it does tie up tokens. In the event of highly volatile markets or new opportunities emerging within the market, investors may prefer to have the freedom to utilize their tokens without having them staked on the platform.

The Staking TVL ratio has now become an indicator to gauge the market sentiment. When the ratio decreases, investors are seen to be prioritizing liquidity parameters and trading activity over staking. This shift often culminates in the likelihood of a price surge due to the increased demand for the token. In this manner, investors will be able to gain insight into the possibility of changes in TON's price and market trend in the future.

The Staking TVL ratio serves as an invaluable tool to assess the attitude of investors within the market. The tendency of staking interest reducing as the price rises proves that liquidity is a key factor influencing the TON market.