Solana's native token, SOL, has recorded a 9% decline over the past week, with a 3% drop on Dec. 19 alone. As of today, SOL trades at $210, 20% below its
Solana's native token, SOL, experienced a 9% decrease in value over the past week, with a 3% drop on December 19 alone. At the time of writing, SOL trades at $210, which is 20% lower than its all-time high of $264, reached on November 24. This downturn in SOL's price can be attributed to several factors, including market-wide sell-offs, declining total value locked (TVL), and reduced on-chain activity.
Solana's price has been heavily influenced by the broader cryptocurrency market sell-offs, which were triggered by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish comments on the 2025 economic outlook. As a result of these statements, Bitcoin (BTC) saw a 2.7% decrease in its price, while Ethereum (ETH) dropped by 4.6%, indicating a general bearish sentiment in the market.
The Federal Reserve decided to cut rates by 25 basis points, but Powell's statements following the announcement revised the 2025 inflation outlook to 2.5%, indicating that there will be limited further rate cuts. This led to a 3.8% decrease in the total crypto market cap over 24 hours, with the market cap now resting at $3.53 trillion.
Solana's total value locked (TVL) also saw a decrease of 4.5% over the last seven days. According to data from DeFiLlama, the TVL dropped from $9.37 billion on December 12 to $8.9 billion. This decline can be observed in the decreasing TVL of layer 2 protocols like Jito and Sanctum, which indicates a diminishing interest in Solana-based decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.
The decline in TVL is also reflected in the decreasing SOL price, with technical analysis suggesting that this trend could continue. On-chain data from Dune shows a drastic reduction in daily transactions on Solana's network, which have nearly halved since November 20. Additionally, daily revenues also fell from a year-to-date high of 55,832 SOL ($12 million) on November 23 to 5,391 SOL ($1.13 million) on December 18.
Solana's price action on the daily timeframe shows an inverted V-shape pattern. Resistance can be found at the $215–$230 supply zone, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 50 indicates seller dominance. Immediate support lies between $190 and $200, which is reinforced by the 100-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). A close below $190 could push SOL toward the $150 level.
On the other hand, holding above $200 could invalidate the bearish outlook. Some optimistic analysts, like Jelle, anticipate a breakout, considering Solana's formation of a falling wedge and higher lows on lower timeframes. "Still believe this one is back in price discovery before Christmas. Bring on $300,” Jelle noted on December 18.
These trends present significant challenges for Solana, including declining TVL, suppressed on-chain activity, and stiff market resistance at crucial levels. However, the community's resilience and potential recovery in broader market conditions may support SOL's price rebound, according to Cointelegraph.
