Will History Repeat Itself? Bitcoin (BTC) is Hanging at $80K Below Its Crucial Level

Bitcoin, after hitting the glorious high of $109K, is hanging at $80K below its crucial level.

Bitcoin is hanging at $80K, crucial levels at $70K, faces crucial point ,

Also, there is no doubt that the current crypto market is at a critical turning point, and with the Government’s plan to use the existing bitcoin the market is back to square one. Experts at 10x Research believe history is repeating itself.

The Same Story, Different Year

Every crypto bull begins with big promises and catchy slogans, trying to convince people that prices will never stop rising. But when the hype dies down, reality sets in. For example, 10x Research highlights how Ripple (XRP) became the second-largest cryptocurrency in 2017, but in 2021, it couldn’t reclaim its position. Similarly, Ethereum was the star of the last bull run with DeFi and NFTs, but now, in 2025, meme coins and Solana are leading the hype.

Of course, the majority of coins haven’t managed to impress this year. For instance, Solana is down 59% from its peak and is currently battling the $120-$130 support range. A break below could signal a further downside. Recently, Trump’s Solana-based meme coin, TRUMP, also plunged to $10.50, dropping over 85% from its January peak of $73.43. The decline coincides with broader market selloffs, affecting Bitcoin, Ethereum, and traditional indices.

Institutions Win, Retail Investors Struggle

Another pattern is how big institutions manage to take advantage of the market while smaller investors struggle to keep up. In past cycles, institutions profited by trading the interest rate differences between DeFi and traditional finance. This time, they’re making money from the gap between the Bitcoin spot and futures markets.

However, everyday traders are finding it difficult to compete and are now realising how the game is played. They're struggling to make money, leading some to withdraw from the market completely.

Will History Repeat?

This cycle differs from 2018 mainly due to the rise of Bitcoin ETFs, which have attracted massive institutional inflows, helping to mitigate economic pressures.

While Trump’s new tariffs have shaken markets and strengthened the U.S. dollar, Bitcoin has shown resilience by holding key support levels. Exchange balances are at a six-year low, signaling strong accumulation, and large withdrawals suggest growing investor confidence.

suggesting that his administration in the past had a negative impact on crypto.

On the other hand, Rekt Capital points out that Bitcoin corrections are a natural part of every bull cycle. In this run alone, BTC has seen multiple pullbacks, with the latest reaching -28 %, reinforcing the idea that dips are expected in strong uptrends.

What Next?

According to a crypto analyst, Bitcoin's returns are shrinking each cycle, and on-chain data reveals a clear pattern. Long-term holder MVRV peaks have dropped consistently, and Bitcoin's cycle gains have also declined—from 80x in 2017 to 20x in 2021 and now just 6.6x in 2025. While it's not yet clear if this cycle has peaked, the data suggests that a top may be in sight.

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