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Cryptocurrency News Articles
Renowned Chart Analyst Warns of Bitcoin's Potential Bullish Trajectory Shift
Apr 30, 2024 at 02:01 am
Veteran chart analyst Peter Brandt expresses concern about Bitcoin's bullish trajectory, suggesting it may have peaked. He analyzes Bitcoin's historical bull cycles and observes an 80% price reduction pattern after each halving event. Despite previously projecting a bullish cycle until September 2025, Brandt now assigns a 25% probability to that scenario, citing the recent 25% decline from Bitcoin's all-time high of $73,835 reached in March 2024.
Veteran Chart Analyst Peter Brandt Raises Concerns About Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory
New York, April 29, 2024 - Peter Brandt, a renowned chart analyst and CEO of Factor LLC, has expressed reservations about the sustainability of Bitcoin's bullish run in a recent report. Brandt suggests that the leading cryptocurrency may have reached a turning point in its upward trend.
According to Brandt's analysis, Bitcoin has historically followed a four-year cycle of bull and bear markets, often coinciding with halving events. Since the initial bull cycle, Brandt notes, there have been three major bull market cycles, each witnessing a decline in price growth compared to its predecessor.
"If the historical pattern of 80% declines holds true, the previous all-time high of $73,835 for Bitcoin on March 14, 2024 has already met the price level consistent with the exponential decline," Brandt pointed out.
This recent prediction contradicts Brandt's earlier forecast in February, which suggested that Bitcoin's bullish cycle could continue until September 2025, with prices potentially reaching $200,000. However, Brandt acknowledges the uncertainty surrounding his analysis, assigning a 25% probability to it.
"I give more credence to a report I published in February," Brandt stated, referring to a chart that projected a bull market until September/October 2025.
In February, Brandt had significantly raised his price target for Bitcoin in 2025, from $120,000 to $200,000. This adjustment came after Bitcoin broke a significant resistance level on February 27.
At the time, Bitcoin experienced a surge in value, breaching the $57,000 mark for the first time since November 2021. In March, Bitcoin entered a particularly strong bull run, setting a new all-time high price of $73,737.94 on March 14. The current price represents a decline of 15.51% from Bitcoin's peak.
As of the time of publication, the price of Bitcoin stood at $62,898.70, marking a 1.0% decrease over the previous 24 hours.
Despite the concerns raised by Brandt, some analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. They emphasize the growing adoption of cryptocurrency, institutional investment, and the increasing use of Bitcoin for payments and remittances.
However, it is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and investors should exercise caution when making investment decisions. While historical patterns can provide valuable insights, they do not guarantee future performance.
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