ucci Outlines 5-Point Forecast on China's Next Moves Amid Rising Trade Tensions

The U.S. is piling up tariffs on Chinese goods, reaching 125% in a direct response to China’s 34% tariff on U.S. goods, which the Trump administration described as a “big mistake.”
On Wednesday, China retaliated by increasing tariffs on U.S. goods to 84% following new “reciprocal” duties imposed by Trump, further escalating trade tensions.
In response, Trump announced via Truth Social an immediate increase in tariffs on Chinese goods to 125%, citing continued trade abuses and market barriers by Beijing.
Trump also confirmed a 90-day pause and a reduced 10% reciprocal tariff for over 75 countries currently in trade discussions with U.S. officials, mentioning their lack of retaliation as a reason for the temporary relief.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently highlighted the unbalanced trade relationship, mentioning that American exports to China amounted to $143.5 billion, while imports from China reached $438.9 billion.
Beijing responded resolutely, stating their intention to “fight till the end” and branding the U.S. move as coercive and unreasonable.
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