Ripple (XRP) price has declined to $2.3

Rippple (XRP) price jumped 5% to reclaim the $2.3 support level following reports that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could classify XRP as a commodity

Ripple (XRP) price dropped to $2.3 on Friday, March 15, marking a 30% decline from the recent peak of $3.1. This high point was reached when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) confirmed the filings for an XRP ETF by Grayscale in February.

As the dust settles on a turbulent few months for crypto, key technical indicators on the XRP/USD weekly charts highlight the critical levels that must be crossed to reach the $20 price target if the ETF filings are approved.

According to crypto market analysts, an official statement by the SEC confirming XRP’s commodity classification could serve as a catalyst for a major price rally.

The last time similar speculation surfaced, XRP price surged from $0.90 to $3.1 in less than two months. If the SEC provides regulatory clarity soon, XRP could test resistance levels at $3.50 and $5 before aiming for a more ambitious target at $20.

When Could the US SEC Approve XRP ETF?The timeline for an XRP ETF approval depends on several key regulatory developments. The SEC is currently reviewing multiple crypto ETF applications, including those for Ethereum and XRP, amid increasing pressure from institutional investors seeking diversified exposure to digital assets.

Industry experts predict that an XRP ETF could gain approval in late Q3 or early Q4 of 2025, depending on the outcome of Ripple’s legal battle. If Ripple successfully secures commodity status for XRP and reaches a settlement with the SEC, the regulatory pathway for an XRP ETF would become significantly clearer.

After the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 triggered a wave of institutional inflows, pushing BTC price to new all-time highs, a similar scenario could unfold for XRP if the SEC greenlights a dedicated ETF product.

Analysts project that an XRP ETF could attract over $5 billion in the first few months, potentially propelling XRP price towards $10 in the short term and $20 in a prolonged bullish cycle.

With growing institutional interest and positive regulatory momentum, XRP remains one of the top contenders for the next big ETF approval. The next major catalysts to watch include upcoming court rulings in the Ripple vs. SEC case and further statements from SEC Chair Gary Gensler on the regulatory framework for crypto-based ETFs.

XRP Price Forecast 2025: Is $20 a viable target?

XRP price is consolidating around $2.38 after retracing from its recent high of $3.10, with technical indicators signaling a potential move toward the $20 target by 2025. The Bollinger Bands on the monthly chart show an expansion phase, suggesting increased volatility, while the price remains above the midline support, indicating sustained bullish momentum.

The MACD histogram continues to trend positively, confirming strong upward momentum, although the signal line crossing above 0.23 warrants caution.

A bullish scenario unfolds if XRP reclaims the $2.57 resistance and maintains a monthly close above this level. This would confirm support at the upper Bollinger Band, allowing for a continuation toward the next psychological resistance at $5, where historical sell pressure previously emerged.

If buying pressure sustains throughout 2024, a breakout above $5 could pave the way for a parabolic rise, with Fibonacci extensions indicating $10 and beyond, fueled by ETF speculation and increased institutional adoption.

Conversely, a bearish divergence in MACD or a failure to hold $2.00 as support could signal a deeper correction. A breakdown below $1.90 would expose XRP to downside risks, potentially testing the $1.00 psychological floor before a renewed uptrend.

However, given the current technical setup, the path of least resistance appears to be upward.